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How Important is Optimism for Mental Health? A Spatial Temporal Life Course Analysis on Indonesia

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Abstract

Unlike developed countries, we find a bell-shaped curve for the average frequency of depressive symptoms from the Indonesian Family Life Survey where the same people are followed over 14 years (2000–2014). This incidence is at a high level around the age of 60 and lower for younger and older people. If we may assume that a high incidence of depressive symptoms goes together with a low average of mental health then we may conclude that the average mental health is at at a low level around 60 and higher for younger and older people (U-shape). In addition, we provide evidence for the first time that positive future expectations of one’s physical health significantly reduces incidence of depressive symptoms after accounting for reverse causality. This is however contingent on gender as optimistic health expectation is effective for male but not for female. This effect is also more pronounced for those 60 years and below as well as urban residents. However, the association of health optimism with incidence of depressive symptoms weakens with age. Results from this paper show that a focus on rural/urban residency, younger and older age cohorts and gender can provide targeted social policies to effectively promote better mental health.

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Fig. 1

Source: Computed from IFLS3, IFLS4 and IFLS5

Fig. 2

Source: Computed from IFLS3, IFLS4 and IFLS5

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Notes

  1. According to Saucier and Goldberg (1998), Extraversion reflects the individual's determination, leadership, enterprising and activeness; Agreeableness reflects the individual's cooperation with others, tolerance and trust to others; Openness reflects the individual's creativity, innovation and curiosity; Conscientiousness reflects the individual's sense of accomplishment and hard work; and Neuroticism reflects the individual's self-doubt, pessimism and inability to withstand stress.

  2. Although the coefficient of the interaction term of health expectations and age is positive, it is very small. For instance, taking the first derivative to find the effect of health expectations at age 80 equals to -0.562 + (0.002 X 80) which is -0.366. That is, the effect of health expectations has declined for CESD from 0.562 to 0.366 for an individual aged 80.

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Funding

We are supported by Guangdong Planning Office of Philosophy and Social Science, with the Grant Number: GD23XGL002.

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Correspondence to Sha Fan.

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Appendix

Appendix

Table 5

Table 5 Instrumental Variable Estimation of Incidence of Depressive Symptoms

Table 6

Table 6 Robustness Results using Predicted CESD Scores

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Fan, S., Mahadevan, R. How Important is Optimism for Mental Health? A Spatial Temporal Life Course Analysis on Indonesia. Applied Research Quality Life 19, 135–154 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11482-023-10234-4

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