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Financial Sector Development Indicators and Economic Growth in Cameroon and South Africa

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Abstract

This study seeks to identify, compare and appreciate salient differences in the financial sector development and economic growth experiences of Cameroon and South Africa. A comparative study is often conducted in the early stages of development of a branch of science in order to help research to progress from the initial level of exploratory case studies to a more advanced level of general model invariance, such as causality. Furthermore, a comparative study can also help in understanding the root cause of the development and/or weakness of one system (economy). A comparison between the financial sectors of Cameroon and South Africa will help to identify whether or not the level and structure of a financial sector can explain differences in terms of the effects of the latter on economic growth. The paper first compares the economic growth experiences of Cameroon and South Africa and examines the development of their financial sector. This is to assist in understanding their economic situations, in order to acknowledge the experiences of the two countries, which may explain the nature of the development of their financial sectors. The paper then analyzes the further development of their financial sectors using various indicators of financial deepening. This is to evaluate how all the policies implemented in order to restore the economic situation in these countries have impacted on their financial sector, either in terms of the number of players (financial widening), or in terms of their efficiency (financial deepening). Implications and conclusion are then included. It has been suggested that in Cameroon, during the pre-reform period, the country as well as the financial sector, excelled the most, partly due to the discovery of oil in 1978. However, the mid 1980s economic shock experiences of Cameroon significantly affected the financial sector. Subsequent financial sector development policies of Cameroon have failed to improve the economic situation. In the post-reform period, the banking sector was unable to efficiently collect savings and allocate these to the economy, possibly because of the loss of confidence in the banking sector although few efforts were made to attract savings from the economy. Furthermore, real interest rate, which reflects the real cost of funds to the borrower and the real yield to the lender, was almost negative throughout the period under review, and did not attract savings, even when it was positive. For South Africa, throughout the period under review, there has been a trend of an increase in almost all the indicators of the financial sector development selected. Savings have been better mobilised and effectively allocated to the economy and the financial sector has done well since the liberalisation of the sector.

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Notes

  1. The simplest definition of economic growth is an increase in real gross domestic product (GDP) (this refers to GDP adjusted for inflation).

  2. The depreciation of the US dollar caused a 44 % fall in the terms of trade between 1986 and 1988, and the export price indices of primary products fell as follows: coffee (−11 %), rubber (−20 %), cocoa (−24 %) and oil (−65 %). For more details, see Fambon (2002).

  3. From 1985 onwards, oil prices witnessed a drastic fall, which continued in 1986: from 27 USD/barrel in 1985 to below 10 USD/barrel in 1986.

  4. The first programme established by the government was in 1987, basically aimed at reducing the government deficit and lightening the weight of the public sector in the economy. However, this turned out to be insufficient to stem the economic crisis. In effect, between 1987 and 1988, the GDP fell by 7.86 % in real terms (2,000 = 100), and the current account balance continued to deteriorate. Finally, the budget deficit remained high (5.8 % of GDP), although with a downward trend relative to the preceding year (12.8 % in 1986/1987) (Fambon 2006:9). In view of the continued deterioration of the economic conditions in the country, the government reluctantly engaged in negotiations with Bretton Woods institutions. Given the extent of deterioration in terms of trade and its adverse impact on revenues, the government adopted an austerity programme in 1988, supported by an IMF and World Bank structural adjustment credit (SAC), which was aimed at: reducing spending, liberalising the trade regime, restructuring the banking system, and restructuring or privatising some public enterprises, among other things.

  5. From 1 French franc for 50 francs CFA to 1 French franc for 100 francs CFA.

  6. In 2003, 80 % of the total bank branches were located in Douala and Yaoundé (the two largest cities in the country) (Avom and Eyeffa 2007:198).

  7. The intermediation rate, which is the ratio of the number of branches to the population, shows that the degree of bank penetration is still weak. Between 1995 and 2005, there was less than one bank branch per 100,000 people (IMF 2007:35).

  8. Taking from the website of all the commercial banks in Cameroon. Assessed on October 2008.

  9. Societe General des Banques au Cameroun (SGBC), Societe Commercial des Banques Crédit Lyonnais Cameroun (SCB-CL) and Banque Internationale pour le Commerce et l’Industrie (BICIC).

  10. Real interest rates that are positive (i.e. where the nominal rate is higher than the inflation rate) are good for depositors as they allow them to purchase more real goods and services after they have earned interest for any period of time than they could have done if they had not deposited their funds in interest earning accounts. Negative real rates of interest, on the other hand, will leave them with less real buying power when they come to withdraw and spend their funds than those funds had when they were deposited—a situation which holders of funds will usually avoid, simply by not depositing funds in accounts which offer negative real interest rates.

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Correspondence to Oludele Akinloye Akinboade.

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Akinboade, O.A., Kinfack, E.C. Financial Sector Development Indicators and Economic Growth in Cameroon and South Africa. Soc Indic Res 115, 813–836 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-013-0236-8

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