Abstract
Gender disparities in terms of opportunities, security and labor force participation still persist in sub-Saharan Africa. In this region, over 60% of the workforce is employed in agriculture and 96% of cultivated land is rainfed. Climate change may, in this context, reinforce these inequalities. Using country-level aggregate household survey data, we examined the effects of climate change on gender inequalities in the labor market. The results indicate that temperature change increases the probability of labor force participation for women and reduces the probability for men in urban areas. Similarly, the temperature shock increases the probability of participation in unpaid work for both women and men. In contrast, rainfall shocks reduce the probability of participation in paid work in rural areas. The analysis reveals, taking into account the nature of the climate shock, differentiated effects on women and men. These results highlight the gendered impact of climate change on the labor market.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
For example, the patriarchal system and the domestic division of labor.
Landowning households offer their labor power and also hire labor on their farms, while landless households only rent their labor from landowning households. See Mahajan (2016) for more details.
References
Afridi F, Mahajan K, Sangwan N (2022) The gendered effects of droughts: production shocks and labor response in agriculture. Labour Econ 78:102227. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2022.102227
Agamile P, Dimova R, Golan J (2021) Crop choice, drought and gender: new insights from smallholders’ response to weather shocks in rural Uganda. J Agric Econ 72(3):829–856. https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-9552.12427
Albanesi S, Olivetti C (2009) Home production, market production and the gender wage gap: incentives and expectations. Rev Econ Dyn 12(1):80–107. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2008.08.001
Albert C, Bustos P, Ponticelli J (2021) The effects of climate change on labor and capital reallocation. NBER Working Paper N° 28995, 1–73. https://doi.org/10.3386/w28995
Antonelli C, Coromaldi M, Dasgupta S, Emmerling J, Shayegh S (2021) Climate impacts on nutrition and labor supply disentangled: an analysis for rural areas of Uganda. Environ Dev Econ 26(5–6):512–537. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X20000017
Attanasio O, Low H, Sánchez-Marcos V (2005) Female labor supply as insurance against idiosyncratic risk. J Eur Econ Assoc 3(2/3):755–764
Auffhammer M, Hsiang SM, Schlenker W, Sobel A (2013) Using weather data and climate model output in economic analyses of climate change. Rev Environ Econ Policy 7(2):181–198. https://doi.org/10.1093/reep/ret016
Awiti AO (2022) Climate change and gender in Africa: a review of impact and gender-responsive solutions. Front Clim 4:1–14. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.895950
Baarsch F, Granadillos JR, Hare W, Knaus M, Krapp M, Schaeffer M, Lotze-Campen H (2020) The impact of climate change on incomes and convergence in Africa. World Dev 126:104699. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104699
Bhalotra S (2010) Fatal fluctuations? Cyclicality in infant mortality in India. J Dev Econ 93(1):7–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2009.03.006
Bhaumik SK, Dimova R, Gang IN (2016) Is women’s ownership of land a panacea in developing countries? Evidence from land-owning farm households in Malawi. The Journal of Development Studies 52(2):242–253. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2015.1060314
Björkman-Nyqvist M (2013) Income shocks and gender gaps in education: evidence from Uganda. J Dev Econ 105:237–253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2013.07.013
Brody A, Demetriades J, Esplen E (2008) Gender and climate change: mapping the linkages. A scoping study on knowledge and gaps. BRIDGE, Institute of Development Studies, 1–27. https://www.eldis.org/document/A37711
Buechler S (2009) Gender, water, and climate change in Sonora, Mexico: implications for policies and programmes on agricultural income-generation. Gend Dev 17(1):51–66. https://doi.org/10.1080/13552070802696912
Burke M, Hsiang SM, Miguel E (2015) Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production. Nature 527(7577):235–239. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature15725
