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Impact of Climate Change on the Australian Agricultural Export

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Abstract

The Australian agricultural sector is of high importance as a predominant contributor to GDP and export earnings. However, rapid global warming and climate change may pose obstacles to agricultural exports. Existing literature shows that the issue is not receiving enough attention from policymakers, researchers, and academicians as it should. Therefore, in this paper, we have investigated the impact of global climate change on Australian agricultural export earnings. Our analyses, based on graphical, statistical, and econometric estimation (ordinary least squares) for the data period of 1990–2022, reveal that climate change caused by environmental pollution is harming Australian agricultural export performance. Specifically, environmental degradation and the average yearly temperature increase in Australia triggered by the exponential growth of CO2 emissions have negative impacts on Australian agricultural export growth. As the agricultural sector contributes about one-third of Australia's total export earnings, the rapid decline in its export earnings may create multiple imbalances in the Australian economy in the future. Thus, the country should launch immediate preventive actions to ameliorate the environmental condition, defending its agricultural export performance and maintaining environmental sustainability.

Highlights

  • Agriculture contributes about one-third of Australian aggregate export earnings

  • The paper sheds light on the impact of climate change on Australian agro exports

  • CO2 emissions and increased temperature are indicators of climate change

  • Climate change is affecting Australian agricultural exports

  • Improved environmental quality is needed to sustain agro-export performance

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Fig. 1

(Source: World Development Indicators (WDI), World Bank, authors own compilation)

Fig. 2

(Source: World Development Indicators (WDI), World Bank (2023), authors’ own compilation)

Fig. 3

(Source: Authors own idea.)

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We have not received any funds from any source for this research.

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Contributions

A. Conception and design. material preparation, data collection, and analysis were performed by Mohammad Abul Kashem.

B. The first draft of the manuscript was written by Mohammad Abul Kashem,

C. Mohammad Mafizur Rahman and Rasheda Khanam commented on the first draft of the manuscript and Mohammad Abul Kashem rewrote the article based on the comments and suggestions given by Professor. Mohammad Mafizur Rahman and Professor Rasheda Khanam.

D. Professor Rahman and Professor Khanam have extensively edited the revised manuscript.

E. All authors reviewed and approved the final manuscript.

F. All authors contributed to this study.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mohammad Abul Kashem.

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Kashem, M.A., Rahman, M.M. & Khanam, R. Impact of Climate Change on the Australian Agricultural Export. Environ. Process. 11, 20 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40710-024-00684-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40710-024-00684-9

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