Abstract
The availability of water at the regional and river basin scales in the future will be significantly impacted by climate change. Effective water management in the sub-basin is essential for ensuring long-term sustainability in the face of changing climatic conditions. The Maner River basin is a significant contributor to the Godavari River, and agriculture serves as the primary source of income for the majority of individuals residing in the subbasin. Nearly 50–65% of irrigational fields in the Maner basin are cultivated using local Tank Cascade Systems (TCS) and reservoirs that are managed by monsoon precipitation. The regional level climate change impact on the water resources of these tank cascade systems is important for sustainable management of water resources. In this study, The NEX-GDDP RCM models of CCSM4, MPI-ESM-LR and MIROC-ESM-CHEM were utilized to examine climate patterns during historical and future periods under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. The Maner sub-basin and KTCS (Katakshapur Tank Cascade System) were modeled using the SWAT hydrological model to simulate runoff and water availability. The average monsoon (July-October) streamflow increase in the Maner basin during the near, mid, and far futures is projected to be 47%, 66%, and 114% under the RCP 4.5 scenario, and 53%, 72%, and 69% under the RCP 8.5 scenario, respectively. Excess flow may overflow from Ramchandrapur, Mallampalli, and Dharmaraopalli tanks to the downstream Katakshapur tank since it can accommodate the up to 18.91 Mm3. To enhance water management in response to climate change, one potential adaptation strategy is to utilize the surplus inflow to refill downstream artificial ponds, which can aid in the replenishment of groundwater and the provision of water supply to tail end tanks.
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Acknowledgements
Climate scenarios used were from the NEX-GDDP dataset, prepared by the Climate Analytics Group and NASA Ames Research Center using the NASA Earth Exchange, and distributed by the NASA Center for Climate Simulation (NCCS). The corresponding author’s (V. Sridhar) effort was funded in part by the Virginia Agricultural Experiment Station (Blacksburg) and through the Hatch Program of the National Institute of Food and Agriculture at the United States Department of Agriculture (Washington, DC) and in part as a Fulbright- Nehru senior scholar funded by the United States India Educational Foundation.
Funding
The research described in this paper was carried out with funds provided by the Science and Engineering Research Board (SERB), DST India through project EMR/2017/004691.
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Conceptualization, K.R.; Data curation, R.S. and V.S.; Formal analysis, K.R.; Funding acquisition, V.R.K.; Project administration, V.R.K.; Resources, V.R.K. and D.P.; Software, R.S.; Supervision, R.S. and V.S.; Validation, D.P. and V.S.; Writing—original draft, K.R.; Writing—review and editing, V.S. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
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Ramabrahmam, K., Keesara, V.R., Srinivasan, R. et al. Climate Change Impact on Water Resources of Tank Cascade Systems in the Godavari Sub-Basin, India. Water Resour Manage 37, 2853–2873 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-023-03496-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-023-03496-y