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Projection of Potential Evapotranspiration for North Korea Based on Selected GCMs by TOPSIS

  • Water Resources and Hydrologic Engineering
  • Published:
KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering Aims and scope

Abstract

This study projected future changes in potential evapotranspiration (PET) over North Korea, which has been exposed to climate change risks. For this purpose, climate change scenarios downscaled at station scale were produced under RCP8.5, which downscale method preserves the long-term trend driven by climate models. Based on the ability to replicate observation, representative climate change scenarios (RCCS) were selected using performance indicators and TOPSIS method. The GCMs having higher spatial resolution were selected as RCCS, and projected that PET would increase in the future. It is found that the inter-model variability of PET in the summer was gradually increased over North Korea and annual mean evapotranspiration would be expected to increase by 1.4 times (F1, 2011–2040), 2.0 times (F2, 2041–2070) and 2.6 times (F3, 2071–2100). In preparation for the deficit of available water due to the increase in evapotranspiration, securing alternative water resources and construction of multi-purpose dams are required.

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Acknowledgements

This study was also supported by a grant (NRF-2016R1D1A1B04931844) from the National Research Foundation of Korea.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Earth System Research Division, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Jeju, 63568, Korea

    Young Ryu

  2. Dept. of Cvil Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Seoul, 01811, Korea

    Eun-Sung Chung

  3. International School of Urban Sciences, University of Seoul, Seoul, 02504, Korea

    Seung Beom Seo

  4. Ministry of Environment, Han River Flood Control Office, Seoul, 06501, Korea

    Jang Hyun Sung

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  1. Young Ryu
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  2. Eun-Sung Chung
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  3. Seung Beom Seo
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  4. Jang Hyun Sung
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Correspondence to Jang Hyun Sung.

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Ryu, Y., Chung, ES., Seo, S.B. et al. Projection of Potential Evapotranspiration for North Korea Based on Selected GCMs by TOPSIS. KSCE J Civ Eng 24, 2849–2859 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12205-020-0283-z

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12205-020-0283-z

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