Abstract
In this paper we propose an adjustment to the Herfindahl–Hirschman concentration index for explicitly considering the role of the topology of financial economic networks on market concentration. The case study of the Italian stock market serves for outlining the relevance of the shareholding network in the measurement of effective concentration. Moreover, we deepen the analysis of the network comparing network centrality measures, that are a well known method for understanding the relative relevance of network nodes. The correlations among them show their relation, and the fact that none of them can completely substitute the information contained in the size of companies. Such analysis constitutes the base for randomized experiments aiming at understanding to which extent the topology of this financial economic network is constraining the market concentration, so we derive and comment the results on the maximum value of HH \(_{i}\) under the scale-free constraint. We also show the fragility of the network under random rewiring, both unconstrained and constrained by the network topology.
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Notes
We used the sectoral allocation by Italy’s main Stock Exchange Borsa Italiana Group.
Note that the lower bound approaches zero in the case of an atomistic market and that the sensitivity of \(\textit{HH}_{i}\) to the increase of sample size decreases the larger the number of firms considered.
The Herfindahl–Hirschman plays a significant role in the enforcement process of US antitrust laws. Since 1982, the Merger Guidelines have provided an indication for the identification of post merger markets as unconcentrated, mildly concentrated, or highly concentrated based on the value of \(\textit{HH}_{i}\), http://www.stanfordlawreview.org/online/obama-antitrust-enforcement.
When using \(\textit{HH}_{i}\), the antitrust enforcement agencies consider both the post-merger level of \(\textit{HH}_{i}\) and the increase in \(\textit{HH}_{i}\) resulting from the merger. US Department of Justice & FTC, Horizontal Merger Guidelines 5.2 (2010), http://www.justice.gov/atr/public/guidelines/hmg-2010.html#5c.
Consob is the public authority responsible for regulating the Italian securities market.
For more details see http://www.consob.it/main/emittenti/societa_quotate/index.html.
A deeper analysis carried out on the different subsectors of the three main areas Financials, Industrials, Services of the “Entire market” sample has led to partially increasing values for \(\textit{HH}_{i}\), denoting a more robust level of concentration for some economic segment. Apart the value 0.83 of the automobile sector, that can be explained by the absence of the main competitors of Fiat from the sample, the highest value for \(\textit{HH}_{i}\) is linked to the insurance sector, that is really dominated by Generali and Fondiaria Sai SpA. Similar deduction for the banking sector, with the giants Intesa San Paolo and Unicredit overlooking the sample, as they share out the 68 % of the market, or for the “Holding Companies” sector, with Premafin and Italmobiliare that control 43 % of market share. A thorough analysis of the micro-sectors could be only on a global sample, for this reason we limited this analysis to the “Entire market”, as the breaking up of samples of limited size could draw out subsamples with limited economic and statistical significance. Details and data are available upon request.
European Central Bank, EU Banking Structures, Frankfurt am Mein, 2010, available at www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/other/structralindicatorseubankingsector201001en.pdf.
The price/sales ratio is a revenue multiple used in financial valuation. It is the ratio of the market value to the company’s revenues in the fiscal year, and relates the value of the business to the total revenues that it generates. The ratio varies widely across industries.
\(sign(x)=\left\{ {{\begin{array}{cl} 1&{} {x>0} \\ 0&{} {x=0} \\ {-1}&{} {x<0} \\ \end{array} }} \right. \).
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Rotundo, G., D’Arcangelis, A.M. Network of companies: an analysis of market concentration in the Italian stock market. Qual Quant 48, 1893–1910 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-013-9858-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-013-9858-9