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Sustainable Water Resources Management

, Volume 2, Issue 3, pp 331–336 | Cite as

An overview to flood vulnerability assessment methods

  • Hajar NasiriEmail author
  • Mohd Johari Mohd Yusof
  • Thamer Ahmad Mohammad Ali
Open Access
Original Article

Abstract

Vulnerability is the main construct in flood risk management. One of the most significant aims of flood vulnerability assessment is to make a clear association between the theoretical conceptions of flood vulnerability and the daily administrative process. Variety of approaches has been introduced to assess vulnerability therefore selection of more appropriate methodology is vital for authorities. The more accepted assessing methods can be categorized in four groups: curve method, disaster loos data method, computer modeling methods and indicator based methods. The purpose of this study is to review these methods and compare their benefits and drawbacks. The article concluded that the indicator-based approach gives more precise vision of overall flood vulnerability in each area rather than other approaches.

Keywords

Flood risk Flood management Vulnerability Flood vulnerability assessment 

Introduction

The aim of this paper is to evaluate current knowledge on flood vulnerability assessment approaches. Floods are anticipated to happen more strictly and regularly in the future because of climate change, unplanned rapid urbanization, change in land use pattern, poor watershed management and decline recharge of groundwater by extension of impermeable surfaces in urban areas. This means that many urban areas across the globe are likely to be under serious threat of floods, the adverse impacts of which are already believed only next to that of earthquakes (BALABAN 2009). Managing flood with the aim of safety and wellbeing of people and their environment saving is one of the main responsibilities of city authorities in flood prone areas. For achieving this goal, vulnerability reduction and increasing resilience are significant approaches. One of the main steps in this process is measuring vulnerability to identify vulnerable areas (Takemoto 2011) and adopting effective measures. Indeed urban flood vulnerability is various in time to time and in diverse places because of environmental conditions, human activities, and the culture of society in face of the threats (Ahmad and Simonovic 2013). Increasing assessment methods and improving our understanding about flood risk vulnerability can support decision makers in decreasing damage and mortalities. Different assessing methods of flood vulnerability have been developed over the last few decades. This paper desires to investigate four groups of the more common methods.

In most cases, risk term has been defined in relation to the purposes of different science in which disaster management methods were required. Despite a lot of definitions in literature, the concept of risk with regard to “hazard” and “vulnerability” seems to be the most accepted in flood risk management so it is significant to know that “risk” is completely a human subject. This means floods are part of the hydrological cycle, but due to dispute natural function of river flood plains in transport water and sediment as a result of human land use, risk has increased (Schanze 2006). In studying flood risk, it is useful to classify floods to: (a) coastal floods which can occur on the coast and along the banks of large lakes; (b) river floods that occur seasonally when spring rains water fills river basins too quickly, and the river will overflow its banks; (c) flash floods are short-term floods in small region such as part of the city which kill and damage the most (Balica 2007). The main purpose of flood risk management is reduction these human loss and economic costs to acceptable level. It is not possible to avoid flood risks completely, so it is necessary to manage them. On the other word, flood management does not attempt to eliminate flood risk but its aim is mitigate them. Avoiding, reduction or shifting the impacts of flood through processes for mitigation and adaptation are flood risk management‘s main goal (UNISDR 2009). The main steps of risk management are:
  • Flood planning mitigation measures (preparedness-before disaster).

  • Response measures (during disaster).

  • Recovery (after disaster) (Tingsanchali 2012) (Fig. 1).
    Fig. 1

    Food risk management process (Ali 2013)

In flood management subject there are two approaches for flood mitigation and protection:

Structural and non-structural; structural measures consist of infrastructure development like levees, dams or river dike that modifies the river flow (Faisal et al. 1999). The basic principles consist of storing; diverting and confinement of floods. Non-structural measures involve several mitigation measures not modifying the river flow. They include educating, reporting, warning and forecasting, assessing measures, emergency services, land use planning, flood insurance, Building codes, Health and social measures, public participation, etc.

Some studies declare that flood risk management (includes structural and non-structural measures) needs a complete ordered set of activities before and after hazard; Samuels (2006) suggests these activities as follows:

Pre-flood activities include:
  • Distinguish vulnerable areas

  • Disaster planning to found discharge paths, public service and infrastructure supplies for emergency actions

  • Construction of flood related infrastructure (physical structure and forecasting system)

  • Land-use planning and preventing unsuitable development in the flood plains

  • Awareness among the people exposed to flood

The post-flood activities:
  • Injuries relief

  • Reconstruction of damaged places

  • Recovery of the environment and the economic

  • Review of the flood management measures to advance the planning for future hazards

So flood risk management is assembling activities of several professionals such as hydrologists, hydraulic engineers, economists, social scientists, ecologists, and planners for reducing flood hazard impacts. In each of these areas there are different methods for assessing flood risk and its vulnerability. The repetition of risk assessments after flood mitigation measures (both structural and non-structural measures) lets appropriate judgment of the efficiency of each measure and also leads to identification of components of risk which need extra mitigation (Cutter 2003).

