A number of aspects of the models are compared in the following subsections, with the aim of highlighting the similarities and differences between them. Since many of the models do not include realistic thermodynamics (or indeed any plasma at all), we limit our comparison to the magnetic field, rather than plasma density or temperature. Some of the models, such as the mhd-mas model, have already been developed extensively to describe the flow of energy in the corona, as well as the acceleration of the solar wind, and can deduce the coronal temperature and density. In fact, we also studied this eclipse using this more sophisticated version of the mhd-mas model, but we do not describe those results here since they exceed the scope of the comparisons presented in this paper. Ground truth observations of the real corona are included, although these can provide only indirect, qualitative information about the coronal magnetic field.
Magnetic Flux and Energy
We begin with some overall diagnostics. Firstly, Fig. 4(a) shows the total unsigned magnetic flux,
$$ \varPhi (r) = \int _{0}^{2\pi }\int _{\theta _{\mathrm{min}}}^{ \theta _{\mathrm{max}}}\bigl|B_{r}(r,\theta ,\phi )\bigr|r^{2}\sin \theta \mathrm{d}\theta \mathrm{d}\phi , $$
(2)
for each model at a sequence of heights in the corona. At \(r=R_{ \odot }\) there are significant differences in the photospheric flux arising from the difference in resolution between the models (these different resolutions are stated in Table 2 and evident in Fig. 3). The model photospheric fluxes span the range \(3\mbox{--}5.5 \times 10^{23}~\mbox{Mx}\), from mhd-cese with the lowest flux to ffe with the highest. For comparison, note that the SDO/HMI synoptic map in Fig. 2 has a flux \(\varPhi (R_{\odot })=5.8\times 10^{23}~\mbox{Mx}\) at its original resolution. The difference in resolution between the models becomes insignificant above \(1.5 R_{\odot }\), where the behaviour is dominated by low-order spherical harmonics. Accordingly, most of the models predict a similar open magnetic flux of around \(3\times 10^{22}~\mbox{Mx}\). The exceptions are mhs, mf and mhd-cese, where the open flux is inflated due to the presence of significant volumetric currents in the corona – up to \(6\times 10^{22}~\mbox{Mx}\) in the case of mf. The mf model includes the ejection of magnetic flux ropes which also increases the open flux. These open flux values, and the open magnetic field distribution, will be further discussed in Sect. 3.5.
Figure 4(b) shows the total magnetic energy of each model between \(r=R_{\odot }\) and \(r=2.5R_{\odot }\), given by
$$ E= \int _{R_{\odot }}^{2.5R_{\odot }}\int _{0}^{2\pi } \int _{\theta _{\mathrm{min}}}^{\theta _{\mathrm{max}}}\frac{|{\mathbf{B}}(r, \theta ,\phi )|^{2}}{8\pi }r^{2}\sin \theta \mathrm{d}\theta \mathrm{d}\phi \mathrm{d}r, $$
(3)
and plotted against the corresponding energy \(E_{\mathrm{p}}\) for a potential field source surface extrapolation with source surface at \(r=2.5R_{\odot }\) and the same \(B_{r}(R_{\odot },\theta ,\phi )\) for each particular model. These energies are also listed in Table 2. There are considerable variations in both \(E\) and \(E_{\mathrm{p}}\), which depend to some extent on the model resolution. The distance of each symbol above the solid line indicates the excess of non-potential energy \(E\) above \(E_{\mathrm{p}}\), or the relative free energy. This varies from very little free energy for nlf-gr to around 40% for nlf-op, mhs, mf and mhd-mas. Whilst the latter models all produce a similar percentage of free energy, the absolute values differ significantly, and we will see in Sect. 3.2 that the distributions of electric current within the volume also differ significantly. In the case of the mhs model, the free energy depends on the choice of the \(a\) parameter; for example, taking \(a=2\) would lead to \(E=1.73 E_{ \mathrm{p}}\) rather than \(1.42 E_{\mathrm{p}}\) for \(a=1\). The particularly low free energy for nlf-gr arises because the electric currents are strongly concentrated within active regions, with the magnetic field being close to potential throughout most of the volume.
