Abstract
Selecting a landfill site is a difficult task because the process depends on many factors and restrictions. Landfill is an optimal solution for the disposal of solid waste in Al-Musayiab Qadhaa, which is located in the northern part of Babylon Governorate. At the moment, there is no landfill site in that area that follows the scientific selection site criteria. For this reason, in this research, fifteen variables were considered (groundwater depth, rivers, soil types; agriculture lands use, land use, elevation, slope, gas pipelines, oil pipelines, power lines, roads, railways, urban centers, villages and archeological sites) using geographic information system (GIS) to find out the best suitable landfill site. In addition, two methods of multi-criteria decision-making were used to derive weights for criterion’s maps on GIS to obtain potential landfill sites. The first method is analytical hierarchy process (AHP) which was used to identify the weight for each criterion from the matrix of pairwise comparisons. The second method was the simple additive weighting (SAW) which is a simple method to solve the problem of the selection landfill sites. After comparison of the results obtained based on combining two final maps resulted from methods of AHP and SAW using GIS environment to determine the pixels percentage of matching and non-matching for two maps, two suitable candidate landfill sites were identified that satisfy the requirements with an area of 7.965–5.952 km2. Area of these sites can accommodate the solid waste generated from the Qadhaa up to 2030.
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Introduction
In developing countries, choosing an appropriate sanitary site for landfill to get rid of solid waste is the most cost-effective system for most urban areas. Such a decision needs extensive process for the evaluation of the lands in order to determine the proper place for disposal of solid waste optimally. This site must conform to environmental and scientific requirements and governmental regulations in any country. It should also reduce economic, environmental, health and social effects and cost when selecting a landfill (Siddiqui et al. 1999). Lately, solid waste management became an urgent need as a result of increasing environmental problems in urban areas. Therefore, there is a tendency to select or design a landfill site to increase the protection of the environment in those areas and their surrounding (Nas et al. 2010). There are many factors to be taken into account in the process of identifying landfill sites, where the combination of these factors in the selection process is a complex task. These factors include social, environmental, technical and economic considerations. Economic factors comprise the costs associated by purchasing lands, operation and development of the site. For this reason, they have an important role in the landfill selection process (Delgado et al. 2008; Yesilnacar and Cetin 2008). Environmental factors must be considered where landfill might have an adverse effect on the environment of the surrounding area (Kontos et al. 2003; Siddiqui et al. 1999; Lober 1995). The biggest obstacle to identify the most suitable locations for landfill is social and political opposition for these locations, which cause tremendous pressure on the decision makers in the process of selecting suitable sites for landfills (Chang et al. 2007; Kontos et al. 2003; Lin and Kao 1999). Cost of transportation is also an important factor because far distance from the main roads and waste production centers to landfill causes additional cost on the beneficiary’s budget (Wang et al. 2009). In the process of taking decision regarding selecting landfill site, many factors should be incorporated into ideal technological geographic approaches that allow the integration of multialternatives in its environment. Geographic information system (GIS) is one of these approaches, which have high ability to manage large volumes of spatial data and simulate necessary effect factors from variety of sources (Şener et al. 2011; Delgado et al. 2008; Kontos et al. 2003). In order to derive weights for criteria maps and use them in the GIS to get on a suitable site for landfill, many methods of multi-criteria decision-making can be used. Analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and simple additive weighting (SAW) are examples of such methods. AHP was originally developed by Thomas Saaty in 1980. It is one of the methods used for taking a decision for multi-criteria variables, where it reduces complex decisions to a series of pairwise comparisons and consistency. The results are given in a matrix of pairwise comparison. Simple additive weighting (SAW) is considered a real application that depends on personal decision using the experts’ opinion of the decision-making model (Afshari et al. 2010).
This study focuses on selecting suitable candidate sites for landfills through inserting multi-criteria in GIS for Al-Musayiab Qadhaa in Babylon Governorate, Iraq, using AHP and SAW. In addition, the results of the two methods are compared to select the most suitable site.
Methodology
The study area
Al-Musayiab Qadhaa is considered as one of the major Babylon Governorate provinces. It is located in the northern part of this governorate (longitude 44° 2′ 43″ E and 44° 29′ 32″ E, and latitude 32° 31′ 50″ N and 33° 7′ 36″ N) (Fig. 1). It consists of four districts which are Al-Musayyab, Al-Sadah, Al-Iskandariyah and Jurf Al-Sakhar.
