Skip to main content
Log in

District magnitude and representation of the majority’s preferences: Evidence from popular and parliamentary votes

  • Published:
Public Choice Aims and scope Submit manuscript

A COMMENTARY TO to this article was published on 27 November 2012

Abstract

Representatives have more effective incentives to cater to the preferences of the majority of citizens when they are elected in districts with few rather than many seats. We investigate this hypothesis empirically by matching Swiss members of parliament’s voting behavior on legislative proposals with real referendum outcomes on the same issues for the years 1996 to 2008. We thus identify the impact of district magnitude on representatives’ incentives to adhere to citizens’ revealed preferences. We find systematic, statistically significant and economically relevant evidence that individual representatives from districts with few seats vote more often in line with majority preferences.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ai, C., & Norton, E. C. (2003). Interaction terms in logit and probit models. Economics Letters, 80(1), 123–129.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bailer, S., Bütikofer, S., Hug, S., & Schulz, T. (2008). Preferences, Party Discipline and Constituency Pressure in Swiss parliamentary Decisions. Mimeo: University of Zurich.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bawn, K., & Thies, M. F. (2003). A comparative theory of electoral incentives-presenting the unorganized under pr, plurality and mixed-member electoral systems. Journal of Theoretical Politics, 15(1), 5–32.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bender, B., & Lott Jr., J. R. (1996). Legislator voting and shirking: a critical review of the literature. Public Choice, 87(1–2), 67–100.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Benoit, K. (2001). District magnitude, electoral formula, and the number of parties. European Journal of Political Research, 39(2), 203–222.

    Google Scholar 

  • Besley, T., & Coate, S. (2008). Issue unbundling via citizens’ initiatives. Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 3(4), 379–397.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blume, L., Müller, J., Voigt, S., & Wolf, C. (2009). The economic effects of constitutions: replicating and extending Persson and Tabellini. Public Choice, 139(1), 197–225.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bordignon, M., & Tabellini, G. (2010), Moderating political extremism: single round vs runoff elections under plurality rule, Review of Economic Studies. Forthcoming.

  • Braendle, T., & Stutzer, A. (2010). Public servants in parliament: theory and evidence on its determinants in Germany. Public Choice, 145(1), 223–252.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Carey, J. M. (2007). Competing principals, political institutions, and party unity in legislative voting. American Journal of Political Science, 51(1), 92–107.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cox, G. W. (1997). Making votes count: strategic coordination in the world’s electoral system. New York: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Cox, G. W. (1990). Centripetal and centrifugal incentives in electoral systems. American Journal of Political Science, 34(4), 903–935.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Crisp, B. F., Escobar-Lemmon, M. C., Jones, B. S., Jones, M. P., & Taylor-Robinson, M. M. (2004). Vote-seeking incentives and legislative representation in six presidential democracies. The Journal of Politics, 66(3), 823–846.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cronin, T. E. (1989). Direct democracy: the politics of initiative, referendum, and recall. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dow, J. K. (2001). A comparative spatial analysis of majoritarian and proportional elections. Electoral Studies, 20(1), 109–125.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Downs, A. (1957). An economic theory of democracy. New York: Harper.

    Google Scholar 

  • Duverger, M. (1954). Political parties: their organization and activity in the modern state. New York: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fernandez, C., Ley, E., & Steel, M. F. (2001). Model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(5), 563–576.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fossedal, G. A. (2002). Direct democracy in Switzerland. New Brunswick: Transaction.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frey, B. S. (1994). Direct democracy: politico-economic lessons from Swiss experience. The American Economic Review, 84(2), 338–342.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gagliarducci, S., Nannicini, T., & Naticchioni, P. (2008). Electoral rules and politicians’ behavior: a micro test, institute for the study of labor (IZA), IZA discussion paper No. 3348.

  • Gerber, E. R., & Lewis, J. B. (2004). Beyond the median: voter preferences, district heterogeneity, and political representation. Journal of Political Economy, 112(6), 1364–1383.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Golder, M., & Stramski, J. (2010). Ideological congruence and electoral institutions. American Journal of Political Science, 54(1), 90–106.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (2005), Party discipline and pork barrel politics, national bureau of economic research, NBER working paper No. 11396.