Electric Currents
Figures 5(a) and (b) show measures of the average perpendicular and parallel electric currents in each model, as a function of radius. Specifically we plot the quantities
$$ F(r) = \int _{0}^{2\pi }\int _{\theta _{\mathrm{min}}}^{\theta _{ \mathrm{max}}}\bigl|(\nabla \times \mathbf{B})\times \mathbf{B}\bigr|r ^{2}\sin \theta \mathrm{d}\theta \mathrm{d}\phi $$
(4)
and
$$ J(r) = \int _{0}^{2\pi }\int _{\theta _{\mathrm{min}}}^{\theta _{ \mathrm{max}}}\bigl|(\nabla \times \mathbf{B})\cdot {\mathbf{B}}\bigr|r ^{2}\sin \theta \mathrm{d}\theta \mathrm{d}\phi . $$
(5)
The perpendicular measure \(F(r)\) is essentially a measure of the Lorentz force \(\mathbf{j}\times \mathbf{B}\). Figure 5(c) shows the ratio \(J(r)/F(r)\), which is a measure of “force-freeness” for each model.
Below about \(r=1.5 R_{\odot }\), the ratio \(J/F\) divides the models into three broad classes: those models that are relatively force-free with \(J/F\gg 1\) (mhd-mas, nlf-gr, nlf-op and mf), those that are not force-free, with \(J/F < 1\) (mhd-cese and mhs), and the ffe model which is not force-free at the photosphere but becomes rather more so above about \(1.1 R_{\odot }\). These differences arise from the physics of the models: the mhd-cese and mhs models include non-magnetic terms in their force balances, while the ffe model matches to a boundary condition at \(r=R_{\odot }\) that does not satisfy \(\mathbf{j}\times \mathbf{B}=0\). The model with highest ratio \(J/F\) is mhd-mas, owing to the relatively smooth boundary data and level of numerical relaxation applied.
The actual amount of current near the photosphere varies between models, as seen by \(J(r)\) in Fig. 6(b). This is highest for nlf-gr, because it includes the most fine-scale structure in the HARP patches. On the other hand, \(J(r)\) falls off rapidly with height in this model, consistent with the field being closest to potential overall (Table 2 and Fig. 4b). By contrast, the mhs model has relatively low \(J(r)\) near the photosphere, owing to its lower input resolution, and the lowest \(J(r)\) is found for the mhd-cese model, which lacks a mechanism for energizing the magnetic field there; its free magnetic energy is located at larger radii where the non-magnetic terms become important.
Both the mf and mhd-mas models have lower \(J(r)\) very close to the photosphere, because they do not resolve such fine-scale structures as nlf-gr and nlf-op. However, these two models have larger current in the low corona (1.1 to \(1.2 R_{\odot }\)), arising from the incorporation of low-lying filament channels. These form self-consistently in the mf model, while their locations (for imposed currents) were chosen by design in the mhd-mas model. Between about 1.2 and \(1.5 R_{\odot }\), the mf model has the largest \(J(r)\), owing to the significant volume currents that have been ejected over time by flux emergence and surface motions. As in the nlf-op model, which has almost as high \(J(r)\), these currents are not limited to active regions, and reach greater heights in the corona.
Above about \(1.7 R_{\odot }\), the ffe model has the largest \(J(r)\), although this likely results from incomplete relaxation to equilibrium in the model and deserves further investigation. The mhd-cese model also has a more gradual fall-off of \(J(r)\) with height than many of the other models, again reflecting the influence of non force-free effects at larger heights in the model as the magnetic field is opened out by the solar wind. Similarly, the mf model becomes non force-free (\(J/F<1\)) above about \(2 R_{\odot }\), caused by the imposed outflow at the upper boundary. This outflow is used to simulate the effect of the solar wind (Mackay and van Ballegooijen 2006), so that the magnetic field is no longer force-free above \(2 R_{\odot }\) but is in a steady-state balance between the outflow and the Lorentz force.
