Introduction

In the development process of reservoirs with bottom water by horizontal wells, the nonuniform of water breakthrough time along horizontal wellbore is mainly caused by the wellbore pressure drop and the heterogeneity of the reservoir. As the duration of the development, once the bottom water intrudes, it is difficult to identify the breakthrough locations, which makes water plugging be one of the main obstacles of horizontal well technology. Up to now, studies on water plugging are mainly about bottom water coning mechanism (Recham et al. 2000; Wibowo et al. 2004; Erdal and Rajagopal 1989), plugging technics (Bond A et al. 1997; Zhou et al. 2011) and plugging agent (Zaitoun et al. 1999; Zhou et al. 2010). However, studies on identification of breakthrough locations are infrequent. At present, the main method of identifying the breakthrough locations is well logging, which is not only very expensive, but also difficult to operate (Li et al. 2005). Therefore, an economic and effective method of identifying the breakthrough locations is very helpful to the popularity of horizontal well technology. Water breakthrough along horizontal wellbore in reservoirs with bottom water is mainly affected by the distribution of vertical permeability. Bottom water breaks through earlier where high permeability channels exist. Therefore, the crux of water plugging is to plug the high permeability channels.

A coupled model of two phase flow in the formation and variable mass flow in the horizontal wellbore in reservoirs with bottom water has been built in this paper. Keeping the average vertical permeability and the permeability variation coefficient constant, we can construct different kinds of distributions of vertical permeability along the wellbore by Lorentz curve (Sarabia et al. 1999). Compare the curves of cumulative watercut and oil recovery under different kinds of distributions of vertical permeability along the wellbore with the actual curve to identify the high permeability channels. It is proved that the result is precise and can provide a theoretical basis for putting water plugging of horizontal wells into effect.

Modeling

Reservoir model

Assume that there is a horizontal well with a length of L in a heterogeneous reservoir with bottom water and the distance from well to the original oil/water contact is h. Figure 1 is the sectional view of the reservoir perpendicular to the horizontal wellbore. Establish a rectangular coordinate system as shown in Fig. 1, with the original oil/water contact as its x-axis, and the line through the wellbore and perpendicular to the original oil/water contact as its z-axis. Divide the reservoir into n permeability zones along the wellbore to be convenient for solution.

Fig. 1
figure 1

The section across the horizontal wellbore of the reservoir

Assume that oil and water are immiscible and incompressible. The two-dimensional and two-phase seepage equation of any point on the section at time t can be written as follows (Liu 1992):

ϕ S w ( t ) t + v x ( t ) f w ( S w ) x + v z ( t ) f w ( S w ) z = 0
(1)

where, ϕ is the porosity of the point; S w ( t ) is the water saturation of the point at time t; f w is the watercut of the point; v x ( t ) is the velocity component in direction x of the point at time t, m/d; v z ( t ) is the velocity component in direction z of the point at time t, m/d.

According to the principle of superposition, the velocity of any point on the section at time t can be written as follows (Liu 1992):

v x ( t ) = - Q i ( t ) 2 h L i s h ( π x / 2 h ) sin ( π z / 2 h ) c h 2 ( π x / 2 h ) - sin 2 ( π z / 2 h )
(2)
v z ( t ) = Q i ( t ) 2 h L i c h ( π x / 2 h ) cos ( π z / 2 h ) c h 2 ( π x / 2 h ) - sin 2 ( π z / 2 h )
(3)

where, Q i ( t ) is the liquid production rate in permeability zone i at time t, m3/d; L i is the width of permeability zone i, m; h is the distance from the wellbore to the original oil/water contact, m; x is the horizontal coordinate of the point, m; z is the vertical coordinate of the point, m.