  • Hoeting, J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E., & Volinsky, C. T. (1999). Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial (with Discussion). Statistical Science, 14(4), 382–417.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kirchgässner, G., Feld, L. P., & Savioz, M. R. (1999). Die direkte Demokratie. Modern, erfolgreich, entwicklungs- und exportfähig. Basel: Helbing und Lichtenhahn.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lancaster, T. D. (1986). Electoral structures and pork barrel politics. International Political Science Review, 7(1), 67–81.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lijphart, A. (1990). The political consequences of electoral laws, 1945-1985. The American Political Science Review, 84(2), 481–496.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lizzeri, A., & Persico, N. (2001). The provision of public goods under alternative electoral incentives. The American Economic Review, 91(1), 225–239.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Matsusaka, J. G. (1992). Economics of direct legislation. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 541–571.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Milesi-Ferretti, G. M., Perotti, R., & Rostagno, M. (2002). Electoral systems and public spending. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(2), 609–657.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Milligan, K., & Smart, M. (2005), Regional grants as pork barrel politics, CESifo group Munich, CESifo working paper No. 1453.

  • Neto, O. A., & Cox, G. W. (1997). Electoral institutions, cleavage structures, and the number of parties. American Journal of Political Science, 41(1), 149–174.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ordeshook, P. C., & Shvetsova, O. V. (1994). Ethnic heterogeneity, district magnitude, and the number of parties. American Journal of Political Science, 38(1), 100–123.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Persson, T., Roland, G., & Tabellini, G. (2007), Electoral rules and government spending in parliamentary democracies, David K. Levine, Levine’s working paper archive No. 321307000000000880.

  • Persson, T., & Tabellini, G. (2005). The economic effects of constitutions (Vol. 1). Cambridge: MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Persson, T., & Tabellini, G. (2002). Political economics: explaining economic policy (Vol. 1). Cambridge: MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Persson, T., & Tabellini, G. (1999). The size and scope of government: comparative politics with rational politicians. European Economic Review, 43(4–6), 699–735.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rae, D. W. (1971). The political consequences of electoral laws. New Haven: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Raftery, A., Hoeting, J., Volinsky, C., Painter, I., & Yeung, K. Y. (2009). BMA: Bayesian model averaging, R package version, 3.10, Available online on http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=BMA.

  • Raftery, A. E. (1995). Bayesian model selection in social research. Sociological Methodology, 25, 111–163.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Raftery, A. E., Madigan, D., & Hoeting, J. A. (1997). Bayesian model averaging for linear regression models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 92(437), 179–191.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sala-i-Martin, X., Doppelhofer, G., & Miller, R. I. (2004). Determinants of long-term growth: a Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) approach. The American Economic Review, 94(4), 813–835.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schneider, F., Pommerehne, W. W., & Frey, B. S. (1981). Politico-economic interdependence in a direct democracy: the case of Switzerland. In D. A. Hibbs & H. Fassbender (Eds.), Contemporary political economy (pp. 231–248). Amsterdam: North Holland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schwarz, H.-R., & Köckler, N. (2004). Numerische Mathematik. Wiesbaden: Teubner Verlag.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Stadelmann, D., Eichenberger, R., & Portmann, M. (2010). Parliaments as condorcet juries: quasi-experimental evidence on the representation of majority preferences. Mimeo: University of Fribourg.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stratmann, T. (1995). Campaign contributions and congressional voting: does the timing of contributions matter? Review of Economics and Statistics, 77(1), 127–136.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Taagepera, R., & Shugart, M. S. (1989). Seats and votes. The effects and determinants of electoral systems. New Haven & London: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vatter, A. (2003). Legislative party fragmentation in swiss cantons: a function of cleavage structures or electoral institutions? Party Politics, 9(4), 445–461.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to David Stadelmann.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Portmann, M., Stadelmann, D. & Eichenberger, R. District magnitude and representation of the majority’s preferences: Evidence from popular and parliamentary votes. Public Choice 151, 585–610 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-010-9760-0

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-010-9760-0

Keywords

JEL Classification

Navigation