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Recent changes of extreme dryness/wetness pattern and its possible impact on rice productivity in Jiangsu Province, southeast China

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Abstract

Based on the data of monthly precipitation and rice productivity at 61 meteorological stations in Jiangsu during 1966–2010, the possible impact of dryness/wetness variability on rice productivity was explored in this paper. Principal component analysis was applied to the climate-induced rice productivity index (CRPI) series and divided Jiangsu into six sub-regions—south, northwest, east, middle, southwest and northernmost. Mann–Kendall trend test for monthly Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) series in each sub-regions shows that most of Jiangsu was dominated by wetter tendency in August and drier tendency in September. CRPI had stronger negative correlation with monthly SPI series in the majority of sub-regions. Especially, the SPI in October, March, July and August had significantly negative linear relationship with CRPI in south Jiangsu, northwest Jiangsu, middle Jiangsu and southwest Jiangsu, respectively, which indicated the obvious unfavourable impact of extreme wetness episodes on rice productivity.

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Acknowledgments

This paper was mainly supported by Natural Science Fund for Colleges and Universities in Jiangsu Province (16KJB170008), China Special Fund for Meteorological Research in the Public Interest (Major projects) (GYHY201506001-6), Public welfare projects ‘key technology and demonstration for the vegetation recovery and reconstruction in open-pit mines’ (No. 201504406), National Natural Science Foundation of China (No: 31300420) and Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu (Nos. BK20130987 and BK20151525).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Applied Meteorology, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology (CICAEET), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China

    Jin Huang, Fangmin Zhang & Qi Li

  2. School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology (CICAEET), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China

    Yan Xue

Authors
  1. Jin Huang
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  2. Fangmin Zhang
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  3. Yan Xue
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  4. Qi Li
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Correspondence to Fangmin Zhang.

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Huang, J., Zhang, F., Xue, Y. et al. Recent changes of extreme dryness/wetness pattern and its possible impact on rice productivity in Jiangsu Province, southeast China. Nat Hazards 84, 1967–1979 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2529-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2529-0

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