Cameron AC, Trivedi PK (2005) Microeconometrics: methods and applications, 1st edn. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, p 1056. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511811241
Colmer J (2021) Temperature, labor reallocation, and industrial production: evidence from India. Am Econ J Appl Econ 13(4):101–124. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20190249
Desbureaux S, Rodella A-S (2019) Drought in the city: the economic impact of water scarcity in Latin American Metropolitan Areas. World Dev 114:13–27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.09.026
Dimitrova A (2021) Seasonal droughts and the risk of childhood undernutrition in Ethiopia. World Dev 141:105417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105417
Dimitrova A, Muttarak R (2020) After the floods: differential impacts of rainfall anomalies on child stunting in India. Glob Environ Chang 64:102130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102130
Eastin J (2018) Climate change and gender equality in developing states. World Dev 107:289–305. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.02.021
Emran S, Shilpi F (2018) Agricultural productivity, hired labor, wages, and poverty: evidence from Bangladesh. World Dev 109:470–482. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.12.009
Enarson E (2000) Gender and natural disasters ILO Working paper N°1. International Labour Organization, 1–73. http://www.ilo.org/public/libdoc/ilo/2000/100B09_280_engl2
Eris MN, Ulasan B (2013) Trade openness and economic growth: Bayesian model averaging estimate of cross-country growth regressions. Econ Model 33:867–883. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2013.05.014
FAO (2012) FAO Statistical Yearbook 2012: World food and agriculture. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 362. https://www.fao.org/3/i2490e/i2490e00.htm
FAO (2016a) La Situation Mondiale de l’Alimentation et de l’Agriculture 2016 : Changement Climatique, Agriculture et Sécurité Alimentaire, 1–214. FAO. http://www.fao.org/publications/sofa/2016/fr/.
FAO (2016b) Gender and land rights database. https://www.fao.org/gender-landrights-database/en/.
Feeny S, Mishra A, Trinh T-A, Ye L, Zhu A (2021) Early-life exposure to rainfall shocks and gender gaps in employment: findings from Vietnam. J Econ Behav Organ 183:533–554. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2021.01.016
Ferreira FHG, Schady N (2009) Aggregate economic shocks, child schooling and child health. The World Bank Res Obs 24(2):147–181
Flatø M, Muttarak R, Pelser A (2016) Women, weather, and woes: the triangular dynamics of female-headed households, economic vulnerability, and climate variability in South Africa. World Dev 90:41–62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.08.015
Gindling TH, Newhouse D (2014) Self-employment in the developing world. World Dev 56:313–331. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2013.03.003
Goh A (2012) A literature review of the gender-differentiated impacts of climate change on women’s and men’s assets and well-being in developing countries: CAPRI working paper N° 106, 1–43. https://ideas.repec.org/p/fpr/worpps/106.html
Graff-Zivin J, Neidell M (2014) Temperature and the allocation of time: implications for climate change. J Law Econ 32(1):1–26. https://doi.org/10.1086/671766
Gray C, Mueller V (2012) Drought and population mobility in rural Ethiopia. World Dev 40(1):134–145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.05.023
Hansen BE (2020) Introduction to econometrics (1st ed.). University of Wisconsin, 1026. http://home.ustc.edu.cn/~matheming/Econometrics.pdf
Heal G, Park J (2015) Goldilocks economies? Temperature stress and the direct impacts of climate change, NBER Working Paper N°21119, 1–21. National Bureau of Economic Research. http://www.nber.org/papers/w21119.pdf.
Hersch J (2006) Sex discrimination in the labor market. Found Trends Microecon 2(4):281–361. https://doi.org/10.1561/0700000007
Hobbs BF (1997) Bayesian methods for analysing climate change and water resource uncertainties. J Environ Manage 49(1):53–72. https://doi.org/10.1006/jema.1996.0116
IPCC (2014) Climate change 2014: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Part A: global and sectoral aspects. Contribution of working group II to the Fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change, 1-1150. Cambridge University Press. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/wg2/.
