A total of 48 experiments were performed in randomized order to determine the effect of the factors [concentration of PEG 400 (%PEG), concentration of oil (%Oil) and oil chain length (CL)] on four characteristic responses: viscosity of the system (η) at 25 °C, temperature at which the maximum viscosity was reached (peak temperature), maximum increase in viscosity and droplet size (particle size). Table 1 shows the experimental design matrix with factors and the results of the response variables studied. The increase in viscosity of samples with peak temperature below 25 °C is marked as 0% because in EOR the pumping process usually occurs at room temperature, however all samples showed an increase in viscosity somewhere between 5 °C and 70 °C.
Table 1 Experimental design matrix with factors and the results of the response variables studied The peak temperature should ideally be close to that of the oil wells (approximately 60 °C) to guarantee that the fluid would be at its maximum viscosity during extraction work, increasing the oil displacement in the porous medium [7]. Samples that showed peak temperature between 50 °C and 70 °C (samples 3, 4, 6, 7, 11, 13, 14, 15, 27, 28, 31, 33, 34, 43, 44 and 47) have broadly different compositions. The difference in composition indicates that there is no clear correlation between one factor studied and the peak temperature response. It is likely that two or more factors and their interactions are responsible for tuning the peak temperature property of the system.
The injection of chemical fluids to the oil wells seeks to increase miscibility between the injected fluid and the oil, decrease the interfacial tension to increase wettability of rock surface and increase viscosity of the injected fluid [7]. The highest increase in viscosity of 3836.5% was obtained with sample 15, which has 20% IPM in its composition with no addition of PEG 400. IPM has low toxicity [28] and could be used as a component of a flooding fluid without significant environmental impact. The presence of IPM in concentrations above 15% in sample 15 and other samples which had high increase in viscosity (samples 4, 6 and 14) shows that the presence and characteristics of the oil phase are critical in obtaining a thermoresponsive behavior of the system. The hypothesis is that there is synergistic effect occurring between Pluronic copolymers and the nanoemulsion droplets [8]. The viscosity diagram of sample 15 is displayed in Online Resource 1.
The viscosity at room temperature should be as low as possible to facilitate the pumping of the fluid into the wells. The lowest viscosities at 25 °C were obtained in samples with concentrations of oil lower than 10% (samples 1, 17, 33, 35, 42 and 43), however they did not show a high increase in viscosity nor did they have an adequate peak temperature. The low viscosity at room temperature with lower concentration of oil shows that the oil phase not only is linked to the gelling behavior of the system, but also has a direct influence on the viscosity at 25 °C, increasing the viscosity of the nanoemulsion before any temperature or shear trigger.
Usually, a clear and stable nanoemulsion has its structures (droplets of oil in water or water in oil interacting with the surfactants) in sizes up to 100 nm [7]. All samples formulated with capric acid (CL = 10) had a particle size bigger than 100 nm, indicating that the chain length has a clear influence on particle size property. It also indicates that capric acid could be considered a less suitable oil among the oils studied to produce clear and stable nanoemulsions. Samples formulated with different CL, PEG concentration and oil concentration were able to produce nanoemulsions with particle size up to 100 nm, indicating that other factors and their interactions are also influencing the response.
Analysis of variance (ANOVA) was performed to verify whether the influence of each component of the formulation and their interactions are significant on the responses studied. The results of p-value and F value obtained for all the factors and their interactions are shown in Table 2.
P-value is the probability used to determine if the effect or the interaction of effects in the model is statistically significant. For a 95% confidence level, the p-value should be less or equal to 0.05 for a factor to be considered statistically significant [23]. The degree of significance can be ranked based on F values. The greater the F value, the more significant the factor is, if its p-value is less than 0.05. The results of p-values from ANOVA reported in Table 2 show that all the responses are significantly influenced by at least two factors or interaction of factors. The complexity of the system makes it hard to predict its behavior without a mathematical model associated to each response. Statistical analysis also makes it possible to propose an optimized formulation considering how all the variables and their interactions influence the rheology of the system.
