A list of original publications on observations of high-grading and over-quota discarding was derived from literature searches. First a search in Scopus on high-grading was done using the query ‘TITLE-ABS-KEY (((“high-grading” OR “highgrading”) OR “individual quotas” OR (“individual” AND “quotas” AND “strategy”) OR (discard* AND (“minimum landings size” OR “minimum legal length” OR “commercial species” OR “legislation”))) AND (fish*))’. This query thus included search terms for high-grading, and for terms that were expected to be linked to high-grading observations. Papers that contained observations on high-grading, such as on-board observations, interviews, or skipper logbooks were included in the review. Papers hypothesizing high-grading based on conceptual models were not considered. Review papers were not included, but the original references were evaluated. In total, 336 papers were screened from which 44 contained observations on high-grading. For each of these 44 papers, the gear type, main species, geographical area, management system, type of observation, and a short description of the observation were recorded. Table 1 summarises the papers that report empirical observations of high-grading. Thirty of these reported observations were made by on-board observers. The fourteen other observations were mostly obtained by interviews, or self-sampling. In most cases where on-board observers were present, high-grading was inferred by generating sigmoid curves describing the length-based retention of individuals, and comparing these to minimum landing size (MLS) regulations. If the length at which 50 % of the individuals was retained was higher than the MLS, this indicates high-grading. In 16 of the papers, the authors mentioned the existence of high-grading in the title or abstract of paper. For the remaining 28 papers, the existence of high-grading was mentioned in the text of 17 papers, or inferred by us in the other 11. In general we inferred the existence of high-grading when (1) length-structured discards observations showed that fish larger than the MLS was discarded, or (2) there was a clear size difference between landings and discards in the absence of an MLS.
Table 1 Summary of global high-grading papers reviewed
High-grading is reported from a wide range of areas and jurisdictions. In Europe, high-grading is observed in fisheries ranging from the Mediterranean Sea to the North-east Atlantic. In North-America, high-grading is reported in the Gulf of Mexico and the East coast. Additional observations are from Turkey, Greenland, New Zealand, Australia, and South Africa. The existence of some form of individual quotas in the fishery was mentioned in 18 papers. Other fisheries where individual vessels were able to plan the use of quota, such as trip limits and bag limits, also reported high-grading. The relatively large number of papers that are associated with ITQs may in part result from our query. Also, the concerns about high-grading in ITQ fisheries may have spurred empirical research into high-grading in those fisheries. Especially in New Zealand, the benefits and costs of adopting ITQs (and associated problems with high-grading) appear to have been well studied. Finally, high-grading was present in at least five fisheries with TAC management. The exact number cannot be inferred from the literature because not all studies exactly specify the management system, while even national annual quota are sometimes subdivided and made available to individual vessels by e.g. producer organisations. High-grading was not always related to fisheries management, even if extensive management was in place: the literature review resulted in seven papers that explicitly mentioned high-grading because of market condition. Four studies mentioned the constraining hold of the vessel to be a driver for high-grading (Pikitch et al. 1988; Neher 1994; Olbers and Fennessy 2007; Kristofersson and Rickertsen 2009). Lower price categories are high-graded, most often the smaller individuals. However, high-grading of larger individuals is also observed. Most of the observations on high-grading in the literature represent commercial fisheries using a wide range of gears. One paper explicitly studied and mentioned the existence of high-grading in recreational angling.
A second search was done for over-quota discarding, using the query ‘TITLE-ABS-KEY (((“over-quota” OR “overquota”) OR “individual quotas” OR (“individual” AND “quotas” AND “strategy”) OR (discard* AND (“minimum landings size” OR “minimum legal length” OR “commercial species” OR “legislation”))) AND (fish*))’. The resulting papers were treated similar to the high-grading literature review. However, from the 314 papers resulting from this query, we found only five papers where over-quota discarding could be unequivocally inferred. Those papers where wording was sufficiently strong to suggest discarding of marketable fish after quota were exhausted are collated in Table 2. Some of these papers were also included in the high-grading observations. Many papers are not included in Table 2, because the discarding that resulted from constraining quotas can either be high-grading or over-quota discarding (e.g. Richards 1994; Baelde 2001; Brewer 2011; Cullis-Suzuki et al. 2012; Catchpole et al. 2014; Mace et al. 2014).
