Abstract
This paper reports results from an economic experiment where respondents are asked to make choices between risky outcomes for themselves and others. We investigate whether subjects’ own risk preferences and gender stereotypes are reflected in the predictions they make for the risk preferences of others and the way this occurs. When predicting other people’s risk preferences, the respondents tend to use a combination of their own risk preferences and stereotypes. Moreover, when making risky choices for others, the respondents generally use a combination of their own risk preferences and their average predicted risk preference of the targeted group.
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Notes
The paper by Chakravarty et al. (2005) came to our attention after the experiments in this study were performed.
The default hypothesis is analogous to the false consensus effect in social psychology where people tend to overestimate the degree to which their own behaviour, attitudes, beliefs etc. are shared by other people (Ross, Greene and House 1977).
In the Chakravarty et al. study, respondents were required to predict the average risk propensity of the other participants by guessing the average choice made by all participants.
See Siegrist, Cvetkovich and Gutscher (2002) and references therein for results from studies testing the risk-as-value hypothesis.
See Loewenstein et al. (2001) for a detailed description of the Risk-as-feelings theory.
Hsee and Weber (1997) find that the risk-as-feelings hypothesis holds when the target is anonymous. However, in a second study, they find that when respondents are asked to predict the risk preferences of an individual visible to them, the results are consistent with the default hypothesis. The authors explain the results by arguing that it is easier for individuals to project their own feelings towards risk in the case where the target is vivid than when the target is abstract.
The authors conducted an experiment where subjects were required to make abstract gambling decisions as well as financially motivated risky decisions embedded in an investment or insurance context.
In addition they point out those results from survey data showing gender specific risk attitudes may be due to differences in individuals’ opportunity sets. This theory is supported partly by the results of Säve-Söderbergh (2003) who studied premium pension portfolio choices and found that, after controlling for a wide range of variables, the only significant gender difference appeared at the upper end of the risk distribution.
Eckel and Grossman also refer to a model developed by Vesterlund (1997) where if more risk-averse workers can be identified, then they (women if the stereotype is applied) face a distribution of wages that is stochastically dominated by the distribution for the less-risk-averse group even when the productivity of the two types of workers are identical.
At the time the experiment was conducted, 1 USD = 7.3 SEK
F[3,126] = 0.596, p = 0.62 and F[3,126] = 1.75576, p = 0.16 for PCEm and PCEf respectively.
Risk seekers, recognizing that they have a greater propensity for risky choices than others, would regard risk seeking as a positive characteristic and would wish to consider that they possess this admirable characteristic to a greater degree than others and would thus increase the distance between themselves and others, while the opposite would be true for extremely risk-averse individuals.
Two separate regressions were performed, using a single dependent variable Own Certainty Equivalence (OCE) and Predicted Certainty Equivalence (PCE) in each. We found the magnitude of the coefficient estimates to be similar to the pooled model.
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Acknowledgements
I would like to extend my gratitude to the anonymous referee and to the editor for their many constructive comments. Many thanks also to Fredrik Carlsson, Olof Johansson-Stenman, Henrik Jaldell, Peter Frykblom and Effy Crawford for their comments and suggestions.
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Daruvala, D. Gender, risk and stereotypes. J Risk Uncertainty 35, 265–283 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-007-9024-7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11166-007-9024-7