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Can factor substitution reduce the shadow price of air pollution embodied in international trade? A worldwide perspective

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Abstract

The calculation of trade-embodied air pollution (TEAP) and its economic losses can be reasonably used to assess the impact of transboundary air pollution. However, these air pollutants, which are associated with international trade, can be easily ignored due to their concealment. Based on this, the global multiregional input‒output model (MRIO) is used to quantify the volume of five air pollutants that are embodied in the trade of 20 countries from 2000 to 2016. Then, the shadow price of trade-embodied air pollution (SPTEAP) and the elasticity of factor substitution (EFS) are both calculated by applying the translog production function. Finally, impulse response analysis is used to study the dynamic impact of EFS on the SPTEAP. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) All countries experienced a mass transfer of TEAP, among which China and the USA are the developing and developed countries with the largest amount of TEAP transfers, respectively. (2) The SPTEAP and EFS vary greatly among countries, and these values are generally higher in developed countries than in developing countries. The relationship between the three EFSs can be expressed as \({e}_{AE}<{e}_{LE}{<e}_{KE}\) in all countries, thus indicating that improving the technological level of a country is the best solution for reducing the TEAP in that country while incurring the lowest cost and the least difficulty. (3) Over the long run, the increase in \({e}_{KE}\) and \({e}_{LE}\) reduces the SPTEAP. Conversely, an increase in \({e}_{AE}\) increases the SPTEAP. Therefore, policymakers should weigh these three factors according to the fluctuation of the SPTEAP and constantly adjust the allocation structure and ratio of these factors to maximize the benefits of transboundary air pollution governance.

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Data availability

Data and materials are available from the authors upon request.

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Funding

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 72104235 and 71974188), and Key Project of Jiangsu Social Science Fund (Grant No. 23GLA006).

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

FD and BD conceived the idea of this paper. YW, LD, XZ, and ZL performed the model. BD and YW wrote the paper.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Feng Dong.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Responsible Editor: Ilhan Ozturk

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Appendix

Appendix

Appendix 1 Sectors classification

No

Eora26

Public classification system code

Sectors under public classification system

1

Agriculture

AGRF

Agriculture, Forestry, Hunting and Fisheries

2

Fishing

3

Mining and Quarrying

MINQ

Mining and Quarrying

4

Food and Beverages

FOOD

Food Products, Beverages and Tobacco

5

Textiles and Wearing Apparel

CLTH

Textiles, Leather and Wearing Apparel

6

Wood and Paper

WOOD

Wood, Paper and Publishing

7

Petroleum, Chemical and Non-Metallic Mineral Products

PETC

Petroleum, Chemical and Non-Mental Mineral Products

8

Metal Products

METP

Metal and Metal Products

9

Electrical and Machinery

ELMA

Electrical Equipment and Machinery

10

Transport Equipment

TREQ

Transport Equipment

11

Other Manufacturing

MANF

Manufacturing and Recycling

12

Recycling

13

Electricity, Gas and Water

ELGW

Electricity, Gas and Water

14

Construction

CNST

Construction

15

Maintenance and Repair

TRAD

Trade

16

Wholesale Trade

17

Retail Trade

18

Hotels and Restraurants

19

Transport

TRNS

Transport

20

Post and Telecommunications

POST

Post and Telecommunications

21

Finacial Intermediation and Business Activities

BANS

Financial Intermediation, Business Activities

22

Public Administration

PAEH

Public Administration, Education, Health, Recreational and Other Services

23

Education, Health and Other Services

24

Private Households

25

Others

26

Re-export and Re-import

Appendix 2 Country and region classification

No

Abbreviation

Specific countries and regions

1

USA

America

2

CAN

Canada

3

RUS

Russia

4

IND

India

5

CHN

Chinese Mainland

6

East Asia

Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea

7

Southeast Asia

Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam

8

EU

Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, The Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, The Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden

9

Non-EU

Albania, Andorra, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Iceland, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Liechtenstein, Monaco, Montenegro, Norway, Moldova, San Marino, Serbia, Switzerland, Tajikistan, Macedonia, Turkey, Turkmenistan, Soviet Union, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Britain, Bermuda, Greenland

10

Middle East and North Africa

Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Palestine, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, The United Arab Emirates, Yemen

11

Sub-Saharan Africa

Angola, Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Cape Verde, Central African Republic, Chad, Congo (Brazzaville), Cote d’Ivoire, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gabon, Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Kenya, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Niger, Nigeria, Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, Senegal, Seychelles, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, Eswatini Togo, Trinidad and Tobago, Uganda, Tanzania, Zambia, Zimbabwe

12

Rest of Asia

Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, The People’s Republic of Bangladesh, Bhutan, North Korea, Georgia, Maldives, Mongolia, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka

13

Latin America

Antigua and Barbuda, Argentina, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Bolivia, Brazil, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Chile, Columbia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Papua New Guinea, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela

14

Australia

Australia, Fiji, French Polynesia, New Caledonia, New Zealand, Samoa, Vanuatu

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Diao, B., Wang, Y., Dong, F. et al. Can factor substitution reduce the shadow price of air pollution embodied in international trade? A worldwide perspective. Environ Sci Pollut Res 31, 7092–7110 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-31447-y

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-31447-y

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