Skip to main content
Log in

Frequency content analysis of the probable earthquake in Kopet Dagh region—Northeast of Iran

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Arabian Journal of Geosciences Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper aims to describe a probabilistic frequency analysis procedure to develop seismic hazard maps of Kopet Dagh region in north and northeast of Iran which with mostly shallow earthquakes is a high active seismic area. The existence of Khangiran super gas reservoir increases the importance of this region. By application of the probabilistic methodology of Cornell, an extensive numerical analysis based on several deterministic and probabilistic indices, the frequency content of ground motions recorded during seismic events were carried out by EZFRISK computer code, Matlab programming environment, and generated graphical user interface C# computer code. In this paper, definition of a seismotectonic model of the whole region based on geologic, tectonics, and seismic information the potential seismic sources introduced and their seismic characteristics were determined. Among the different applied attenuation relationships, the proposed one by Ambraseys et al. (J Earthq Eng Struct Dyn 25(4):371–400, 1996) was considered and the results are expressed in a series of contour maps of expected PGA for 63 % probability. The elimination of fore and aftershocks and also put some abilities such as capability for result exporting in several format which can be defined by user for other mathematical generic curve fitting tools were carried out by a generated code in Matlab programming environment. Obtained hazard maps indicated that maximum accelerations will be occurred in northwest-central trend which has a well matching with Quchan-Robat and Esfarayen-Robat Gharabil faults. The relevant frequency analysis showed that form 0.1 to 10 Hz, PGA directly increased by frequency and then up to 20 Hz with a sharpen shape, decreased by frequency increasing. The trend continues by gradual reduction up to 100 Hz. Maximum acceleration will be occurred in the basement in frequency content of 10 Hz.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12
Fig. 13
Fig. 14
Fig. 15
Fig. 16
Fig. 17

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Algermissen ST, Perkins DM (1976) A probabilistic estimate of maximum acceleration in rock in the contiguous United States. USGS open file report 76–416, p 45

  • Ambraseys N, Melville CP (1982) A history of Persian earthquakes. Cambridge University Press, p. 219

  • Ambraseys N, Simpson K (1996) Prediction of vertical response spectra in Europe. J Earthq Eng Struct Dyn 25(4):401–412

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ambraseys N, Simpson K, Bommer J (1996) Prediction of horizontal response spectra in Europe. J Earthq Eng Struct Dyn 25(4):371–400

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berberian M (1981) Active faulting and tectonics of Iran, in Zagros, Hindu Kush, Himalaya geodynamic evolution. In: Gupta HK, Delany FM (eds) Geodyn Ser Am Geophys Un 3:33–69

  • Berberian M (1994) Natural hazard and the first earthquake catalogue of Iran, historical hazards in Iran prior to 1900. Int Inst Earthq Eng Seismol 1:603p

    Google Scholar 

  • Berberian M, Qorashi M, Arzhangravesh B, Mohajer-Ashjai A (1985) Recent tectonics, seismotectonics, and earthquake- fault hazard study of the greater Tehran Region. Geol Surv Iran 56, 316s, (in Farsi)

  • Bommer JJ, Abrahamson NA (2006) Why do modern probabilistic seismic-hazard analyses often lead to increased hazard estimates? Bull Seismol Soc Am 96(6):1967–1977

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bozorgnia Y, Bertero VV (2004) Earthquake engineering: from engineering seismology to performance-based engineering. CRC Press, Boca Raton

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • CMT (2006) Centroid Moment Tensor catalogue, Harvard University. Department of geological Sciences, available online at: http://www.seismology.harvard.edu/CMTsearch.html

  • Cornell CA (1968) Engineering seismic risk analysis. Bull Seismol Soc Am 58:1583–1606

    Google Scholar 

  • Das S, Guptha ID, Guptha VK (2006) A probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of Northeast India. Earthq Spectr 22(1):1–27

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gao M (1988) Discussion on annual occurrence rates. Dev World Seismol 1:1–5 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Gardner J, Knopoff K (1974) Is the sequence of earthquakes in Southern California, with aftershock remove Poissonian? Bull Seismol Soc Am 64:1363–1367

    Google Scholar 

  • Gutenberg B, Richter CF (1944) Frequency of earthquakes in California. Bull Seismol Soc Am 34:185–188

    Google Scholar 

  • Jackson JA, McKenzie DP (1984) Active tectonics of the Alpine-Himalayan Belt between Turkey and Pakistan. Geophys J R Astron Soc 77:185–26440