To illustrate the spatial distributions of currents, Fig. 6 shows the magnitude of vertical current density \(j_{r}(1.02 R_{\odot },\theta ,\phi )\) in each model, with the same logarithmic color scale used for all plots. For comparison, panel (h) shows the magnitude of \(j_{r}(R_{\odot },\theta ,\phi )\) computed directly from the SDO/HMI vector synoptic map (Fig. 2).
In all models, the strongest currents are located in the active regions, as might be expected since the magnetic field is strongest there. The magnitudes of these currents differ significantly between the models, consistent with the variations seen in Fig. 5. Outside the active regions, the models differ in their distributions of current. The nlf-op, nlf-gr, mhs and ffe models all show current distributions that correlate with the locations of strongest \(|j_{r}|\) in the photospheric input map (Fig. 6h). These locations are essentially those with strongest large-scale \(B_{r}\) in the input map (Fig. 2). Compared to the other models, nlf-op shows a higher background level of current in the quiet Sun, consistent with its values of \(J(r)\) and \(F(r)\) at this height in Fig. 5. By contrast, nlf-gr shows a much lower level of background current outside of active regions, due to the assumption that \(j_{r}=0\) in those footpoints. The mhd-cese model has small electric currents at low heights, as previously discussed.
The mf and mhd-mas models have additional current concentrations outside the locations of strong observed photospheric \(|j_{r}|\). These take the form of concentrated filament channels, seen in Fig. 6 as parallel lines of \(|j_{r}|\), and lying above polarity inversion lines in the photospheric \(B_{r}\). A good example lies between about \(60^{\circ }\) and \(125^{\circ }\) Carrington longitude in the Southern hemisphere in both models. This current concentration is absent from the other models, and is not seen in the observations at the photospheric level. It is a concentration of electric current density in the coronal volume. We will return to this below in Sect. 3.4.
Plane-of-Sky Magnetic Structure
Figures 7(a) to (g) show visualizations of each model with field lines selected to show the plane-of-sky magnetic structure, as viewed from Earth at approximately the eclipse time. We must bear in mind that, with magnetogram observations presently available only from the Earth’s viewpoint, all of the models use primarily synoptic observations built up from central meridian data. These do not include co-temporal information near the limbs, so any comparison can only be approximate. Recall also that the nlf-op and mhs models do not include the region poleward of \(\pm 70^{\circ }\) latitude. The model images can be compared to observations of the real corona in EUV (Fig. 7h) and the Fe XIV line (Fig. 7i), as well as in white light out to a larger radius (Fig. 1). These particular observations have been chosen and processed to bring out as clearly as possible the structure of coronal streamers above the limb. References describing the processing are given in the figure caption. When comparing with the models it must be remembered that the observations see total emission along the line-of-sight, which includes structures in front of or behind the sky plane. It is beyond the scope of this project to do forward modelling of coronal emission, particularly since most of the models are purely magnetic. Nevertheless, it is clear that there are significant differences between the streamer structure in the different models, as well as similarities.
Firstly, we observe that streamers (closed field regions) are often too high in many models, particularly mhd-cese, mhs, ffe and nlf-gr. The white light observations (Fig. 1) suggest their cusps to lie below \(2 R_{\odot }\) in most cases, although there could be larger closed loops that cannot be seen due to signal-to-noise issues. In the nlf-gr model, these closed-field regions are close to potential, so the cusp height is set by the potential field source surface at \(2.5 R_{\odot }\). In the mhd-mas model, the outer boundary condition is one of zero velocity, tending also to keep the streamer cusps at the outer boundary. In ffe and mhd-cese there is no source surface at all, allowing the closed regions to extend even further out. Similarly, the mhs model is an infinite-space solution with no outer boundary imposed. In the nlf-op and mf models the electric currents allow the streamers to have lower cusps. This is further helped in the mf model by the radial outflow which pulls out the field lines. These differences highlight the importance of the outer boundary conditions for this kind of modelling.
