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A comparative study of daily streamflow forecasting using firefly, artificial bee colony, and genetic algorithm-based artificial neural network

  • Research Article - Hydrology and Hydraulics
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Abstract

The management of water resources and the modeling of river flow have a prominent position within environmental research. They form a critical bridge between human societies and the delicate ecosystems they inhabit. Scholars have focused on benefiting more efficient methods based on the use of artificial intelligence for river flow forecasting, notably because modeling hydrological systems is quite challenging. This study primarily centered on exploring the predictive capacities of hybrid models in establishing a link between daily flow data and prospective data. In the study, the mentioned algorithms, firefly algorithm (FFA), artificial bee colony (ABC), genetic algorithm (GA), were hybridized with the artificial neural network (ANN) model and data analyzes were examined with the stations in the Konya Closed Basin. A comparative analysis of FFA–ANN, GA–ANN, ABC–ANN, and long short-term memory (LSTM) models was conducted for daily flow forecasting for daily flow forecasting according to a range of graphical and statistical metrics. The outcomes indicate that the FFA–ANN hybrid model generally performed better than other models and the deep learning algorithm.

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Acknowledgements

The author is immensely grateful to the General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works for their support and cooperation in sharing the required data. We would like to extend our sincere thanks to both the Editor and the anonymous reviewers for their invaluable contributions to the content and development of this paper.

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The authors declare that no funds, grants, or other support were received during the preparation of this manuscript.

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HCK and OMK contributed to supervision, methodology, validation, and software. BH contributed to conceptualization, methodology, writing—original draft preparation, and software. FO contributed to writing—reviewing and editing. The authors give their full consent for the publication of this manuscript.

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Correspondence to Okan Mert Katipoğlu.

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Edited by Dr. Hossein Hamidifar (ASSOCIATE EDITOR) / Prof. Jochen Aberle (CO-EDITOR-IN-CHIEF).

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Kilinc, H.C., Haznedar, B., Katipoğlu, O.M. et al. A comparative study of daily streamflow forecasting using firefly, artificial bee colony, and genetic algorithm-based artificial neural network. Acta Geophys. (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-024-01362-y

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-024-01362-y

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