Flood vulnerability is one of the significant components in risk management and flood damage assessment. Since vulnerability is found to be the main reason of disasters, it seems necessary to develop our perception of the vulnerability (Klein 2004). Researches with vulnerability subject involves diverse descriptions for vulnerability; in United Nations’ description vulnerability is a degree of damage to a certain objects at flood risk with specified amount and present in a scale from 0 to 1 (no damage to full damage) (United nations 1982).

International Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) described vulnerability as the incapability degree of managing climate change and sea-level rise impacts (IPCC 1992). So many definitions of vulnerability appear in the literature. Table 1 shows some most important definition of vulnerability:
Table 1

An overview on concept of vulnerability

Source

Definition

United nations (1982)

Vulnerability is a degree of damage to a certain objects at flood risk with specified amount and present in a scale from 0 to 1 (no damage to full damage)

Cannon (1994)

People’s conditions and their social, political and economic behaviors in the face of risks provide different degrees of vulnerability

Menoni and Pergalani (1996)

Vulnerability term is damage goods, people, buildings, infrastructures and activities in hazard condition

Mileti (1999)

Degree of the capacity to endure or recover from the impacts of a hazard during the time

Alexander (2002)

The vulnerability of people and things to losses attribute to a certain amount of danger and probability that it will visible in a special condition and with a certain degree

UNDP (2004)

Vulnerability is a condition which is influenced by physical, social, economic and environmental factors that raises the susceptibility of people to the hazard impact

Wisner (2004)

The characteristics of an individual or group of people and their condition that affect their ability to predict, tackling, struggle, and recover from the effects of environmental threats

Adger (2006)

Susceptibility to harm from exposure to pressures related with environmental and social changes, and in lack of adaptation ability

Næss (2006)

A function of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity, generated by multiple factors and processes

Borden et al. (2007)

Distinct vulnerability means potential or sensitivity to losses or harm. Social vulnerability contains the susceptibility of society or social groups to potential losses from hazards

Balica and Wright (2010)

Vulnerability is defined with interaction between Exposure, susceptibility and resilience of each community in risk condition

Regarding literature and previous studies the framework for culnerability analysis special in Sustainability Science represents vulnerability, with obvious attention to space, time, scale, and context into a conceptual framework that can be applied to vulnerability assessment (Turner 2003). Flood vulnerability is one of the significant components in risk management and flood damage assessment (Connor and Hiroki 2005). There are several methods which developed by Researchers for evaluate flood vulnerability. Nevertheless, flood threat is still very prevalent in spite of increased awareness about the vulnerability Birkmann (2007). This matter increases doubt about the effectiveness of vulnerability evaluation methods and their influence on flood mitigation and adaptation (Khan 2012). Vulnerability measurement is a complex process because it influenced by several environmental, economic, and social or even political elements in local scale (Jixi Gao 2007). In other words vulnerability is affected by numerous factors such as settlements conditions, infrastructure, authority’s policy and capacities, social inequities, economic patterns, etc. So flood vulnerability is varied for people in diverse circumstance (Pandey et al. 2010). Human systems are vulnerable to floods due to three vital aspects: Exposure, susceptibility and resilience. Exposure refers to people and their surroundings and every element present in flood prone area being exposed to the flood impacts as a subject to potential losses (UNISDR 2009). Susceptibility which Cardona et al. (2012) states is people, environment and infrastructure tendency to influence by a hazard because of fragility of community or ecosystem and Pelling et al. (2004) defines resilience, coping and adaptation ability of a system in addressing disaster stress. Instance the vulnerability of urban areas is reflection of the exposure and susceptibility of the city to flood risk and the resilience of that region to cope and recover from the flood effects (Smit 2006).

This paper is primarily based on literature on flood vulnerability indeed current paper reviewed relevant studies in flood vulnerability assessment and categorized their methodologies in four separate groups then compared approaches to decide what are the strengths and weaknesses of using each group with the purpose of assisting decision makers in flood prone areas.

Discussion

Flood vulnerability assessment

There are a variety of vulnerability assessment methods which are different in their vulnerability description, theoretical framework, variables and methodology. According to earlier works vulnerability assessment methods can be categorized in four distinct groups which are considered in this paper (Dapeng Huang 2012):
  • Vulnerability indicators method which adapted to use available data for providing a logical Image of the place vulnerability. This method is widely used in flood vulnerability studies and preferred by policy makers for its clarified vulnerability image over space, a depiction which aims to priorities measures and plan for the risk response in specified region. This group of methods depends on complicated indices with and without weighting, however, these methods also faced with considerable complexities related with standardization, weighting and aggregation methods. Uncertainty is one more struggle with this method. Since each additive layer includes a diverse variable, struggle about variable Interdependencies must be fixed. The best proposed solution for this concern is weighting variables to reduce their impact in forming a final expression (Lein 2010). Another weakness of model is the difficulties that the quantification of a number of social indicators poses to the calculation (Khan 2012). Regards to (Füssel 2010) there are two theory based (deductive) and data based (inductive) approaches for indicators selection in this method. Whereas these attitudes are different in methodology, together they make a better perception of the local vulnerability. The deductive approach is built on a theoretical framework for selecting appropriate indicators and considering their relationship while inductive approach selects indicators regards to statistical link with observed vulnerability consequences (e.g., mortality from floods). Because there is no clear definition in vulnerability consequences for the development of aggregated indices, data based approach is only useful for specific flood exposure systems. In fact development and testing an index in the circumstance where deal with short term instability is the significant limitation of all data-based indexes (Füssel 2009).