Some models show unusual field line behavior near the outer boundary. For example, mf has disconnected U-loops, which are the result of the ejection of a magnetic flux rope (Mackay and van Ballegooijen 2006; Yeates 2014). Also, some of the field lines for nlf-op and ffe are less smooth near the outer boundary. In the case of ffe this is consistent with the large currents seen at larger heights, and the fact that the relaxation has not reached a stable equilibrium. Although these field lines are strongly non-potential, they contribute little to \(E\) because the magnetic field strength is weak.
We can also compare the angular positions of particular streamers. These are sensitive to both the input data and the locations of electric currents in the corona. For ease of reference, eight approximate locations are labelled in Fig. 7(h), although these do not necessarily correspond to individual streamers. Looking first at the West limb (A to D), the most prominent streamers in the observations are at B and C. All models show evidence of closed field near these locations, although their morphology differs significantly between models. Except for mhd-cese, the models also tend to agree that there is a narrow pseudo-streamer structure at D. At location A, the observed streamer is less clear in EUV, although there are indications of closed field in Figs. 1 and 7(i). Many of the models show at least some closed field at this location, although its structure and orientation are quite varied between models. As mentioned above, the mf model shows U-loops here resulting from a recent flux rope ejection. Interestingly, there are indications in SWAP of a high-altitude EUV cavity at this location, although it is clearest on the day before that shown in Fig. 7(h). Such a cavity is often associated with an underlying filament or filament channel.
On the East limb, the EUV observations indicate prominent structures at E, F and G around the equator, and there is a filament channel at H on the polar crown. All models indicate the presence of closed field around E, F and G, associated with the several active regions spread around Carrington longitude \(0^{\circ }\). The mf model has rather less closed field here than the other models, owing to the fact that two of the main bipolar regions have not yet reached the visible face of the Sun and been incorporated into the time-evolving mf simulation. This is an example of when additional magnetogram observations around the East limb, such as might be obtained from a satellite at the L5 Lagrange point, would be beneficial if the simulation were to be carried out in real time (Mackay et al. 2016).
At H, all models agree that there is a closed field arcade overlying the East-West polarity inversion line. This is supported by the white light and EUV observations which show a filament at this location. Sheared magnetic field at low heights corresponding to this filament channel has formed naturally in the mf model, and has correspondingly been added to the mhd-mas model. This sheared field was created in mf by differential rotation and flux cancellation at the polarity inversion line, and is not present in the other static models. In these other models, this arcade is closer to potential.
Filament Channels
An important observable signature of non-potential magnetic structure in the corona is the presence of filament channels and filaments. These are located above polarity inversion lines in the photospheric \(B_{r}\), and are understood to have a strongly sheared magnetic component along the inversion line (Mackay et al. 2010). To illustrate this aspect, Fig. 8 shows a selection of magnetic field lines for each model, this time traced from height \(r=1.02 R_{\odot }\) above polarity inversion lines on the solar disk. Observed images in H\(\alpha \) and EUV are shown for comparison.
On the solar disk there are a number of filaments visible in the observations, both in H\(\alpha \) (Fig. 8h) and in EUV (Fig. 8i). One filament extends around the North-East limb as a prominence in the white-light eclipse image (Fig. 1). This is the structure labelled H in Fig. 7(h). The presence of filaments at these particular locations indicates that sheared magnetic field is present. Only the mf and mhd-mas models have significantly sheared magnetic field along polarity inversion lines. In the case of the mf model, this has built up naturally over time due to surface motions and flux cancellation, whereas in the mhd-mas model it has been imposed based on the mf model results (Appendix A).