Table 2 Summary of global over-quota discarding papers reviewed
To summarise, the literature review shows that high-grading is reported from all over the world in a broad range of fisheries, although the number of reports with empirical evidence is small. High-grading occurs in fisheries that are restricted in landing their total catch due to management, market or physical constraints. In the following sections, we will describe a conceptual model for quantifying high-grading and over-quota discarding.
Simulation model
In order to gain insight as to the mechanisms inducing high-grading and over-quota discarding behaviour, we used a dynamic-state variable model (DSVM; Houston and McNamara 1999; Clark and Mangel 2000). Dynamic state variable models have been applied in a variety of fisheries to analyse vessel fishing behaviour (Gillis et al. 1995; Poos et al. 2010; Dowling et al. 2012; Batsleer et al. 2013). In such models, the optimal annual strategy of fishing vessels operating in fisheries under individual quotas and in a stochastic environment is evaluated. Our model differs from earlier models in that: (1) it includes size structured fish catches, and (2) ex-vessel price by size class fluctuates over time. The utility function assumes that fishers are profit maximizers. Although other incentives may play a role in decision making, there is empirical evidence for profit as a useful metric of utility (Robinson and Pascoe 1998).
We model bottom trawl fishers targeting three size-structured fish species (sole, plaice and cod), where catches are divided into market categories based on size (Table 3). The size classes have seasonally variable auction prices
(Fig. 1). The size structure and species composition of the catch is thus an important determinant of the value of a catch. The expected catch rates of each species/size class combination is defined by probability distributions that are functions of fishing location and season, reflecting spatial and seasonal variations in abundance. Parameters describing the probability distributions are estimated from historic data.
Table 3 Marketable size classes of the three target species
In the model fishers maximise their annual net revenueFootnote 1 by making weekly decisions on (1) to go fishing or not; (2) fishing location; and (3) how much to discard given their annual landing quota and restrictions on discarding. A weekly time scale is chosen because most fishing trips last from Monday to Friday in the bottom trawl fishery that serves as a case-study (Rijnsdorp et al. 2011).
For simplicity we assume that there is one individual quota restricting a single species. In this case we chose plaice given observations of discarding of marketable plaice in the Dutch beam trawl fishery (Poos et al. 2010). Historically, the plaice quota constrained the fishery in the 1990s, leading to changes in the targeting behaviour of the fleet (Quirijns et al. 2008). The cumulative landings in weight of species s of the set of species S and size class n of N size classes is denoted by \(L_{s,n}\). The cumulative landings in weight of the quota constrained species, that we define by s = 1, represents the state of the individual, denoted by L and equal to \(\mathop \sum \nolimits_{N} L_{1,n}\).
The landings are determined by the discarding decision and the catches which in turn depend on the spatial and temporal distribution of all size classes within the 3 species. Each week t individuals choose to visit fishing area a and to keep or discard any combination of the size classes caught of the different species. This behaviour is defined by a matrix d, of dimension S and N. Catches above d
s,n are discarded. To limit the number of discarding options, the values of d
s,n are restricted to 0 (all catches are discarded) or 231 (all catches are landed) for each combination of species and size class. The catches are modelled as a random variable having a negative binomial distribution with a mean \(m_{s,n,a,t}\) per area, week, species and size class, and a dispersion parameter per species r
s
. The means and dispersion parameters are estimated from logbook data from the case study fleet. The probability \(\lambda_{s,n} \left( {l_{s,n} ,d_{s,n} , a,t} \right)\) of making a landings l
s,n
of amount χ is a function of the area choice in a given week, and the discarding decisions such that it has following cumulative distribution function