As known in equivalent filtrational resistance law (Zhang et al. 2004), flow in every permeability zone can be seen as a combination of two kinds of flow, one is uniflow from the original oil/water contact to the wellbore, and the other one is radial flow from a synthetic supply boundary around wellbore to the wellbore. The productivity equation in permeability zone i at time t can be written as follows (Ehlers and Bluhm 2002):

Q i t = 8.64 Δ P i ( t ) μ i t L i K i B h + μ i ( t ) 2 π K i B l n L i π R w ( i = 1 , 2 , , n )
(4)

where, ΔP i (t) is the pressure drop from the original oil/water contact to the wellbore in permeability zone i at time t, 10−1 MPa; μ i (t) is the average viscosity of the fluid in permeability zone i at time t, which equals to the weighted mean of the oil viscosity and the water viscosity by water saturation, MPa s K i is the average vertical permeability in permeability zone i, 10−3 μm2; B is the control width across the horizontal wellbore, m; R w is the wellbore radius, m.

Wellbore model

As shown in Fig. 2, the wellbore is divided into n infinitesimals which are one-to-one correspondence to the permeability zones in the reservoir.

Fig. 2
figure 2

The horizontal wellbore model diagram

Assume that fluid in horizontal wellbore is incompressible and flows isothermally. According to the mass conservation law and the momentum conservation law, the wellbore pressure drop equation in infinitesimal i at time t can be written as follows (Liu and Jiang 1998):

d P i ( t ) = 10 - 5 C o h f ρ 1 ( t ) L 1 16 π 2 R w 5 + ρ 1 ( t ) π 2 R w 4 Q 1 2 ( t ) i = 1 i = 1 10 - 5 C o h f ρ i ( t ) L i 16 π 2 R w 5 2 k = 1 i - 1 Q k ( t ) + Q i ( t ) 2 + 10 - 5 ρ i ( t ) Q i ( t ) π 2 R w 4 2 k = 1 i - 1 Q k ( t ) + Q i ( t ) i = 2 , 3 , , n
(5)

where, ρ i ( t ) can be calculated by the following equation:

ρ i ( t ) = k = 1 i Q w k ( t ) k = 1 i Q k ( t ) ρ w + k = 1 i Q w k ( t ) k = 1 i Q k ( t ) ρ o ( i = 1 , 2 , , n ) .
(6)

Water production rate in infinitesimal i at time t can be written as follows:

Q w i ( t ) = Q i ( t ) f w ( S w 2 i ( t ) ) ( i = 1 , 2 , , n )
(7)

where, dP i (t) is the wellbore pressure drop in infinitesimal i at time t, 10−1 MPa; f is the friction coefficient of the wellbore; C oh is the correction pipe friction factor, which can be obtained by laboratory experiments; ρ i (t) is the average density of the fluid in infinitesimal i at time t, kg/m3; ρo is the oil density, kg/m3; ρw is the water density, kg/m3; Q w i ( t ) is the water production rate in infinitesimal i at time t, m3/d; Sw2i(t) is the water saturation around the wellbore in permeability zone i at time t.

Coupled reservoir-wellbore model

The pressure drop from the original oil/water contact to the wellbore in permeability zone i at time t and the wellbore pressure drop in infinitesimal i at time t satisfy the following equation:

Δ P i t = Δ P i - 1 t + d P i - 1 ( i = 2 , 3 , . , n ) .
(8)

Assume that the horizontal well produces with a constant liquid rate of Q ( t ) during t ~ t + ∆t, we can get the following equation:

Q ( t ) = i = 1 n Q i ( t ) ( i = 1 , 2 , , n ) .
(9)

The simultaneous equations above can be solved by iteration method. We can get the distribution of water saturation in the reservoir, liquid rate, pressure, oil rate along wellbore, and watercut in the wellhead at any time.

Analysis of the dynamic characteristic curves

The distribution of vertical permeability along the wellbore will not affect the dynamic data in the wellhead, if the wellbore pressure drop is ignored. Considering the wellbore pressure drop, the influence of the distribution of vertical permeability on producing dynamic data in the wellhead is analyzed with the actual data in TaHe oilfield in China. Keep the average vertical permeability and the permeability variation coefficient along the wellbore constant, change the distribution of vertical permeability, on the basis of which we can get different relations between cumulative watercut and oil recovery. The base data of the well are shown in Table 1. The oil–water relative permeability curve is shown in Fig. 3. Figure 4 shows the liquid production rate during 1,350 days.