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kijko A, Sellevoll MA (1989) Estimation of earthquake hazard parameters from incomplete data files. Part I: utilization of extreme and complete catalogs with different threshold magnitudes. Bull Seismol Soc Am 79:645–654

    Google Scholar 

  • Kijko A, Sellevoll MA (1992) Estimation of earthquake hazard parameters from incomplete data files. Part II. Incorporating magnitude heterogeneity. Bull Seismol Soc Am 82:120–134

    Google Scholar 

  • Klügel J-U (2007a) Error inflation in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Eng Geol 90:186–192

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Klügel J-U (2007b) Comment on “Why do modern probabilistic seismic hazard analyses often lead to increased hazard estimates?” by Julian J. Bommer and Norman A. Abrahamson. Bull Seismol Soc Am 97:2198–2207

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kossobokov VG (2006) Testing earthquake prediction methods: the West Pacific short-term forecast of earthquakes with magnitude MwHRV>=5.8. Tectonophysics 413:25–31

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lombardi AM, Akinci A, Malagnini L, Mueller CS (2005) Uncertainty analysis for seismic hazard in Northern and Central Italy. Ann Geophys 48:853–865

    Google Scholar 

  • Main IG (1996) Statistical physics, seismogenesis and seismic hazard. Rev Geophys 34:433–462

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Main IG, Li L, McCloskey J, Naylor M (2008) Effect of the Sumatran mega-earthquake on the global magnitude cut-off and event rate. Nat Geosci 1:142. doi:10.1038/ngeo141

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McGuire RK (1976) FORTRAN computer program for seismic risk analysis. US Geol Surv, Open File Rep No. 76–67

  • McGuire RK (1978) FRISK—a computer program for seismic risk analysis. US Department of Interior. Geol Surv Open File Rep 78–1007

  • Mirzaei N (1997) Seismic zoning of Iran. PhD dissertation, Institute of Geophysics. State Seismological Bureau, Beijing, 139pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Mirzaei N, Kazemian J, Karluti E, Shabani E (2000) Seisrisk iii+ manual. Geophysic Institute of Tehran University

  • Mona L (2005) Seismic hazard assessment of North Western Himalayan fold and Thrust Belt Pakistan. Chapter 6 of PhD Dissertation. Quid e Azam University, Islamabad

    Google Scholar 

  • National Geodatabase of Iran (www.ngdir.ir)

  • Orozova IM, Suhadolc P (1999) A deterministic-probabilistic approach for seismic hazard assessment. Tectonophysics 312:191–202

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peruzza L, Slejko D, Bragato PL (2000) The Umbria-Marche case: some suggestions for the Italian seismic zonation. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 20:361–371

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reiter L (1990) Earthquake hazard analysis: issues and insights. Columbia Univ. Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Richter CH (1958) Elementary seismology. W.H. Freeman, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Shi Z, Zhang Y (1996) Seismic intensity zoning mapof China. In: Achievements of seismic hazard prevention and reduction in China. Seismological Press, Beijing, pp 143–164

    Google Scholar 

  • Shi Z, Yan J, Gao M (1992) Researchon the principle and methodology of Seismic zonation—result of the trial in North China. Acta Seismol Sin 5:305–314

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stepp JC (1973) Analysis of completeness of the earthquake sample in the Puget sound area. In: Contribution to seismic zoning, NOAA Tech. Report, ERL 267-ESL30, Washington, D.C.

  • Tchalenko JS (1975) Seismicity and structure of the Kopet Dagh (Iran, USSR). Phil Trans R Soc 278:1–25

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Todorovska MI, Gupta ID, Gupta VK, Lee VW, Trifunac MD (1995) Selected topics in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Report No. CE95-08. Dept. of Civil Eng., Univ. of Southern California, Los Angeles

    Google Scholar 

  • Trifonov VG (1978) Late quaternary tectonic movements of Western and Central Asia. Bull Geol Soc Am 89:1059–1072

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trifunac MD (1990) A microzonation method based on uniform risk spectra. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 9(1):34–43

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Turcotte DL (1992) Fractals and chaos in geology and geophysics. Cambridge Univ. Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang Z (2005) Discussion—Klügel, J.-U. 2005 problems in the application of the SSHAC probability method for assessing earthquake hazards at Swiss nuclear power plants. Eng Geol 78:285–307

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Javid Nosrati Nasrabadi.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Esmaeilabadi, R., Abasszadeh Shahri, A., Behzadafshar, K. et al. Frequency content analysis of the probable earthquake in Kopet Dagh region—Northeast of Iran. Arab J Geosci 8, 3833–3844 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-014-1446-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-014-1446-3

Keywords

Navigation