The area of Al-Musayiab Qadhaa is 1008 km2, which represents 18.9% of the total area of the Babylon Governorate (Iraqi Ministry of Municipalities and Public Works 2009). Its population is 397,425 inhabitants in 2015 (Iraqi Ministry of Planning 2015) which represent 18.97% of the total population in the governorate.
Creation the tree of the decision process for landfill siting
Many researchers exerted hard effort in their researches in the process of site selection by adopting many approaches and depending on nature of factors and criteria available in each country.
In this work previous research, opinions of many experts in this field and data available about the study area (e.g., maps of the criteria, database for groundwater, quantity of solid waste, environmental factors, social factors, cultural factors, etc.) were used. Accordingly, the hierarchical structure of the decision problem of site selection for landfill in Al-Musayiab Qadhaa was constructed. It includes three levels as shown in Fig. 2. The first level includes two broad categories which are natural environmental and artificial factors. The second level comprises six main groups of factors. They are: hydrological, land, topographical, infrastructure, accessibility and social–cultural factors. The third level consists of all criteria (15 criterions), which were used in this study to get the suitable candidate sites for the landfill. These criteria are groundwater depth, rivers, soil types; agriculture lands use, land use, elevation, slope, gas pipelines, oil pipelines, power lines, roads, railways, urban centers, villages and archeological sites.
Maps selected for the used criteria
Individual maps (topography, slope, river, road, urban centers, villages, gas pipelines, oil pipelines, power lines and railways) were obtained, and shape files were prepared accordingly using the internal reports of the Iraqi Ministry of Education. To create the shape file of groundwater depths, data for 170 wells (Iraqi Ministry of Water Resources 2015) were entered into GIS software to generate interpolation between them using the spatial extension tool known as Kriging. For preparing the shape file of “Agricultural land use”, land capability map of Iraq (scale 1:1,000,000) was used (Iraqi Ministry of Water Resources 1990). It was then checked through analyzing the satellite images of Babylon Governorate dated 2011 (Iraqi Ministry of Municipalities and Public Works 2011). The relevant information was obtained using in archeological sites map (scale 1:1,500,000) (The Archaeological Map of Iraq 2013), industrial areas map (scale 1:400,000) (Iraqi Ministry of Municipalities and Public Works 2011) and the exploratory soil map (scale 1:1,000,000) (Buringh 1960). The information was then used within GIS using its spatial analyst tools (as a separate shape file) in each map, and then they were converted to the raster maps.
Input data
There were many steps that were performed in GIS in order to get the final required layers in this study (e.g., Buffer, Clip, Extract, Overlay, Proximity, Convert, Reclassify and Map Algebra, etc.). In GIS, each criterion was classified into classes, and each class was given a suitability score value based on view of experts and previous literature in this field, as shown in Table 1. In each criterion, it a buffer zone was created from or around an important site or geographic feature, and then the map of studied area was divided into zones to suit every criterion map within the GIS environment. The resulting buffer maps were converted to raster maps. For “groundwater depth” layer, potential sites were given a rating according to groundwater depth readings. A depth between 0–2.5, 2.5–5, 5–7.5, 7.5–10 m and more than 10 to groundwater was given grades values of 1, 2, 4, 6, and 10, respectively (Fig. 3a). For rivers, the buffer zone was considered less than 1000 m, from river boundary. The grading was given a value of zero in order to protect surface water from contamination, as shown in Fig. 3b. For the topography (Fig. 3c), elevations between 23 and 30 m above mean sea level (a.m.s.l.) were deemed moderately suitable, between 30 and 37 m (a.m.s.l.) were suitable and elevations greater than 37 m (a.m.s.l.) were the most suitable. These categories of elevation map layer were given values of 3, 7 and 10 respectively. For “Slope” layer, all the land in the study area has a slope of 0°–5° and was given a rating value of 10 (Fig. 3d). For the layer of “Soil Types”, there are six types of soils in Al- Musayiab Qadhaa (Buringh 1960). They are: Basin Depression Soils 6 (A), River basin soils, poorly drained phase 5′ (B), River Basin Soils, poorly drained phase 5 (C), River Levee Soils 4 (D), Mixed Gypsiferous Desert Land 17 (E), Sand Dune Land 18 (F) and Gypsiferous Gravel Soils 1 (G). After merging all these categories in single layer, this layer was converted to a raster layer. These types were given grades of 10, 9, 8, 7, 3, 2 and 1, respectively (Fig. 3e). More details about these types are given by (Chabuk et al. 2016). The layer “Land Use” of the study area was classified into one of eight categories: urban centers, villages, industrial areas, archeological sites, rivers, agricultural land, orchards and unused land. The