Abstract
Minimizing carbon pollution and fossil fuels is among the most crucial issues in the sustainable development goals (SDGs). However, global environmental concerns have increased since India did not sign the global coal pledge at COP 26. It is therefore a question mark how India will achieve the 2070 carbon-free target with the increasing use of coal and oil. In this contenxt, this work examines the impact of fossil fuel efficiency, structural change, renewable energy consumption, technological innovation, and urbanization on carbon efficiency in India from 1980 to 2019. Employing the dynamic autoregressive distributed lag approach; the study reveals that fossil fuel efficiency, structural change, renewable energy, and technological innovation improve carbon efficiency, while urbanization worsens environmental quality. Based on the study’s findings, the Indian government should invest more and incentivize technological innovation that supports fossil fuel efficiency and renewable energy deployment to achieve the SDGs.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The sources of data have been duly mentioned in the study. The datasets analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
Abbreviations
- ADF:
-
Augmented Dickey-Fuller
- ARCH:
-
Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
- ARDL:
-
Autoregressive distributed lag
- BP:
-
British Petroleum
- BPG:
-
Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey
- CE :
-
Carbon efficiency
- CO2 :
-
Carbon dioxide emissions
- COP 26:
-
Climate change conference
- CUSUM:
-
Conventional cumulative sum
- DSARDL:
-
Dynamic simulated ARDL
- FFC :
-
Fossil fuel consumption
- FFE :
-
Fossil fuel efficiency
- ECT :
-
Error correction term
- GDP:
-
Gross domestic product
- IEA:
-
International Energy Agency
- IND:
-
Industrial value added
- IRENA:
-
International Renewable Energy Agency
- JB:
-
Jarque-Bera
- kWh:
-
Kilowatt hours
- LM:
-
Lagrange multiplier
- MVA:
-
Manufacturing value added
- PP:
-
Phillips-Perron
- REC :
-
Renewable energy consumption
- SC :
-
Structral change
- SDGs:
-
Sustainable development goals
- SER:
-
Service sector value added
- TI :
-
Technological innovation
- TO :
-
Trade openness
- UN:
-
United Nations
- URB :
-
Urbanization
References
Adebayo TS, Ullah S, Kartal MT, Ali K, Pata UK, Ağa M (2023a) Endorsing sustainable development in BRICS: the role of technological innovation, renewable energy consumption, and natural resources in limiting carbon emission. Sci Total Environ 859:160181
Adebayo TS, Oladipupo SD, Rjoub H, Kirikkaleli D, Adeshola I (2023b) Asymmetric effect of structural change and renewable energy consumption on carbon emissions: designing an SDG framework for Turkey. Environ Dev Sustain 25:528–556
Ahad M, Imran ZA (2023) The role of shadow economy to determine CO2 emission in Pakistan: evidence from novel dynamic simulated ARDL model and wavelet coherence analysis. Environ Dev Sustain 25(4):3043–3071
Ahmad F, Draz MU, Chandio AA, Su L, Ahmad M, Irfan M (2021) Investigating the myth of smokeless industry: environmental sustainability in the ASEAN countries and the role of service sector and renewable energy. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28(39):55344–55361
Akadiri SS, Adebayo TS (2022) Asymmetric nexus among financial globalization, non-renewable energy, renewable energy use, economic growth, and carbon emissions: impact on environmental sustainability targets in India. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29:16311–16323
Ali M, Tursoy T, Samour A, Moyo D, Konneh A (2022) Testing the impact of the gold price, oil price, and renewable energy on carbon emissions in South Africa: novel evidence from bootstrap ARDL and NARDL approaches. Resour Policy 79:102984
Al-Mulali U, Ozturk I (2015) The effect of energy consumption, urbanization, trade openness, industrial output, and the political stability on the environmental degradation in the MENA (Middle East and North African) region. Energy 84:382–389
Al-Mulali U, Ozturk I, Lean HH (2015) The influence of economic growth, urbanization, trade openness, financial development, and renewable energy on pollution in Europe. Nat Hazards 79:621–644
Azam A, Rafiq M, Shafique M, Zhang H, Ateeq M, Yuan J (2021) Analyzing the relationship between economic growth and electricity consumption from renewable and non-renewable sources: fresh evidence from newly industrialized countries. Sustain Energy Technol Assess 44:100991
BP (2022) Statistical review of world energy – 2022 The Indian energy system in 2021. https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2022-india-insights.pdf (Accessed 25 Oct 2022)