In principle, it would be possible for the nlf-op and nlf-gr models to contain sheared fields along these polarity inversion lines. Indeed the nlf-gr model does recover a sigmoidal structure within the active region located around Carrington longitude \(190^{\circ }\) (on the far side of the Sun during the eclipse). However, the transverse magnetic field measurements, from which the currents are determined, have a poor signal-to-noise ratio outside of active regions. This arises because the linear polarization scales with \(|{\mathbf{B}}|^{2}\), in contrast to the circular polarization which is linear in \(|{\mathbf{B}}|\). Moreover, by creating synoptic maps, these horizontal magnetic fields and resulting currents are further smeared out. As a result, the corresponding electric currents outside of active regions are not accurate enough to allow the nlf-op and nlf-gr extrapolations to recover the sheared magnetic fields in filament channels. In fact, as we have seen, the nlf-gr model assumed \(j_{r}=0\) in the weak field regions of the photosphere, owing to this uncertainty.
The resolution of the BBSO H\(\alpha \) image in Fig. 8 is sufficient to show filaments themselves, as dark structures, but is not sufficient to show empty filament channels. Thus absence of a filament can not be taken to mean absence of sheared magnetic fields. Filament channels may also be identified from alignment of coronal cells in AIA images, particularly in the 193Å channel (Sheeley and Warren 2012). Careful inspection of SDO/AIA movies of EUV emission, especially using composite images processed by the Morgan and Druckmüller (2014) technique, was used here to identify which filament channels to energize in the mhd-mas model (see Appendix A). This method identifies many filament channels that do not show up clearly in Fig. 8(h) and (i). As a case in point, consider the location labelled A in Fig. 8(g), where a sheared field was inserted in the mhd-mas model. There is only a small amount of H\(\alpha \) filament material visible at the west end of the channel in Fig. 8(h), but analysis of the EUV observations at higher resolution suggests the possible presence of a long East-West filament channel all along this polarity inversion line, bending northward at its eastern end as in the mhd-mas model. A sheared filament channel is also present here in the mf model.
Open Magnetic Flux
The open magnetic field lines are the source of the solar wind, so represent the output of the models as far as the heliosphere is concerned. In Sect. 3.1 (Fig. 4a), we compared the open magnetic flux \(\varPhi (2.5 R_{\odot })\), as defined in Equation (2). The numerical values for each model are given explicitly in Table 3, along with an observational estimate based on in situ OMNI data. To make this estimate, daily averages of the basic hourly OMNI data were obtained from the GSFC/SPDF OMNIWeb interface at http://omniweb.gsfc.nasa.gov, giving \(B_{r}(R_{\mathrm{E}})\). Averaging over 27 days centered on the eclipse time, and assuming a uniform distribution of magnetic flux over latitude at \(R_{\mathrm{E}}=1 \mathrm{AU}\), we estimate the equivalent open flux shown in Table 3 as \(\varPhi (2.5 R_{\odot }) \approx 4\pi R_{\mathrm{E}}^{2}|B_{r}(R_{\mathrm{E}})| = 9.05\times 10^{22}~\mbox{Mx}\). As has previously been found during relatively active periods of solar activity (see Linker et al. 2017), this observed value is much higher than that predicted by models – either potential or non-potential. Our results are consistent with their findings. The additional coronal currents in the mf and mhd-cese models, in particular, enhance the open flux significantly, but it still remains below the level inferred from OMNI observations. The reasons for this discrepancy are not yet understood, and are discussed by Linker et al. (2017). It is possible that this may be partially heliospheric in origin, if there are regions in the solar wind where the interplanetary magnetic field folds back on itself and is thus over-counted in the \(B_{r}(R_{\mathrm{E}})\) measurements (Owens et al. 2013).