IPCC (2021) Climate change 2021: the physical science basis. In: Contribution of working group I to the sixth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change, 1-2409. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896
Jayachandran S (2006) Selling labor low: wage responses to productivity shocks in developing countries. J Polit Econ 114(3):538–575. https://doi.org/10.1086/503579
Jayachandran S, Pande R (2017) Why are Indian children so short? The role of birth order and son preference. Am Econ Rev 107(9):2600–2629. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20151282
Jessoe K, Manning DT, Taylor JE (2018) climate change and labour allocation in rural Mexico: evidence from annual fluctuations in weather. Econ J 128(608):230–261. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12448
Jones EB, Long JE (1979) Human capital and labor market employment: additional evidence for women. J Hum Resour 14(2):270–279. https://doi.org/10.2307/145649
Kjellstrom T, Holmer I, Lemke B (2009) Workplace heat stress, health and productivity: an increasing challenge for low and middle-income countries during climate change. Glob Health Action 2(1):2047. https://doi.org/10.3402/gha.v2i0.2047
Lee KW, Cho K (2005) Female labour force participation during economic crises in Argentina and the Republic of Korea. Int Labour Rev 144(4):423–450. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1564-913X.2005.tb00576.x
Maccini S, Yang D (2009) Under the weather: health, schooling, and economic consequences of early-life rainfall. Am Econ Rev 99(3):1006–1026. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.99.3.1006
Mahajan K (2016) Rainfall shocks and the gender wage gap: evidence from Indian agriculture. World Dev 91:156–172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.11.004
Maitra P, Tagat A (2019) Labour supply responses to rainfall shocks. SSRN 3449144:1–66. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3449144
Minale L (2018) Agricultural productivity shocks, labor reallocation, and rural-urban migration in China. J Econ Geography 18(4):691–693. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lby013
Mitra A, Singh P (2006) Human capital attainment and female labor force participation: The Kerala puzzle. J Econ Issues 40(3):779–798
Mueller VA, Osgood DE (2009) Long-term impacts of droughts on labour markets in developing countries: evidence from Brazil. J Dev Stud 45(10):1651–1662. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220380902935865
Nabalamba A, Mubila M, Alexander P (2011) Climate change, gender and development in Africa, 1(1), 1–46. African Development Bank. https://www.afdb.org/sites/default/files/documents/publications/climate_change_gender_and_development_in_africa.pdf
Nicholls N, Butler CD, Hanigan I (2006) Inter-annual rainfall variations and suicide in New South Wales, Australia, 1964–2001. Int J Biometeorol 50(3):139–143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-005-0002-y
OMS (2014) Genre, Changement Climatique et Santé. WHO, pp 1–48. https://www.who.int/fr/publications-detail/9789241508186.
Oster E (2009) Does increased access increase equality? Gender and child health investments in India. J Dev Econ 89(1):62–76. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2008.07.003
Quisumbing AR, Kumar N, Behrman JA (2017) Do Shocks affect men’s and women’s assets differently? Evidence from Bangladesh and Uganda. Dev Policy Rev 36(1):3–34. https://doi.org/10.1111/dpr.12235
Rahman MS (2013) Climate change, disaster and gender vulnerability: a study on two divisions of Bangladesh. Am J Hum Ecol 2(2):72–82. https://doi.org/10.11634/216796221504315
Ramsey JD (1995) Task performance in heat: a review. Ergonomics 38(1):154–165. https://doi.org/10.1080/00140139508925092
Randell H, Gray C (2016) Climate variability and educational attainment: evidence from rural Ethiopia. Glob Environ Chang 41:111–123. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.09.006
Rosenzweig M, Schultz T (1982) Market opportunities, genetic endowments, and intrafamily resource distribution: child survival in rural India. Am Econ Rev, 72(4), 803–815. https://www.jstor.org/stable/1810018
Roy J, Tschakert P, Waisman H, Abdul Halim S, Antwi-Agyei P, Dasgupta P, Hayward B, Kanninen M, Liverman D, Okereke C, Pinho PF, Riahi K, Suarez Rodriguez AG (2018) Sustainable development, poverty eradication and reducing inequalities. In: Global Warming of 1.5°C: IPCC special report on impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels in context of strengthening response to climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty (1st ed.). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 445–538. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157940.007
Schady NR (2004) Do macroeconomic crises always slow human capital accumulation? The World Bank Econ Rev 18(2):131–154. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhh036
Schleypen JR, Mistry MN, Saeed F, Dasgupta S (2022) Sharing the burden: quantifying climate change spillovers in the European Union under the Paris Agreement. Spat Econ Anal 17(1):67–82. https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2021.1904150
Shayegh S, Dasgupta S (2022) Climate change, labour availability and the future of gender inequality in South Africa. Clim Dev https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2022.2074349.