categories’ orchards and unused lands were given ratings of 5 and 10, respectively, whereas other categories were assigned a score of zero (Fig. 3f). For “Agricultural land use” (Fig. 3g), the layer was divided into three categories: agricultural land, orchards and unused land. Agricultural land, orchards and unused land were given grades value of zero, 5 and 10, respectively. The layer of “Roads” included the main roads and highways. In this study, buffer zones from roads to landfill sites were classified to 4 categories (less than 500 m, 500–1000 m, 2000–3000 m and greater than 3000 m). These were given scores of zero, 7, 5 and 3, respectively. Buffer zones of 1000–2000 m were assigned the highest score of 10 (Fig. 3h). In “Railway” layer, buffer zones of less than 500 m on both sides were given a score of zero (Fig. 3i). For “Urban Centers” layer, a buffer zone less than 5 km around the borders of urban centers to landfill was given a score of zero and buffer zones between of 5 and 10 km were given the highest score (10). Buffer zones between 10 to 15 km and more than 15 km were given scores value of 7 and 4, respectively (Fig. 3j). For the “villages” layer, buffer zones less than 1000 m were given a grading value of zero (Fig. 3k). In the “Archeological Sites” layer, buffer zones more than 3 km around these areas were scored 10. Buffer zones of 1–3 km were scored 5, while buffer zones of ≤1 km around these areas were excluded (scored zero) (Fig. 3l). The buffer zones from Gas pipelines, oil pipelines and power lines to a landfill site were taken in this study as 300, 75 and 30 m on both sides. Thereby, it was given a grading value of zero. Distances more than these limits they were given a score value of 10 (Fig. 3m, n, o).
Methods of analysis process
After preparing all criteria within GIS, and then in order to get suitable landfill candidate sites for in Al-Musayiab Qadhaa, two methods were adopted to derive weights for criteria. They were used in the application of spatial extension tool “Map Algebra” in GIS to produce the final output map for suitability index for landfill site after implementing the comparison between these two methods. This was achieved as follows:
Simple Additive Weighting (SAW) method
Simple additive weighting (SAW), also defined as weighted linear combination or scoring method, is considered as a simple method that uses multi-attribute decision technique. It is based on experts’ opinion to derive the weight for each criterion, as well as selecting the importance and weight of each criterion relative to other criterion in this study. There are two assumptions in the SAW method of additivity and linearity. These assumptions are very difficult to apply to solve real problems. In linearity assumption, any additional unit to an attribute remains constant at any level of that attribute, while in additivity assumption there is no interaction or no effect between the layers (Şener et al. 2006; Şener 2004). In this study, serious attempt was carried out to strongly complement between criteria layers. The advantage of such method is that it is a proportional linear transformation of the raw data. This means that the relative order of magnitude of the standardized scores will be kept equal (Afshari et al. 2010). This method is based on the weighted average. The score can be calculated for each alternative by multiplying the normalized weight of relative importance for each criterion (which is assigned by the decision maker) by the standardized rating value of subcriterion scaled range for each criterion. Finally, the products for all attribute are summed up. In the beginning, set of evaluation criteria (map layers and the set of feasible alternatives) were defined in the GIS based on simple additive weighting method (Şener 2004). In this study, fifteen map layers of necessary criteria were taken into consideration in the process of landfill site selection. The weights of the criteria were normalized to generate the score for each criterion (Table 1). These weights were then converted into map forms using the spatial extensions tool of “Map Algebra” in GIS environment. This helped to create the final output map of landfill suitability using SAW method.
The mathematical formulation to evaluate each alternative (S i ) using the simple additive weighting method was as follows (Eskandari et al. 2012; Afshari et al. 2010):
where:S i : suitability index for area i; W j : relative importance of normalized weight of criterion (attribute); N ij : the standardized rating value of area i under criterion j; and n: number of criteria.
For the suitability of the selected landfill sites, the final output map was divided into five categories, including the category of restricted areas for landfill siting, where the category was restricted only from the final output map, and it covered areas of 60.9 km2 (6.87%) with a zero value. Other categories were classified according to the area related to each classification and its proportion of the total study area. These classifications are “unsuitable”, “moderately suitable”, “suitable” and “most suitable”; they covered areas of 24.1 km2 (2.71%), 191.3 km2 (21.6%), 384.5 km2 (43.42%) and 225.2 km2 (25.4%), respectively (Fig. 4a).
Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)
The analytical hierarchy process (AHP) is one of the most common methods in multi-criteria decision-making that was proposed by Saaty 1980. It decomposes a complex decision problem into simpler decision problems to form a hierarchy of decision. AHP is a comprehensive and powerful methodology and aims to facilitate making the right decision through the use of each of subjective judgments of the decision maker as well as empirical data. It combines materialistic and non-materialistic aspects in order to derive weights for the criteria (Rezaei-Moghaddam and Karami 2008). AHP method is based primarily on pairwise comparisons rather than assessing scores and weights directly for the criteria, where this method allows some small inconsistency in judgment because human is not always consistent in his decisions (Teknomo 2006). In typical analytic hierarchy, the numerical scale of 9-point is used. Each point equates to an expression of the relative importance of two factors, e.g., “A has the same importance of B” or “A is more important than B”, etc. These studies use a scale with values ranging from 1 (equal importance or no difference) to 9 (absolute importance or extreme preference) (Hussain 2004; Saaty 1980) (Table 2).
For calculating the weights of the criteria, this involves calculating the eigenvectors (Egi) for each row based on multiplying the value for each criterion in each column in the same row in the matrix of the pairwise comparison and putting the output value under the root for numbers of elements in this row and then applying this to each row (Fig. 5). Then eigenvalue is normalized to 1 through dividing each weight by their sum, and this is known as the priority vector or normalized weights (Pri). In order to determine whether the comparisons between criteria in a matrix of pairwise comparisons are consistent, this is done through estimating the consistency ratio which involve the following procedure:
After computing the eigenvalue and the priority vector, the lambda max (λ max) is obtained from the summation of products of multiplying the sum of each column of the matrix by the corresponding value of the priority vector. Then, the consistency index (CI = (λ max−n/n−1)) is estimated which represents the equivalent to the mean deviation of each comparison element and the standard deviation of the evaluation error from the true ones (Solnes 2003). In this study, the value of (λ max) and (CI) were 15.612 and 0.044, respectively. Calculation of the consistency ratio (CR = CI/RI) which is obtained according to (Saaty 1980), by dividing the value of consistency index (CI) by the Random index value (RI), where RI is the mean deviation of randomly for matrices with different size (Table 3).
If the value of consistency ratio is smaller or equal to 0.1, then the inconsistency is acceptable. In this study, CR was 0.027 < 0.1 and RI15 was 1.59. For any matrix, the judgments are completely consistent if CR is equal to zero (Coyle 2004). More details about the application of all the equations used in AHP were given by Chabuk et al. (2016), Şener et al. (2011).
The final output map of landfill suitability that was created in GIS using AHP method was reclassified into five categories. These categories are “unsuitable”, “moderately suitable”, “suitable”, “most suitable” and “excluded areas” (urban centers, villages, rivers, archeological sites and industrial areas). They cover areas of 35.7 km2 (4.03%), 268.9 km2 (30.34%), 343.2 km2 (38.72%) 177.6 km2 (20.04%) and 60.9 km2 (6.87%), respectively. It should be mentioned, however, that the fifth category was restricted only from the final output map and was given a value of zero (Fig. 4b).
Comparison of the results from the two methods used
In order to compare the resultant maps obtained from the two methods (SAW and AHP), each map was classified into four categories, where the excluded areas were omitted. The four categories with their figures were: unsuitable (1), moderately suitable (2), suitable (3) and most suitable (4). The suitability index and number of pixels from the final maps of these methods are shown in Fig. 6. For purpose of comparison between the two methods, the final maps were entered again in GIS using the spatial analysis tool “Map Algebra” through applying the formula “Combine (AHP raster map, SAW raster map)”. This was used in order to combine the two maps into one map that is called the final comparison map. The resulting map from this process included number of pixels for each class and the combine number of raster categories for SAW and AHP, as well as the corresponding ratios for each class using for the matching purpose (Table 4). The similar combine number of raster categories for SAW and AHP [(1, 1), (2, 2), (3, 3) and (4, 4)] was considered matching to their numbers of pixels that resulted from both methods. The different combine number of raster categories for SAW and AHP [(1, 2), (1, 3), (2, 1), (2, 3), (2, 4), (3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 4), (4, 2) and (4, 3)] was considered as no matching. The percentage of raster values for the matching and non-matching classes is shown in Fig. 7. The final comparison map that resulted from the combination between both maps using the two methods as mentioned above was reclassified, and then the classes which have the similar output number of raster classes, their pixels were merged to produce the category of matching areas. Other classes were merged in category of non-matching (Fig. 8). The percentages of matching pixels in comparison map are 77.8% (in blue), while the percentage of the non-matching pixels is 22.2% (yellow).