Chen J, Gao M, Mangla SK, Song M, Wen J (2020) Effects of technological changes on China’s carbon emissions. Technol Forecast Soc Chang 153:119938
Chien F (2022) How renewable energy and non-renewable energy affect environmental excellence in N-11 economies? Renewable Energy 196:526–534
Danish, Ulucak R (2020) Linking biomass energy and CO2 emissions in China using dynamic autoregressive-distributed lag simulations. J Clean Prod 250:119533
de Souza Mendonca AK, Barni GDAC, Moro MF, Bornia AC, Kupek E, Fernandes L (2020) Hierarchical modeling of the 50 largest economies to verify the impact of GDP, population and renewable energy generation in CO2 emissions. Sustain Prod Consum 22:58–67
Destek MA (2015) Energy consumption, economic growth, financial development and trade openness in Turkey: Maki cointegration test. Bull Energy 3:162–168
Destek MA (2016) Renewable energy consumption and economic growth in newly industrialized countries: evidence from asymmetric causality test. Renewable Energy 95:478–484
Destek MA (2021) Deindustrialization, reindustrialization and environmental degradation: evidence from ecological footprint of Turkey. J Clean Prod 296:126612
Destek MA, Aslan A (2017) Renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth in emerging economies: evidence from bootstrap panel causality. Renewable Energy 111:757–763
Destek MA, Okumus I (2017) Disaggregated energy consumption and economic growth in G-7 countries. Energy Sources Part B 12(9):808–814
Destek MA, Sinha A (2020) Renewable, non-renewable energy consumption, economic growth, trade openness and ecological footprint: evidence from organisation for economic Co-operation and development countries. J Clean Prod 242:118537
Destek MA, Sarkodie SA, Asamoah EF (2021) Does biomass energy drive environmental sustainability? An SDG perspective for top five biomass consuming countries. Biomass Bioenerg 149:106076
Dickey DA, Fuller WA (1981) Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica: J Econ Soc 49(4):1057–1072
Erdogan S (2020) Analyzing the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: the role of disaggregated transport infrastructure investments. Sustain Cities Soc 61:102338
Erdogan S, Okumus I, Guzel AE (2020) Revisiting the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis in OECD countries: the role of renewable, non-renewable energy, and oil prices. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27:23655–23663
Erdogan S, Pata UK, Solarin SA, Okumus I (2022) On the persistence of shocks to global CO2 emissions: a historical data perspective (0 to 2014). Environ Sci Pollut Res 29(51):77311–77320
Fareed Z, Pata UK (2022) Renewable, non-renewable energy consumption and income in top ten renewable energy-consuming countries: advanced Fourier based panel data approaches. Renewable Energy 194:805–821
Hatmanu M, Cautisanu C, Iacobuta AO (2022) On the relationships between CO2 emissions and their determinants in Romania and Bulgaria. An ARDL. Approach Appl Econ 54(22):2582–2595
Hossain ME, Rej S, Saha SM, Onwe JC, Nwulu N, Bekun FV, Taha A (2022) Can energy efficiency help in achieving carbon-neutrality pledges? A developing country perspective using dynamic ARDL simulations. Sustainability 14(13):7537
IEA (2021) India Energy Outlook 2021, World Energy Outlook Special Report, International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/1de6d91e-e23f-4e02-b1fb-51fdd6283b22/India_Energy_Outlook_2021.pdf . Accessed 25 Oct 2022
IEA (2022) India’s clean energy transition is rapidly underway, benefiting the entire World. https://www.iea.org/commentaries/india-s-clean-energy-transition-is-rapidly-underway-benefiting-the-entire-world (Accessed 25 Oct 2022)
IRENA (2017) Renewable energy prospects for India, a working paper based on REmap. The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), Abu Dhabi
Jena PK, Mujtaba A, Joshi DPP, Satrovic E, Adeleye BN (2022) Exploring the nature of EKC hypothesis in Asia’s top emitters: role of human capital, renewable and non-renewable energy consumption. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29(59):88557–88576
Jin X, Ahmed Z, Pata UK, Kartal MT, Erdogan S (2023) Do investments in green energy, energy efficiency, and nuclear energy R&D improve the load capacity factor? An augmented ARDL approach. Geosci Front, 101646
Jordan S, Philips AQ (2018) Cointegration testing and dynamic simulations of autoregressive distributed lag models. Stand Genomic Sci 18(4):902–923
Kahia M, Aïssa MSB, Lanouar C (2017) Renewable and non-renewable energy use-economic growth nexus: the case of MENA Net Oil Importing Countries. Renew Sustain Energy Rev 71:127–140
