Abstract
The advancements in remote sensing (RS) satellite applications have revolutionized natural disaster surveillance and prediction in the earthquake monitoring by delineating various precursors at the Earth’s surface and in atmosphere. In this paper, the earthquake precursors comprising land surface temperature, outgoing longwave radiations, relative humidity, and air temperature for both the daytime and nighttime are investigated for two Mw > 6.0 events in USA. Interestingly, we noticed surface and atmospheric parameters anomalies in 6–8 days window prior to both the events by using standard deviation method. Moreover, these abrupt deviations are also validated by the recurrent neural networks like autoregressive network with exogenous inputs and long short-term memory inputs. The findings of this study demonstrate the potential of using modern analysis tools to further develop our knowledge of the linked dynamics of the lithosphere and atmosphere preceding seismic occurrences. This study implements substantially the developing of natural hazard surveillance and earthquake prediction capabilities for future researches as a valuable addition of reference in the field of RS.
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Acknowledgements
The authors express their gratitude to USGS community for making earthquake information data available. We are extremely grateful to NASA for their provision of MODIS data and other atmospheric parameters data. The authors acknowledged the efforts of anonymous reviewers for constructive comments.
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Khalid, Z., Shah, M., Riaz, S. et al. Atmospheric precursors associated with two Mw > 6.0 earthquakes using machine learning methods. Nat Hazards (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06562-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06562-9