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Predicting Institutional Violence among Death Row Inmates: The Utility of the Sorensen and Pilgrim Model

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Abstract

The (Sorensen and Pilgrim, An actuarial risk assessment of violence posed by capital murder defendants. J Crim Law Criminol 90:1251–1270, 2000) actuarial model was developed to predict institutional violence among life-sentenced murderers. However, despite its presentation at capital sentencing, the model has not been validated on death row inmates specifically. This study examined the association between Sorensen and Pilgrim model scores and five types of institutional violence (serious assaults, minor assaults, verbal assault/threats, prison order offenses, and non-violent infractions) among a sample of 155 individuals who had been incarcerated on death row in Texas. Results revealed that risk scores performed better for non-violent infractions than for serious assaults, calling into question the utility of this measure for capital sentencing evaluations.

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Notes

  1. Although still widely used in the vernacular of capital punishment, some (Cunningham 2006) have argued that ‘dangerousness’ is a largely useless, non-quantifiable legal term, which statutes and case law have done little to define. In this paper, given that capital defendants in the vast majority of jurisdictions who are not put to death will receive life without parole sentences or long life with parole sentences, it is our assumption that ‘society’ represents the prison setting.

  2. Based on this definition, which is consistent with the TDCJ official guidelines, such ‘nuisance’ behaviors as throwing urine or other bodily substances on others constitute an assaultive disciplinary offense (e.g., a Code 3, Assaulting an Officer). In order to account for this, this category of violence was further divided based on the degree of potential harm involved. Specifically, minor assaultive behavior was coded as either minor contact assaults with potential for injury (e.g., fighting or assaulting another with or without a weapon, throwing large objects) and minor nuisance assaults (e.g., throwing bodily substances, food, or small objects).

  3. No homicides were committed; therefore, this category will not be included in further tables.

  4. Until the late 1990s, despite being housed in a separate wing from the rest of general population, death row inmates were allowed considerable latitude to be outside their cells, including holding work-eligible status (e.g., some even worked as trustees). However, immediately following a death row escape in November, 1998, death row was placed into security lockdown status. Shortly thereafter, permanent lockdown was formally imposed, in which inmates remain in their cells 23 hours per day and experience minimal contact with correctional officers and/or inmates.

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Correspondence to Jacqueline K. Buffington-Vollum.

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Buffington-Vollum, J.K., Edens, J.F. & Keilen, A. Predicting Institutional Violence among Death Row Inmates: The Utility of the Sorensen and Pilgrim Model. J Police Crim Psych 23, 16–22 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11896-008-9016-9

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