Kang SH, Islam F, Tiwari AK (2019) The dynamic relationships among CO2 emissions, renewable and non-renewable energy sources, and economic growth in India: evidence from time-varying Bayesian VAR model. Struct Chang Econ Dyn 50:90–101
Karedla Y, Mishra R, Patel N (2021) The impact of economic growth, trade openness and manufacturing on CO2 emissions in India: an autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) bounds test approach. J Econ Finance Adm Sci 26(52):376–389
Kartal MT (2023) Production-based disaggregated analysis of energy consumption and CO2 emission nexus: evidence from the USA by novel dynamic ARDL simulation approach. Environ Sci Pollut Res 30(3):6864–6874
Kartal MT, Pata UK, Depren SK, Depren Ö (2023) Effects of possible changes in natural gas, nuclear, and coal energy consumption on CO2 emissions: evidence from France under Russia’s gas supply cuts by dynamic ARDL simulations approach. Appl Energy 339:120983
Kripfganz S, Schneider DC (2020) Response surface regressions for critical value bounds and approximate p-values in equilibrium correction models 1. Oxford Bull Econ Stat 82:1456–1481
Li B, Haneklaus N (2022) The potential of India’s net-zero carbon emissions: analyzing the effect of clean energy, coal, urbanization, and trade openness. Energy Rep 8:724–733
Mahalik MK, Mallick H, Padhan H (2021) Do educational levels influence the environmental quality? The role of renewable and non-renewable energy demand in selected BRICS countries with a new policy perspective. Renewable Energy 164:419–432
Nepal R, Paija N, Tyagi B, Harvie C (2021) Energy security, economic growth and environmental sustainability in India: does FDI and trade openness play a role? J Environ Manage 281:111886
Neves SA, Marques AC, Patrício M (2020) Determinants of CO2 emissions in European Union countries: does environmental regulation reduce environmental pollution? Econ Anal Policy 68:114–125
Ohlan R (2015) The impact of population density, energy consumption, economic growth and trade openness on CO2 emissions in India. Nat Hazards 79(2):1409–1428
Okumus I, Guzel AE, Destek MA (2021) Renewable, non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth nexus in G7: fresh evidence from CS-ARDL. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28(40):56595–56605
Our World in Data (2022) https://ourworldindata.org/ (Accessed 13 Sep 2022)
Pata UK (2021a) Linking renewable energy, globalization, agriculture, CO2 emissions and ecological footprint in BRIC countries: a sustainability perspective. Renewable Energy 173:197–208
Pata UK (2021b) Renewable and non-renewable energy consumption, economic complexity, CO2 emissions, and ecological footprint in the USA: testing the EKC hypothesis with a structural break. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28(1):846–861
Pata UK, Isik C (2021) Determinants of the load capacity factor in China: a novel dynamic ARDL approach for ecological footprint accounting. Resour Policy 74:102313
Pata UK, Kartal MT (2023) Impact of nuclear and renewable energy sources on environment quality: testing the EKC and LCC hypotheses for South Korea. Nucl Eng Technol 55(2):587–594
Pata UK, Kumar A (2021) The influence of hydropower and coal consumption on greenhouse gas emissions: a comparison between China and India. Water 13(10):1387
Pata UK, Kartal MT, Erdogan S, Sarkodie SA (2023a) The role of renewable and nuclear energy R&D expenditures and income on environmental quality in Germany: scrutinizing the EKC and LCC hypotheses with smooth structural changes. Appl Energy 342:121138
Pata UK, Caglar AE, Kartal MT, Depren SK (2023b) Evaluation of the role of clean energy technologies, human capital, urbanization, and income on the environmental quality in the United States. J Clean Prod 402:136802
Pata UK, Kartal MT, Dam MM, Kaya F (2023c) Navigating the ımpact of renewable energy, trade openness, ıncome, and globalization on load capacity factor: the case of Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) countries. Int J Energy Res, 6828781
Perraton J (2006) Heavy constraints on a “Weightless world”? Resources and the new economy. Am J Econ Sociol 65(3):641–691. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1536-7150.2006.00468.x
Pesaran MH, Shin Y, Smith RJ (2001) Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. J Appl Economet 16(3):289–326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
Phillips PCB, Perron P (1988) Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika 75(2):335–346. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.2.335
Qayyum M, Ali M, Nizamani MM, Li S, Yu Y, Jahanger A (2021) Nexus between financial development, renewable energy consumption, technological innovations and CO2 emissions: the case of India. Energies 14(15):4505