$$\begin{aligned} \lambda_{s,n} \left( {l_{s,n} \le \chi ,d_{s,n} , a,t} \right) & = f\left( {\chi ;d_{s,n} ,m_{s,n,a,t} ,r_{s} } \right) \\ & = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}l} {\mathop \sum \limits_{{l_{s,n} = 0 }}^{\chi } \left( {\frac{{r_{s} }}{{r_{s} + m_{s,n,a,t} }}} \right)^{{r_{s} }} \frac{{\varGamma \left( {r_{s} + l_{s,n} } \right)}}{{l_{s,n} !\varGamma \left( {l_{s,n} } \right)}}\left( {\frac{{m_{s,n,a,t} }}{{r_{s} + m_{s,n,a,t} }}} \right)^{{l_{s,n} }} ,} \hfill & {\text{for} \quad 0 \le \chi < d_{s,n} } \hfill \\ {1,} \hfill & {\text{for} \quad \chi \ge d_{s,n} } \hfill \\ \end{array} } \right. \\ \end{aligned}$$
(1)
where Γ(·) is the gamma function (Press et al. 2002). The optimal strategy in each week of the year, denoted by t depends on the cumulative landings of the quota species. These landings affect the possibility to continue fishing and land fish without exceeding the annual quota. The expected net revenue at the end of the year is linked to the choices in the preceding weeks through a value function between time t and the end of year T. The value function represents the maximum expected net revenue to be made between week t and the end of the year T and depends on the state of the individual L, the amount of quota U for the quota species, the fine per unit weight for exceeding the quota F, and is expressed as \(V\left( {L,U,F,t} \right)\). Individuals exceeding their quota get a fine that depends on the quota overshoot. At the end of the year T, after all fishing has been completed, the value function \(V\left( {L,U,F,T} \right)\) is defined by the fine of overshooting the quota
$$\varPhi \left( {L,U, F} \right) = \left\{ {\begin{array}{*{20}l} {0,} \hfill & {L \le U} \hfill \\ { - \left( {L - U} \right) F,} \hfill & {L > U} \hfill \\ \end{array} } \right. .$$
(2)
For each week before T, the expected net revenue is determined by the value function, the weekly gross revenue and the costs of fishing.
For all times t preceding T we use stochastic dynamic programming to find the optimal solution by backward iteration of the net expected revenue H from t to the end of the year considering the choices a and d and the state L at t and optimal choices in subsequent weeks
$$H\left( {L,U, F,t;a,d} \right) = R\left( {a,d,t} \right)\;*\; \kappa - C\left( a \right) + {\mathbb{E}}_{a,d} \left[ {V\left( {L{^\prime} ,U,F,t + 1} \right)} \right],$$
(3)
where \(R\left( {a,d,t} \right)\) is the expected direct contribution of the gross revenue that follows from the sales of fish in a week resulting from choices a and d, and the prices of fish in that week \(p_{s,n} \left( t \right)\): \(R\left( {a,d,t} \right) = \mathop \sum \nolimits_{S} \mathop \sum \nolimits_{N} \lambda_{s,n} \left( {l_{s,n} ,d_{s,n} , a,t} \right)\;*\;l_{s,n} \;*\;p_{s,n} \left( t \right)\). The term κ represents a factor accounting for the additional revenue obtained from landing marketable species that are not explicitly modelled. The term \(C\left( a \right)\) represents the variable costs in a week resulting from the choice of fishing area a. The term \(L'\) reflects the change of the state L resulting from the weekly landings for the quota species, \(\mathop \sum \nolimits_{N} l_{1,n}\). The term \({\mathbb{E}}_{a,d} \left[ {V\left( {L^{\prime},U,F,t + 1} \right)} \right]\) denotes the expected future value taken over all possible states resulting from choices a and d. The optimal choice is given by
$$V\left( {L,U, F,t} \right) = \max_{a,d} \left\{ {H\left( {L,U,F,t;a,d} \right)} \right\}.$$
(4)
Hence, starting with \(V\left( {L,U,F,T} \right) = \varPhi \left( {L,U, F} \right)\) we can iterate backwards in time and find the optimal choice in terms of location and discarding behaviour for all possible states, combining the net revenue obtained from the sale of fish and costs of a fishing trip and the effect of the annual fines when exceeding annual quota.
We explore high-grading and over-quota discarding decisions of conventional beam trawlers under a range of individual plaice quota (100–800 tonnes year−1).
Case study data
Marketable catch and effort data by fishing trip are obtained from logbooks and individual sale slips for large Dutch beam trawl mixed fishery (>1500 hp). Restrictive TACs in recent years may bias port-based catch rate observations of marketable fish because of over-quota discarding and high-grading (Rijnsdorp et al. 2008; Poos et al. 2010). Therefore, log book data from 1970 to 1974 are used, a period where there were minimum mesh and landing sizes, but no TACs (Daan 1997). TACs were introduced only in 1975 for this fishery (Salz 1996). The data are collected on a trip by trip basis and include the landed weight of marketable fish by species and size category, fishing ground (ICES rectangle, ca. 30 × 30 nautical miles), fishing effort (hours fished), fishing gear, vessel length, and engine power. Data for plaice, sole and cod are analysed.
