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Tales of Serendipity in Highly Cited Research: an Explorative Study

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Abstract

Research and innovation are attributed a growing role in maintaining global competitiveness; in particular, research advances are seen as important catalysts for innovation and growth. However, our understanding is still limited concerning how important research results are achieved. This is particularly the case for the role of serendipity, where discoveries or the path towards them are unexpected. This paper explores through the use of a narrative approach the role of planned and unplanned factors and presents elements for understanding how and when serendipity occurs in highly cited research. In this explorative study, we have interviewed 12 first authors, each of whom has played a key role in a highly cited piece of research. Their own perceptions of how research progressed, key turning points, and conditions for the research are important in illustrating what motivates and influences the researchers’ pursuit of new discoveries. The narrative approach, by introducing a temporal element, is both able to characterize the stories behind the advances, including key turning points in achieving research accomplishments, and to analyze cross-cutting themes related to researcher behavior and environment for the research.

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Notes

  1. For example, H. Zuckerman, S. and J. Cole, R. Andrews, B. Barber and W. Hagstrom.

  2. Irving Langmuir, address to the G.E. Research Colloquium (December 1951), partly paraphrased and partly quoted in G.E. Shareholders’ Quarterly (25 July 1952). Taken from Merton and Barber (2004), pp. 200-201.

  3. This choice was made in order to examine the most recent papers possible (at the time of case selection). However, this choice of three-year citation windows does have the drawback that we do not select any papers that are slow to be cited and only become highly cited after 5 or more years.

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Acknowledgements

We are grateful to Sarah de Rijcke and Thomas Franssen for their help in conducting a number of the interviews for this study and for fruitful discussions on earlier versions of the paper.

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Correspondence to Carter Bloch.

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Bloch, C., Sørensen, M.P. & Young, M. Tales of Serendipity in Highly Cited Research: an Explorative Study. J Knowl Econ 11, 1596–1613 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-019-00625-0

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