Somanathan E, Somanathan R, Sudarshan A, Tewari M (2021) The impact of temperature on productivity and labor supply: evidence from Indian manufacturing. J Political Econ 129(6):1797–1827. https://doi.org/10.1086/713733
Stern N (2007) The economics of climate change: the stern review. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511817434
Stevens C (2009) Green jobs and women workers: employment, equity, equality. International Labour Foundation for Sustainable Development, pp 1–20. https://www.greenpolicyplatform.org/research/green-jobs-and-women-workers-employment-equity-equality
Thai TQ, Falaris EM (2014) Child schooling, child health, and rainfall shocks: evidence from rural Vietnam. J Dev Stud 50(7):1025–1037. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2014.903247
Tirado MC, Crahay P, Mahy L, Zanev C, Neira M, Msangi S, Brown R, Scaramella C, Coitinho DC, Müller A (2013) Climate change and nutrition: creating a climate for nutrition security. Food Nutr Bull 34(4):533–547. https://doi.org/10.1177/156482651303400415
UNECA (2020) Gender equality in climate change: analysis report on gender in climate change policies, programs and NDC processes, pp 1–42. United Nations Economic Commission for Africa. https://www.uneca.org/sites/default/files/ACPC/Gender-Climate-Change/gender_analysis_of_climate_change_in_africa.pdf
Vogel E, Donat MG, Alexander LV, Meinshausen M, Ray DK, Karoly D, Meinshausen N, Frieler K (2019) The effects of climate extremes on global agricultural yields. Environ Res Lett 14(5):054010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab154b
Wooldridge JM (2010) Econometric analysis of cross section and panel data (2nd ed.). MIT Press, 741. https://ipcig.org/evaluation/apoio/Wooldridge%20-%20Cross-section%20and%20Panel%20Data.pdf
World Bank (2010) Improving water management in rainfed agriculture: issues and options in water-constrained production systems, Report N° 69613, 1–225. World Bank. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/ru/608111468156864510/pdf/696130ESW0P1100gement0Rainfed0Final.pdf
World Bank (2022) Emplois vulnérables database. World Bank. https://donnees.banquemondiale.org/indicator/SL.EMP.VULN.ZS?locations=RW
Zhang P, Deschenes O, Meng K, Zhang J (2018) Temperature effects on productivity and factor reallocation: evidence from a half million Chinese manufacturing plants. J Environ Econ Manag 88:1–17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2017.11.001
Zimmermann L (2020) Remember when it rained – schooling responses to shocks in India. World Dev 126:104705. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104705
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank the national statistical offices of the various countries in our sample for providing the underlying data that made this research possible: Benin, Burkina Faso, Guinea, Lesotho, Malawi, Mali, Rwanda, Senegal, South Africa, and Uganda. We are also grateful to the African Union for the financial support of our research.
Funding
This study was funded by the Africa Union, but there are no access requirements.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflicts of interest
My co-author and I have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Data availability statement
We certify that the data used in the analysis of our article are available on request.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Diallo, S., Atangana Ondoa, H. Climate shocks and labor market in sub-Saharan Africa: effects on gender disparities in urban and rural areas. J. Soc. Econ. Dev. (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40847-024-00331-x
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40847-024-00331-x