Fishing areas are defined by aggregating ICES rectangles, similar to (Rijnsdorp et al. 2012; Fig. 2). The large Dutch beam trawlers are prohibited from fishing in the Plaice Box (areas 6–9) and the 12 nautical mile zones (areas 1 and 2). These areas are excluded from further analysis. Fishing effort is determined by summing the fishing time and the travel time per week. The fishing time for large trawlers is estimated at 65 h per week based on the effort dataset. Travel time is calculated by taking the distance from the harbour of departure to each of the fishing grounds and assuming a steaming speed of 12 nautical miles h−1 (Poos et al. 2013).
Trawl catch rates
Seasonal catch rates per fishing area for the different size classes of plaice, sole, and cod in the beam trawl fleet are described using generalized additive models (GAM, Wood 2006). Catch rates are modelled using the weight of the catches (kg) from the logbooks per size class per fishing trip as a response variable while effort (h) is used as offset variable (Wood 2006). By using a negative binomial GAM with a logarithmic link function we allow over-dispersed data and zero-observations (Wood 2006; Zuur et al. 2009). The model to estimate catch by size class \(n\) and area \(a\) per week is applied to the data per species s:
$$m_{s,n,a,t} = a + gear + f_{1} \left( {n,t|a} \right) + \log \left( {engine\;power} \right) + f_{2} \left( {sweek,n} \right) + offset\left( {\log \left( {effort} \right)} \right),$$
(5)
where f
1 and f
2 are smooth functions based on a tensor product smoother (Wood 2006). The tensor product smoother f
1(n, t|a) is based on a cubic regression spline for size class and a cyclic cubic regression spline for week by area. The cubic regression spline for week by area results in equal values and slopes at the beginning and end of the year (Wood 2006). The maximum degrees of freedom for both smoothing terms is limited (k = 4) to prevent over-fitting. The covariate engine power is the log-transformed horse power and is included because of its influence on the catch efficiency. The covariate gear is included to differentiate the catch efficiencies between the beam and otter trawl. The covariate sweek within the second smoothing term f
2(sweek, n) is week number since the start of the data collection (1 January 1970) and captures the gradual changes in biomass for each size class over time as a result of recruitment and mortality. In addition to the estimates of the mean catches \(m_{s,n,a,t}\) the model also returns the estimated dispersion parameter per species \(r_{s}\). All analyses were done using the R statistical program (version 2.12.1; R Core Development Team 2013). The “mgcv 1.7-29” package was used for the GAM model for trawl catch rates (Wood 2011).
The GAM model is used to estimate the spatial and temporal patterns in catch rates (kg week−1) for each size class of each target species in the period 1970–1974. To obtain values representative for the time period in which the economic data is collected, the predictions are rescaled with a factor calculated by dividing the mean of the absolute values of the spawning stock biomass (SSB) of 1970–1979 by the mean of the absolute values of the SSB of the past 10 years (2004–2013).
Economic data
The three species modelled represent 82 % of the gross revenue of the Dutch beam trawl fleet. Mean weekly market values for the marketable size classes are calculated from sale slip data from 2003 to 2007 (Fig. 1). The fine for overshooting the individual quota is set to 320 € kg−1. Such a high fine ensures full compliance to the individual quotas in the model. Costs of discarding in terms of additional sorting time are assumed to be negligible.
Information on the cost structure of large beam trawl vessels (2008–2010) is obtained from LEI (Agricultural Economic Research Institute). The variable costs represent about 75–80 % of the total annual costs and include fuel costs, gear maintenance costs, cost of handling and transportation of landings, crew shares and other variable costs, such as auction and harbour fees. Fuel costs depend on effort and fuel price and is estimated to be approximately €6400 day−1 (van Marlen et al. 2014). Gear maintenance cost is assumed proportional to fishing effort, landing costs proportional to the total weight landed, and other variable costs proportional to the gross revenue. Crew shares are predominantly determined by an agreement between the owner and his crew. Crew share is calculated after fuel, handling and transportation costs are deducted from the gross revenue. Values used for variable costs in the simulation model are presented in Table 4.
Table 4 Variable costs of the beam trawl used in the simulation