We investigated the preferences of members of the UK general public for seeking online consultations from different providers, in the context of having symptoms for which antibiotics may be appropriate. We found that members of the public placed a high value on having a consultation with a GP via their local medical centre rather than via an online provider, and also valued shorter consultation waiting times, cheaper consultations and clinicians with good reputations. Notably, respondents were willing to pay £11 for a consultation with a GP via their local medical centre (although such consultations are free in the UK), regardless of consultation format, rather than have a consultation via an online provider. They were willing to pay a further £5 if this was a traditional face-to-face consultation. Respondents were, however, unwilling to pay for consultations by telephone, video, instant messaging service, or by submitting an electronic form and receiving a response by email. This was regardless of the type of provider.
Interestingly, respondent preferences exhibited marked heterogeneity; five population subgroups were identified with different preferences. In particular, one group who could be characterised as ‘busy young professionals’ showed a lower strength of preference for traditional consultations and a higher strength of preference for convenience, prioritising a quick consultation outcome. This finding is potentially important. One interpretation is that these individuals may be more willing to accept alternative consultation formats (e.g., video, phone) via their local medical centre. However, for the same reasons, these individuals might also be willing to seek a consultation with an online provider. If such providers adopt a more permissive approach to antimicrobial stewardship than the NHS, as has been suggested [5,6,7], this may lead to increased antimicrobial resistance, negatively impacting on population health. Indeed, evidence is emerging that children with acute respiratory infections are more likely to receive antibiotics via online consultations [38]. The impact of this prescribing behaviour could be exacerbated by the fact that the general public have a relatively poor understanding of the symptoms that indicate a need for antibiotic treatment [39, 40].
The characteristics of survey respondents differed by previous experience of online providers; those with experience were younger and less likely to be of white ethnicity. This could have implications for equity of access. Although the provision of primary care consultations in a wider variety of formats (as per recent commitments by NHS England) [4] could improve access for some patient subgroups, if this leads to a reduction in the availability of face-to-face consultations, this could have negative consequences for other patients [41]. Such variations in access to care can have notable health consequences; a Scottish study found that patients with worse access to care had more long-term illness, more multimorbidity and more chronic health problems [42].
Overall, our results suggest that in mid-2018 there was little appetite amongst the UK general public to seek consultations with GPs via online providers, or to seek consultations via their local medical centre that are not face-to-face. That said, we did observe heterogeneity in respondents’ preferences. Primary care physicians might therefore find it beneficial to collect information on the preferences of their patients for different consultation formats. This would allow access to different formats to be tailored according to patient preferences, which could allow limited GP time to be allocated more efficiently to patients. In addition, this survey presents a snapshot of general public preferences at one point in time. Both technology and the social norms that guide the use of technology are constantly evolving, so it is possible that preferences for seeking alternative consultation formats will also change. These changes may be accelerated in light of the 2019–2021 COVID-19 pandemic, during which face-to-face primary care appointments were largely suspended and replaced with virtual appointments in the UK and elsewhere [43]. There have already been calls for research into how appropriate video consultations are for dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic [44], and the impact of this pandemic on patient preferences should also be explored.
For policymakers attempting to minimise inappropriate use of antibiotics, these results suggest that interventions aiming to discourage the public from seeking antibiotic treatment from online providers may have little effect on the inappropriate use of antibiotics, unless such interventions are targeted at population subgroups more inclined to accept alternative types of consultations. Other approaches may be more successful than general public health messages, such as providing social norm feedback to high prescribers of antibiotics in general practice [11], or shared decision-making between patients and doctors [45].
To our knowledge, this is the first study to quantify the trade-offs that members of the public are willing to make when seeking a medical consultation via a variety of formats in a primary care setting. Study strengths include the recruitment of a large nationally representative sample, and the use of regression approaches that allowed us to identify population subgroups with different preferences. These results may facilitate the design of targeted interventions in the context of antibiotic treatment, although qualitative research work that examines the motivations and potential behaviours of the UK public is required to more fully understand preference heterogeneity in this context.
Our study has several limitations. First, attribute interactions were not considered in the experimental design of our DCE because they could not be specified for all choice alternatives. In addition, constraints preventing specific combinations of attribute levels could not be accommodated by the experimental design. These two factors may have reduced the face validity of the choice questions in our DCE. Appendix 2 discusses these limitations in more detail.
Second, the setting for this study was the UK NHS. In countries where patients more frequently pay directly for healthcare, or where over-the-counter sales are possible for a wide range of drugs, preferences for paid-for online consultations with private providers may differ [18]. In addition, there may be between-country differences in thresholds to consult—as previously observed for uncomplicated urinary tract infections, for example [46]—that should be borne in mind when generalising these results beyond the UK setting [47].
Third, the choice questions in our survey did not indicate a specific illness, which ensures that our results are broadly generalisable to different clinical contexts. However, preferences may differ by type of infection, or according to whether a patient is seeking treatment with antibiotics or another class of drug. For example, patients with recurrent urinary tract infections might be more willing to seek antibiotic treatment via an online or phone consultation.
Fourth, survey respondents were recruited from an online panel. This meant that, unfortunately, we could not conduct interviews with respondents after they had completed the survey to review their understanding of the choice questions, or to collect information on any assumptions they made about the choice context beyond the description that we provided (for example, regarding severity of illness or the likelihood of getting the right treatment for their condition). Furthermore, respondents might not have been representative of the general population in terms of use of online resources. However, even in this experienced population there was little appetite for consultations via online providers, so our conclusion regarding population appetite for such consultations may be conservative.
Fifth, it has been suggested that scale-adjusted latent class models could be estimated to allow for scale heterogeneity when defining latent class models [48]. However, it was not possible to estimate such a model using Stata. A further issue related to model specification is that we assumed linearity for the TIME attribute, but this assumption may not hold as the attribute level varies between 15 min and 1 week. A model that formally tested this assumption by adding an additional quadratic term for TIME yielded inconclusive results: the model fit improved in terms of AIC, but not in terms of BIC, and the quadratic term was not significant.
Sixth, Hole and Kolstad [36] have suggested that a willingness-to-pay space model is used when the cost attribute in a DCE is included as a random parameter, instead of estimating willingness-to-pay in preference space. However, none of our models applying this approach converged.
Finally, we did not collect data on the expectations of respondents regarding likelihood of antibiotic receipt, or on their ability to access consultations in different formats. Such information would allow subgroups of respondents with an appetite for different consultation formats—and the ability to access these formats—to be identified more precisely. Moreover, reported actions in a survey may not reflect physical choices in practice.