Abstract
The issue of irregular work has been well known in Italy since the early seventies. Undeclared work is a particular facet of shadow economy where employers evade tax typically by underreporting either the numbers of workers or the hours worked or both and, by this mean, they avoid paying the legally due social security contributions. As any form of shadow activity, undeclared work introduces important biases in the economic system. That is why, it is of paramount interest for policy makers to understand which are the factors influencing undeclared work. The Italian National Institute of Statistics has developed a methodology in the vanguard to estimate the rate of irregular work and today we have time series long enough for a review of the phenomenon. When looking at regional rates of irregular work it’s stunning how dissimilar they are and this dissimilarity is kept over time. This paper aims to understand the reasons of this heterogeneous dynamics and to identify it’s determinants, focusing in particular on the role of social capital. We use a dynamic panel model to measure the impact of social capital and of some other relevant variables on regional irregular work rates. We find that social capital ha a significant effect. It reveals itself to be a key factor in hindering the use of irregular workers.
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Notes
According to the World Bank, social capital includes the institutions, the relationships, the attitudes and values that govern interactions among people and contribute to economic and social development. In Sect. 2 there is a throughout discussion on social capital.
The evasion can be done in many different ways. Employers can declare the right number of workers, but under report the hours worked or the position covered. An extreme form of underreporting occurs when employer completely hide to Fiscal authorities one or more workers.
IWR is the ratio between the irregular and the total labor units.
The micro and small firms are those with less that 10 employees.
SCI stands for Social Capital Initiative and is a World Bank network devoted to the study of social capital.
In Italy there is a tax on TV possession. According to the most important italian consumer association (Codacons), in 2012 the percentage of evasion of this tax was 800 millions euros, corresponding to a share of evading families of 44 %. Because of the ease of evading, TV tax compliance can be used as indicator of civic duty.
This turning point is the effect of two amnesties on irregular immigrants: all at a sudden, a huge amount of irregular workers (the illegal immigrants) are declared and hired with a regular position.
Model estimations were done using the command xtabond2 in STATA 11 (Roodman 2009).
We verified that for both models (meaning those arising from the two definitions of SCI) no unit root exist.
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Acknowledgments
This work is funded by the project IDEL leaded by the Italian Minister of Labor and Social Policies through Italia Lavoro. We would like to thank Isabella Santini, Mauro Rota, Edoardo Di Porto and Fabio Sabatini for the very useful suggestions that made this study possible. A special thank goes to Lovisa Stephenson.
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Arezzo, M.F. Social Capital and Undeclared Work: An Empirical Analysis in Italy from 1998 to 2008. Soc Indic Res 118, 695–709 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-013-0434-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-013-0434-4