Raihan A, Tuspekova A (2022) Nexus between emission reduction factors and anthropogenic carbon emissions in India. Anthr Sci 1(2):295–310
Rosenblum J, Horvath A, Hendrickson C (2000) Environmental implications of service industries. Environ Sci Technol 34(22):4669–4676
Sahoo M, Sahoo J (2022) Effects of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on CO2 emissions in India: empirical evidence from disaggregated data analysis. J Public Aff 22(1):e2307
Sahoo M, Sethi N (2020) Impact of industrialization, urbanization, and financial development on energy consumption: empirical evidence from India. J Public Aff 20(3):e2089
Shahbaz M, Solarin SA, Sbia R, Bibi S (2015) Does energy intensity contribute to CO2 emissions? A trivariate analysis in selected African countries. Ecol Ind 50:215–224
Shahbaz M, Raghutla C, Chittedi KR, Jiao Z, Vo XV (2020) The effect of renewable energy consumption on economic growth: evidence from the renewable energy country attractive index. Energy 207:118162
Sharif A, Raza SA, Ozturk I, Afshan S (2019) The dynamic relationship of renewable and nonrenewable energy consumption with carbon emission: a global study with the application of heterogeneous panel estimations. Renewable Energy 133:685–691
Sineviciene L, Sotnyk I, Kubatko O (2017) Determinants of energy efficiency and energy consumption of Eastern Europe post-communist economies. Energy Environ 28(8):870–884
Sinha A, Shahbaz M (2018) Estimation of environmental Kuznets curve for CO2 emission: role of renewable energy generation in India. Renewable Energy 119:703–711
Sinha A, Gupta M, Shahbaz M, Sengupta T (2019) Impact of corruption in public sector on environmental quality: implications for sustainability in BRICS and next 11 countries. J Clean Prod 232:1379–1393
Statista (2022) Leading countries by renewable energy consumption worldwide in 2021 https://www.statista.com/statistics/237090/renewable-energy-consumption-of-the-top-15-countries/ (Accessed 25 Oct 2022)
Trinks A, Mulder M, Scholtens B (2020) An efficiency perspective on carbon emissions and financial performance. Ecol Econ 175:106632
UN (2022) World Population Prospects 2022. Summary of results. https://www.un.org/development/desa/pd/sites/www.un.org.development.desa.pd/files/wpp2022_summary_of_results.pdf (Accessed 25 Oct 2022)
Villanthenkodath MA, Mahalik MK (2022) Technological innovation and environmental quality nexus in India: Does inward remittance matter? Journal of Public Affairs 22(1):e2291
Wang Q, Su M, Li R (2018) Toward to economic growth without emission growth: the role of urbanization and industrialization in China and India. J Clean Prod 205:499–511
Wang P, Deng X, Zhou H, Yu S (2019) Estimates of the social cost of carbon: a review based on meta-analysis. J Clean Prod 209:1494–1507
Wang J, Li J, Zhang Q (2021) Does carbon efficiency improve financial performance? Evidence from Chinese firms. Energy Econ 104:105658
World Bank (2022) World development indicators https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators (Accessed 22 Sept 2022)
Zafar MW, Saleem MM, Destek MA, Caglar AE (2022) The dynamic linkage between remittances, export diversification, education, renewable energy consumption, economic growth, and CO2 emissions in top remittance-receiving countries. Sustain Dev 30(1):165–175
Zameer H, Yasmeen H, Zafar MW, Waheed A, Sinha A (2020) Analyzing the association between innovation, economic growth, and environment: divulging the importance of FDI and trade openness in India. Environ Sci Pollut Res 27(23):29539–29553
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
MAD: conceptualization, writing original draft, writing — review and editing, and investigation. UKP: data curation, methodology, software, investigation, formal analysis, writing — review and editing, and writing original draft.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Ethical approval
This article does not contain any studies with human participants performed by any of the authors.
Consent to participate
No human or animal subjects were used in our study, and no questionnaire was conducted.
Consent for publication
Not applicable. Our study does not contain individual person’s data.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Responsible Editor: Ilhan Ozturk
Publisher's note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Destek, M.A., Pata, U.K. Carbon efficiency and sustainable environment in India: impacts of structural change, renewable energy consumption, fossil fuel efficiency, urbanization, and technological innovation. Environ Sci Pollut Res 30, 92224–92237 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-28641-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-28641-3