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Stock assessment for Atlantic yellowfin tuna based on extended surplus production model considering life history

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Abstract

The modern fishery stock assessment could be conducted by various models, such as Stock Synthesis model with high data requirement and complicated model structure, and the basic surplus production model, which fails to incorporate individual growth, maturity, and fishery selectivity, etc. In this study, the Just Another Bayesian Biomass Assessment (JABBA) Select which is relatively balanced between complex and simple models, was used to conduct stock assessment for yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares) in the Atlantic Ocean. Its population dynamics was evaluated, considering the influence of selectivity patterns and different catch per unit effort (CPUE) indices on the stock assessment results. The model with three joint longline standardized CPUE indices and logistic selectivity pattern performed well, without significant retrospective pattern. The results indicated that the stock is not overfished and not subject to overfishing in 2018. Sensitivity analyses indicated that stock assessment results are robust to natural mortality but sensitive to steepness of the stock-recruitment relationship and fishing selectivity. High steepness was revealed to be more appropriate for this stock, while the fishing selectivity has greater influence to the assessment results than life history parameters. Overall, JABBA-Select is suitable for the stock assessment of Atlantic yellowfin tuna with different selectivity patterns, and the assumptions of natural mortality and selectivity pattern should be improved to reduce uncertainties.

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Acknowledgements

We appreciate ICCAT’s supporting for data sharing, and gratefully thank Kindong Richard and Dongyan Han for their efforts to improve the manuscript.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, 201306, China

    Zhipan Tian, Siquan Tian & Qiuyun Ma

  2. National Distant-water Fisheries Engineering Research Center, Shanghai, 201306, China

    Siquan Tian & Qiuyun Ma

  3. Key Laboratory of Sustainable Exploitation of Oceanic Fisheries Resources, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, 201306, China

    Siquan Tian & Qiuyun Ma

  4. Fisheries College, Zhejiang Ocean University, Zhoushan, 316022, China

    Fei Wang

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  1. Zhipan Tian
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  2. Fei Wang
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Correspondence to Qiuyun Ma.

Additional information

Foundation item: The Fund of National Key R&D Programs of China under contract No. 2019YFD0901404; the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation under contract No. 2019M651475.

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Tian, Z., Wang, F., Tian, S. et al. Stock assessment for Atlantic yellowfin tuna based on extended surplus production model considering life history. Acta Oceanol. Sin. 41, 41–51 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13131-021-1924-x

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