Result and discussion
After identifying the weights for all the criteria through two methods (AHP and SAW), the Map Algebra tool in GIS was used to sum a cell-by-cell for the raster layers of these criteria which were place on top of each other. The result of this process produced two of the final output maps of suitability of candidate sites for landfill. Then, the comparison was performed between the two final output maps (one using SAW and the other using AHP method).
Each final output map was divided into five categories according to the suitability of the selected landfill sites. These categories were: unsuitable, moderately suitable, suitable, most suitable and the excluded areas (urban centers, villages, rivers, archeological sites and industrial areas.
The expected population in Al-Musayiab Qadhaa in 2030 is 618,274 inhabitants calculated according to the present population growth rate. The solid waste quantity expected at that year is 193,865 tonne. The cumulative quantity of solid waste expected from 2020 to 2030 was calculated according to Chabuk et al. (2015) and it was 1764,729 tonne. The waste density in the waste disposal sites is 450 kg/m3 in Al-Musayiab Qadhaa according to Iraqi Ministry of Municipalities and Public Works (2015). Consequently, the volume of waste and cumulative waste are 430,811 and 3921,620 m3 respectively. The groundwater depth from a ground surface in Al-Musayiab Qadhaa is shallow.
Therefore, the average depth to the groundwater in the candidate sites that resulted from this study was adopted as 2 m. According to this condition, the area of the candidate site required to accommodate the cumulative quantity of solid waste generated from 2020 to 2030 was found to be 1.961 km2.
After the process of comparison, two candidate landfill sites were selected that fulfill the requirements. These sites are assigned in numbers (1 and 2). The area of site No. 1 is 7.965 km2 (32° 48′ 39″ N, and longitude 44° 8′ 59″ E), whereas the area of site No. 2 is 5.952 km2 (latitude 33° 0′ 14″ N, and longitude 44° 6′ 46″ E) (Fig. 9).
Conclusions
In recent years, the increase of the quantity of generated solid waste in Al-Musayiab Qadhaa and locating suitable landfill site according to scientific and environmental criteria made the local authorities pay great attention to this matter. To find the best suitable solid waste landfill site in this study, 15 layers for different criteria (groundwater depth, rivers, soil types; agriculture land use, land use, elevation, slope, gas pipelines, oil pipelines, power lines, roads, railways, urban centers, villages and archeological sites) were used in the process of analysis in order to determine the most suitable candidate solid waste landfill site. These criteria were entered in GIS environment.
The simple additive weighting and the analytical hierarchy process were used to select a suitable candidate landfill site in the studied area through deriving the weight to each criterion that was entered in GIS. After the completion of the analysis, two of the final output maps were produced from the two methods used.
The percentages of matching pixels in the comparison map, which resulted from combining the final maps of AHP and SAW using the spatial analysis tool “Map Algebra” within GIS, were 77.8%, while the non-matching pixels were 22.2%.
Finally, two of candidates’ sites were identified for landfill among several sites in the category of the most suitable in the final map. These sites were checked on the satellite images (2011) of Babylon Governorate to make sure that these sites are suitable for landfill. Generally, these sites satisfy the minimum requirements of the landfill sites.
The area of a site No. 1 and 2 are 7.965 and 5.952 km2, respectively. The expected solid waste for the period 2020–2030 is 1764,729 tonne based on present waste generation and population growth rate. This quantity requires an area of 1.961 km2, and the suggested candidate sites can well accommodate such waste.
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This work was carried out at Lulea University of Technology, Lulea, Sweden, and Iraqi Ministry of Higher Education.
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Chabuk, A.J., Al-Ansari, N., Hussain, H.M. et al. GIS-based assessment of combined AHP and SAW methods for selecting suitable sites for landfill in Al-Musayiab Qadhaa, Babylon, Iraq. Environ Earth Sci 76, 209 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-6524-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-6524-x