Table 1 Base data of the well
Fig. 3
figure 3

The oil–water relative permeability curve

Fig. 4
figure 4

Liquid production rate curve of the horizontal well

Assume that the average vertical permeability along the wellbore is 200 × 10−3 μm2, the permeability variation coefficient is 0.3. Construct 5 kinds of distributions of vertical permeability along the wellbore by the Lorentz curve, which are shown in Fig. 5. The distance from the high permeability channel to the heel of the wellbore is 0, L/4, L/2, 3L/4 and L, respectively.

Fig. 5
figure 5

Five kinds of distributions of vertical permeability along the wellbore

Solve the simultaneous equations with the actual data. Figure 6 shows the curves of cumulative watercut (cumulative water divided by cumulative liquid) and oil recovery under 5 kinds of distributions of vertical permeability along the wellbore in semi-log coordinate.

Fig. 6
figure 6

Curves of cumulative watercut and oil recovery under 5 kinds of distributions of vertical permeability along the wellbore in semi-log coordinate

As shown in Fig. 6, under 5 kinds of distributions of vertical permeability, there will be a line segment on the curve of cumulative watercut and oil recovery when oil recovery reaches some value. Affected by the high permeability channel, an inflexion will appear before the line segment when the distance between the high permeability channel and the heel is greater than 0. In other words, as the increase of oil recovery, cumulative watercut increases slowly first, then rapidly, and then slowly. A small distance between the high permeability channel and the heel of the wellbore contributes to a fast growth rate of watercut, an early appearance time of the inflexion and the line segment, and a serious effect of the high permeability channel on the watercut. The closer the distance between the high permeability channel and the toe of the wellbore is, the clearer the inflexion will be. When the distance between the high permeability channel and the heel is greater than 3L/4, the influence of the location of the high permeability channel on the curve is little. When the distance between the high permeability channel and the heel is less than 3L/4, the influence of the location of the high permeability channel on the curve becomes greater and greater. When the line segment and inflexion appear, the oil recoveries under 5 kinds of distributions of vertical permeability are shown in Table 2.

Table 2 Oil recoveries when the inflexion and the line segment appear under 5 kinds of distributions of vertical permeability along the wellbore

Identification of high permeability channels

When the line segment and the inflexion appear, oil recoveries will differ with the change of the location of the high permeability channel. According to this character, we can identify the location of the high permeability channel. Figure 7 shows the actual curve of cumulative watercut and oil recovery of the horizontal well in semi-log coordinate. We can see that an inflexion appears when oil recovery reaches about 21 % and a line segment appears when oil recovery reaches about 26 %.

Fig. 7
figure 7

Actual curve between cumulative watercut and oil recovery of the horizontal well in semi-log coordinate

Compared with Fig. 6 and Table 2, it can be judged that the high permeability channel locates between Distribute 2 and Distribute 3, about in the middle of the wellbore. Figure 8 shows the vertical permeability along the wellbore interpreted by well logging data. We can see that the high permeability channel roughly locates between 100 m and 200 m from the heel. The result calculated is similar to the well log interpretation, and the method can be popularized.

Fig. 8
figure 8

Result of the well logging interpretation of the horizontal well’s vertical permeability

Conclusions

  1. 1.

    A coupled model between two phase flow in the formation and variable mass flow in the horizontal wellbore has been built in this paper. By simulation, we can see that the distribution of vertical permeability along the wellbore plays an important part in the production data due to the presence of the wellbore pressure drop. As a result, the wellbore pressure drop cannot be ignored in the development of oil fields.

  2. 2.

    In the presence of a high permeability channel, there will be a line segment on the curve of cumulative watercut and oil recovery when oil recovery reaches some value. Affected by the high permeability channel, an inflexion will appear before the line segment, when the distance between the high permeability channel and the heel is greater than 0.

  3. 3.

    A small distance between the high permeability channel and the heel of the wellbore contributes to a fast growth rate of watercut, an early appearance time of the inflexion and the line segment, and a serious effect of the high permeability channel on the watercut. The closer the distance between the high permeability channel and the toe of the horizontal well is, the clearer the inflexion will be.

  4. 4.

    The locations of high permeability channels can be judged through the oil recoveries when the inflexion and the line segment appear on the curve of cumulative watercut and oil recovery in semi-log coordinate, which can provide a theoretical basis for putting water plugging of horizontal well into effect.