  • Vulnerability curve method. The relation between the flood risk and elements at risk can be studied by empirical damage or fragility curves. This approach is essentially founded on data from well-documented case studies so typically restricted to dwellings in a specific area. This group of method picks out a sample of items in each selected class and a list of possible subjects is arranged. The data for all samples of each component class is averaged and step-damage curves created. The subsequent stage-damage curves are for potential damage, although similar methods can be used to measure damages that happen immediately after a flood (real damage analyses). Method is based on actual damage survey so takes a lot of time and resource and the reliability of this method is less than others because it is not applicable for other regions.

  • Disaster loss data method. This method is constructed on data collection from real flood hazard and their usage such as a director to upcoming events this method is a simple approach but will be a little inaccurate Because of unevenly recorded data so result of these methods should be treated caution.

  • Modeling methods. Computer models can evaluate depth, elevation and velocity of flood with using frequency, magnitude and shape of the hydrograph. In order to computing flood inundation, one (1D) or two-dimensional (2D) models which are based on solutions of the full or approximate forms of the surface water equations are prevalent. These methods depend on detailed data about topographic, hydrographic and economic information in the study region for its accuracy. Economic loss information is intelligible for public in this method. Nevertheless in lack of sufficient data, models suffer significant irregularities which can lead to questioning assessment validity and mix up decision makers (Balica 2013). In Geographic information system-based vulnerability modeling (GIS) variables used as an input data those should geo-referenced and converted to raster format for the tangible analysis. This method of modeling can assess vulnerability in local scale more sensitive than other ones because considers specific local factors however can not describe a clear link between predicted map and the level of real flood damage (Lein 2010).

Indicator-based method, curve method, disaster loss data and models approach are diverse techniques for evaluating flood risk and vulnerability. Regards to these four distinct approaches, there is an imperative question: what are the benefits and difficulties of these approaches for policy makers. Table 2 summarized main strengths and weaknesses of these methods.
Table 2

Vulnerability assessment methods

Methods

Vulnerability index system

Vulnerability curve method

Disaster loss data

Models

Characteristics

Commonly used in flood vulnerability studies

Pertain to complex indices and weighting of their subjective

Is founded on real damage investigation

Should be fairly precise

Takes a lot of time and resource

Not valid for other areas

Simple

Imprecise

Intelligible for public

Low validity in data shortage condition

Source (Nasiri 2013)

The objective of the study is to compare the existing assessment approaches and decide on the best method. Regarding this comparison, indicator-based assessment approach can be the greatest policy-making tool for raising public awareness, support governments in priority of budget allocation and managing the international organizations in directions of participation. However, the indicators and consequences depend on assumptions that cannot be validated from the observed data so approach uses a methodology that would let the experts to evaluate the vulnerability results depend on the system characteristics

Conclusion

Improving vulnerability measurement is a necessary initial stage towards studying its main causes and the formulation of more accurate descriptions that can better decrease loss of life, and possessions. Investigation of the flood vulnerability assessment methods mentions the following conclusions:

Indicator-based vulnerability assessments are common, but they are also challenged by reason of complications related with standardization, weighting and aggregation methods. Indicator based method does not measure flood risk directly, but contribute to evaluating flood risk. Vulnerability covers variety characteristics of risk such as social, environmental physical and economic. These group of methods provide a wider, a rapid, trustworthy evaluation of flood vulnerability in a specific geographical region, but is little difficult because accessibility of good data and number of the indicators are very hard to quantify specially social indicators so the main limitation in this approach is that measurement of vulnerability must reflect social processes besides material consequences that seems complex and with many connections that are difficult to pinning. Vulnerability is, therefore, not easily decreased to a solitary metric and is not easily calculable (Adger 2006). On the other hand, computer based modeling can assess vulnerability in local scale more sensitive than other ones because considers specific local factors, however, it has little validity in data scarcity situation.

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Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.

Authors and Affiliations

  • Hajar Nasiri
    • 1
    Email author
  • Mohd Johari Mohd Yusof
    • 1
  • Thamer Ahmad Mohammad Ali
    • 2
  1. 1.Design and Architecture FacultyUniversity Putra MalaysiaSerdangMalaysia
  2. 2.Engineering Faculty, Civil DepartmentUniversity Purta MalaysiaSerdangMalaysia

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