Table 2 Results of F values and p-values from ANOVA for each response, considering all factors and their binary interactions Table 3 shows the order of importance of statistically significant factors for each response based on the results from ANOVA in Table 2.
Table 3 Order of importance of statistically significant factors for each response The oil chain length (CL) is the main influence factor on three out of four responses studied and its interaction with %Oil also shows important effect on all four responses. The interaction between CL and %Oil and %Oil alone also have significant influence on all responses studied. That again confirms that the presence and properties of the oil phase are critical in defining the rheological behavior of the system.
The concentration of cosurfactant PEG 400 and its interactions have the least significant influence on the responses in general. Hashemnejad et al. found that an increase in the concentration of PEG 400 lowers the gelation temperature of their nanoemulsion-based system [8]. Prior studies of Pluronic aqueous solutions also showed that the presence of short PEG chains lowers the critical micellization temperature [19, 20]. We were able to obtain a formulation with desired rheological behavior without addition of PEG 400 (sample 15). However, Table 2 and Table 3 show that %PEG and %PEG interactions do have statistically significant influence on the responses, even if they are less significant than the influence of other factors and interactions. The %PEG should, therefore, be considered when doing optimization calculations. The direction and magnitude of the influence of each factor can be verified through the coefficients in the equations of each model adjusted, found in Online Resource 1.
The results of the tests used to assess the adequacy of the models are summarized in Table 4. The coefficient of determination (R2) measures the total variability of the model, however a potential problem with this statistic is that it always increases as factors are added, whether they are significant or not [23]. The adjusted-R2 (R2aj) is a statistic adjusted to the number of factors in the model in a way that it decreases if insignificant factors are added, thus it is preferred to use the adjusted-R2 to evaluate the model adequacy [23]. The predicted-R2 (R2pred) assess if the model is good at making predictions, namely, it determines whether there is an overfitting of the model.
Table 4 Statistics used to test the adequacy of the models proposed The statistics of adequacy show that the model proposed for η at 25 °C is neither well adjusted for the number of significant factors nor it is a good predictor. This might indicate that there are external factors influencing this response that we are unaware of and were not considered. For the other responses, the values of R2 and R2aj show that the models are well fitted for the data presented (R2 values above 95%) and are reasonably adjusted to the number of significant factors of each model (R2aj values above 87%), indicating that the regression explained the process adequately. The low values of R2 pred for peak temperature and increase in η show that the models are unable to explain the variability in new data well due to overfitting. However, the model proposed for particle size can explain variability of new data effectively, with R2 pred of 95,89%.
Figures 1, 2, 3 and 4 depict the three-dimensional surface plots of the main interaction effects between factors on the responses increase in η, η at 25 °C, peak temperature and particle size, respectively, at a fixed value of the third parameter.
The surface plots in Figs. 1, 2, 3 and 4 show that the samples prepared with capric acid (CL = 10) resulted in systems with larger particles, lower peak temperature, higher viscosity at 25 °C and lower increase in viscosity, which is the opposite of ideal for EOR application. Higher concentrations of oil result in higher increase in viscosity, however it also results in higher viscosity at 25 °C. All four three-dimensional plots showed non-linear surfaces, which justifies the need of adding center points to a two-level full factorial design. Optimization was designed to achieve maximum increase in viscosity, minimum viscosity at 25 °C and maximum peak temperature with α = 0.05, and sample 15 was pointed out with composite desirability of 0.73. The equations of each model adjusted are found in Online Resource 1.
The surface tension of sample 15 at 25 °C was 33.363 ± 0.028 mN/m, being 54% lower than the surface tension of the water at the same temperature. This feature of low surface tension is desirable for EOR application because it improves the wettability of the rocks in the reservoir [18]. The wettability is related to capillarity effects and is critical in determining the affinity of the oil with the reservoir rock and how easily it will be displaced [7].
The emulsion phase inversion technique used to prepare the nanoemulsion is a low-energy easy-to-scale method that makes the use of the technology cost-effective. In contrast to traditional emulsification processes, such as ultrasonication and high-pressure homogenization, this synthesis method offers the feasibility of large scale production [8].