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Short communication: predicting typhoon tracks around Korea

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Abstract

Three consecutive typhoons hit Korea within a short period not only in 2012 (typhoons Bolaven, Tembin, and Sanba) but also in 2020 (typhoons Bavi, Maysak, and Haishen). This paper aims to explore how the tracks of typhoons that occur within short intervals can be predicted accurately, toward achieving the ultimate goal of disaster management. The key finding is that the tracks of the three typhoons in 2012 and 2020 moved sequentially from west to east due to the North Pacific anticyclone, the prevailing weather systems, and the Earth’s rotation. This knowledge is useful in predicting the tracks of future typhoons in Korea, as well as in enhancing disaster mitigation, disaster preparedness, and psychological relief efforts.

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Fig. 1

adapted from KMA (2021)

Fig. 2

adapted from KMA (2021)

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Correspondence to Kyoo-Man Ha.

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Ha, KM. Short communication: predicting typhoon tracks around Korea. Nat Hazards 113, 1385–1390 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05335-6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-022-05335-6

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