Table 3 Unsigned open magnetic flux \(\varPhi (2.5 R_{\odot })\) of the non-potential models Finally, we consider the spatial distribution of open and closed magnetic field in the models. In addition to indicating the possible source regions of the solar wind, this is important because the open or closed nature of the magnetic field at a given location depends sensitively on both the input data and the distribution of electric currents in the model. Comparing the open field footpoints to the locations of observed coronal holes therefore provides a further observational constraint.
Figure 9 shows the locations of open magnetic field line footpoints on \(r=R_{\odot }\) for the different models, along with – in panel (h) – a persistence map of observed coronal holes in EUV. This map was built up synoptically over Carrington rotation 2161 (2015 February 28 to 2015 March 27) by thresholding full-disk SDO/AIA 193 Å EUV images, at a cadence of 12 hours. The procedure is described in more detail by Lowder et al. (2017), although during this particular time period no far-side EUV data were available. Of course, this should be taken only as a lower bound on the areas of observed open field rather than a true measure. This is because, while a significant fraction of open flux originates from coronal holes, the footpoints of open field can also be bright, particularly if they lie in active regions. Indeed, quantifying the amount of open flux not located in coronal holes is an important observational challenge for reconciling the models and observations in future.
Given the sensitivity of the open/closed footpoint regions as well as the variety of boundary conditions used, there is reasonable agreement between most of the models and with the observed persistence map. Robust features are labelled in Fig. 9(h) and include: a negative-polarity polar coronal hole in the Southern Hemisphere (A) but no corresponding hole in the Northern hemisphere; a narrow equatorward extension of the Southern polar hole (B and C); a long positive-polarity hole in the Northern hemisphere (D); a north-south oriented positive-polarity hole (E); and a more compact positive-polarity hole near the equator in the Southern Hemisphere (F).
The ffe model differs significantly from the others, as was evident from its magnetic field structure in Fig. 7. The mf model reproduces many of the observed coronal holes, although some (particularly E) are shifted in position. However, it has a number of additional open field regions, with significantly more open magnetic field of both polarities at low and medium latitudes. Indeed this additional open flux was seen in Fig. 4(a). Partly this additional open field arises from the opening up of streamers discussed in Sect. 3.3 and seen in Fig. 7. Another reason for enhancement is the ejection of magnetic flux ropes in the mf model (one such eruption is responsible for the U-loops in Fig. 7e). But the difference from other models is also partly due to the different photospheric distribution of \(B_{r}\) (Fig. 3), owing to the model being driven by a flux transport model rather than directly from observed magnetograms (Appendix B). A good example is the large extension of the negative-polarity hole into the Northern hemisphere around Carrington longitude \(300^{\circ }\) to \(360^{\circ }\) (labelled G in Fig. 9e). This hole is likely to reduce in size once the new active regions emerge that are already present in the other models.
Figure 10 shows the distribution of \(B_{r}\) on the outer boundary \(r=2.5 R_{\odot }\) in each model. Here all of the field lines are “open” according to our definition. At this radius, the magnetic field is insensitive to small-scale differences in the input magnetic maps, and there is reasonable agreement between nlf-op, nlf-gr, mhs and mhd-mas. These models all inherit the same basic open/closed topology from the potential field used as their initial condition before the injection of electric currents at the base. In the ffe, mf and mhd-cese models, the heliospheric current sheet (boundary between positive and negative \(B_{r}\)) has a more complex shape, with a disconnected loop in the mf model. The reasons for these differences are the same as in Fig. 9. As mentioned above, the ffe model has a complex magnetic structure that likely reflects the incomplete relaxation of the model. These results do suggest that we should not take the potential field topology for granted, although some of these differences arise from the different photospheric \(B_{r}\) distribution in the mf and mhd-cese models; indeed, the coronal hole map comparison suggests that the difference may be over-emphasized in these models. The additional open flux in the mhs, mhs and mhd-cese models, compared to the others, is also clear in this plot. Note that this could be reduced in the mhs model by reducing the parameter \(a\), so may not be particularly significant in that case.