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Variation of digital economy’s effect on carbon emissions: improving energy efficiency and structure for energy conservation and emission reduction

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Abstract

The significance of accurately assessing the influence of digital economy growth upon reducing emission of carbon in the context of worldwide climate governance cannot be overstated. This is crucial in encouraging low-carbon economic advancement at national level, achieving carbon peak and neutrality as soon as possible, and creating a shared future for humanity. A mediating effect model is established using cross-country panel data from 100 countries, ranging from 1990 to 2019, to assess the influence of digital economy development upon emission of carbon and to explore its underlying mechanism. The study found that: the growth of national emission of carbon can be considerably suppressed by digital economy development, and the reduction of emissions is positively associated to each country’s level of economic advancement. Digital economy growth influences regional emission of carbon via intermediary channels like energy structure and efficiency, with energy intensity having a particularly noticeable intermediary impact. The inhibitory influence of digital economy development upon emission of carbon differs among countries with different levels of income, and improvements in energy structure and efficiency can precede to energy savings and emission reduction in both middle- and high-income countries. The above findings offer policy guidance for harmoniously advancing the growth of digital economy and climate management, hastening the low-carbon transformation of national economies, and implementing China’s carbon peaking initiative.

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Data availability

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Notes

  1. According to the IMF's World Economic Outlook 2022, high-income countries include the Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Australia, Austria, Bahrain, Belgium, Canada, Cyprus, Kuwait, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, and Portugal. The middle-income countries include Angola, Argentina, Armenia, Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Bulgaria, Cameroon, Chile, China, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cote d’Ivoire, Croatia, Dominica, Ecuador, Egypt, Gabon, Greece, Guatemala, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Iran, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Australia, Austria, Bahrain, Belgium, Canada, Cyprus, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Qatar, Singapore, Slovenia, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK, USA, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Iran, Jamaica, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Malaysia, Mauritius, Mexico, Moldova, Morocco, Namibia, Nigeria, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Poland, Romania, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Serbia, Slovakia, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago, Tunisia, Turkey, Ukraine, Uruguay, Venezuela, and Zambia; low-income countries include Burkina Faso, Kenya, Kyrgyzstan, Mozambique, Niger, Rwanda, Tajikistan, Tanzania, Zimbabwe, and Guinea-Bissau.

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Funding

This paper is supported by “Research on the Dynamic Value Evaluation of Agricultural Biological Assets, Mortgage Financing Model and Risk Management Policy,” National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC), Jan 2023–Dec 2026, No. 72273105, sponsor and host: Jianchao Luo. This paper is also supported by “Research on the Effectiveness Evaluation, Risk Control and System Construction of the Agricultural Credit Guarantee Policy,” National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC), Jan 2019–Dec 2022, No. 71873100, sponsor and host: Jianchao Luo. This paper is also supported by “Rural revitalization financial policy innovation team,” Chinese Universities Scientific Fund, Jan 2022–Dec 2023, No. 2452022074, sponsor and host: Jianchao Luo. This paper is also supported by “Research on the Policy Orientation and Implementation Path of Financial Empowerment of Rural Revitalization,” the Soft Science Project of the Central Agricultural Office and the Rural Revitalization Expert Advisory Committee of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, 2022.5.31–2023.5.31, No. rkx20221801, sponsor and host: Jianchao Luo.

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Bingjing Mei: conceptualization, data curation, investigation, modeling, formal analysis, writing original draft. Arshad Ahmad Khan: investigation, modeling, formal analysis, review and editing. Sufyan Ullah Khan: data curation, investigation, formal analysis, review and editing. Muhammad Abu Sufyan Ali: software and methodology, investigation, review and editing. Jianchao Luo: funding acquisition, project administration and supervision.

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Correspondence to Jianchao Luo.

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Mei, B., Khan, A.A., Khan, S.U. et al. Variation of digital economy’s effect on carbon emissions: improving energy efficiency and structure for energy conservation and emission reduction. Environ Sci Pollut Res 30, 87300–87313 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-28010-0

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