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Uncertainty quantification of a generic scramjet engine using a probabilistic collocation and a hybrid approach

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Abstract

A hybrid probabilistic model was developed and used to investigate a generic scramjet engine at flight conditions (Mach 8, 30 km altitude). To assess the robustness of the design, uncertainties in boundary conditions and modelling were considered. The full-system model is composed of three parts, which were modelled separately: inlet with isolator, combustion chamber and nozzle. The inlet and the nozzle were resolved using two-dimensional calculations solving the Reynolds averaged Navier Stokes equations, while the combustion chamber modelling was based on an one-dimensional stream tube approach. Flight properties and injection parameters were considered aleatoric in nature. Uncertainties introduced by different averaging approaches at the model interface were presumed to be epistemic. The uncertainties were propagated using probabilistic collocation if feasible and Monte Carlo simulation if necessary. The more recent probabilistic collocation approach allows a reduction of the necessary number of evaluations. Hence, a more detailed model can be employed. However, as this polynomial chaos approach is only valid for smooth transformations, it fails to predict singular hazardous events, e.g. discontinuities such as thermal choking of the combustor. To consider these events, a Monte Carlo simulation had to be applied. The hybrid model and the full probabilistic collocation model showed equivalent results. But the hybrid model acquired additional information at overall lower calculation expanses.

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Abbreviations

\(\beta \) :

Nozzle thrust vector (–)

\(\gamma \) :

Ratio of specific heats (–)

\(\delta \) :

Boundary layer height (m)

\(\zeta \) :

Vector of random variables (–)

\(\eta \) :

Efficiency (–)

\(\Theta \) :

Angle (\(\circ \))

\(\mu \) :

Mean value

\(\rho \) :

Density (kg/m\(^3\))

\(\sigma \) :

Standard deviation

\(\sigma ()\) :

Variation coefficient (–)

\(\phi \) :

Base of random variables (–)

b :

Width (m)

c :

Expansion coefficients (–)

F :

Net Force (N)

f :

Factor for Pulsonetti correlation (–)

h :

Height (m)

l :

Length (m)

Ma :

Mach number (–)

M :

Standard normal distributed random variable (–)

n :

Number of Samples (–)

P :

Degree of Polynomial Chaos expansion (–)

p :

Pressure (Pa)

r():

Correlation coefficient (–)

r :

Recovery factor (–)

T :

Temperature (K)

u :

Random variable (–)

v :

Velocity (m/s)

w :

Mass fraction (–)

xyz :

Coordinates (m)

\(\mathbf {X}\) :

Vector of random variables (–)

0:

Ambient conditions

\(\infty \) :

Infinity value

c:

Combustion

central:

Central injector position

i:

Control variable

inj:

Injector

L:

Lift direction

mix:

Mixing

rel:

Reliability

T:

Thrust direction

t,tot:

Total

var:

Variables

w:

Wall

wall:

Wall injector position

AoA:

Angle of attack

CFD:

Computational fluid dynamics

CI:

Central injector

CMES:

Conserved mass/energy/entropy method

CMME:

Conserved mass/momentum/energy method

ER:

Equivalence ratio

Lang:

Langley distortion methodology

LHS:

Latin Hypercube Sampling

Mawe:

Mass flux-weighting

PCM:

Probabilistic collocation method

QoI:

Quantities of interest

RANS:

Reynolds averaged Navier Stokes Equations

SERN:

Single expansion ramp nozzle

WI:

Wall injector

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Acknowledgements

The present work was created as part of the Research Training Group GRK1095/2. The authors want to thank the German Research Foundation (DFG) for providing financial support.

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Feil, M., Staudacher, S. Uncertainty quantification of a generic scramjet engine using a probabilistic collocation and a hybrid approach. CEAS Aeronaut J 9, 649–659 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13272-018-0303-6

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