Introduction

Islands have been a recurrent source of inspiration for fiction and for mythology. They are linked to the unpredictable journey (i.e. the adventure) of heroes, who struggle to conquer, live or explore the sea and its treasures. In the Lord of the Flies by William Golding, “[e]yes shining, mouths open, triumphant,” the boys “savored the right of domination” before the inhabited island where they landed. They were on “an island: … with the sea on either side, and the crystal heights of air.”Footnote 1 On the opposite, Daniel Defoe’s hero, Robison Crusoe, saw his fate to his great affliction when he realised “that [he] was in an island environed every way with the sea,” where he had to find a way to survive famine, cannibals and especially endless loneliness.Footnote 2 The island is the place of Shakespeare’s The Tempest and the final destination of Homer’s Odysseus wander, Ithaca, a place that he knows “no sweeter sight on earth.”Footnote 3

As in fiction, in the realm of international law an island represents a piece of land surrounded by waters, which can be the stage of some human activity. Indeed, according to article 121(3) of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) “[a]n island is a naturally formed area of land, surrounded by water, which is above water at high tide;” rocks, by contrast, are features “which cannot sustain human habitation or economic life of their own.”Footnote 4

The capacity of features to be the stage of some human activity (in the words of the UNCLOS “sustain human habitation or economic life of their own”) impacts on the sovereign rights recognized to the coastal State, as only “islands” entitle the coastal State to 200 miles of exclusive economic zone (EEZ) and continental shelf, with undisputed right of exclusive exploitation of natural resources.

The nature of features has acquired increasing significance starting from the Seventies of the past Century, when States began to exploit natural resources located in the seabed at relatively reduced costs, thanks to the development of higher technological means.Footnote 5 Progressively, a number of coastal States have claimed the right of their geographical features to generate an EEZ beyond the 12 nautical miles of the territorial sea, with the aim of expanding their access to natural resources.Footnote 6 These claims were sometimes preceded by a veritable process of “islandization” of the feature, in the attempt to match the requisites established by article 121(3) of UNCLOS.Footnote 7

This practice has been rejected by the Tribunal in The South China Sea Arbitration Case (SCSA), which for the first-time interpreted article 121(3) of UNCLOS, arguing that “the status of a feature is to be determined on the basis of its natural capacity, without external additions or modifications intended to increase its capacity to sustain human habitation or an economic life of its own.”Footnote 8 The SCSA was instituted by the Philippines against the People’s Republic of China under Annex VII of the UNCLOS and concerned, among the others, the status of certain maritime features in the South China Sea.

Starting from the award in the SCSA case, the present paper would like to explore further the requisites of “sustain human habitation or economic life of their own.” The paper will review relevant State practice on the matter and highlight the implication of SCSA Award, especially in cases where the feature does not “clearly fall within one category or the other” (island or rock).Footnote 9 It will be argued that, in these cases, the application of technology to develop a feature’s capacity cannot be excluded in principle, although technology shall not distort the nature of the feature itself and would require the benefits to be centered on the local community and its development, in line with the purpose that the EEZ and article 121(3) of UNCLOS were respectively intended to serve.

Accordingly, the paper is structured in five sections: (1) introduction (2) the analysis of the decision in the SCSA with specific focus on the formula “rocks which cannot sustain human habitation or economic life of their own,” (3) the discussion of relevant State practice on the matter, (4) the application of article 121(3) to limit the exploitation of natural resources that does not benefit the local population, (5) conclusion.

The Interpretation of the Formula “rocks which cannot sustain human habitation or economic life of their own” and Its Application in The South China Sea Arbitration Award

The SCSA refers to a dispute between the Republic of the Philippines and the Popular Republic of China, regarding—among the others—the nature of the Chinese features Scarborough Shoal, Johnson Reef, Cuarteron Reef and Fiery Croos Reef, Gaven Reef (North), MecKennan Reef and Spratly islands, including Itu Aba, and their entitlement to an EEZ.Footnote 10

The Arbitration Award under scrutiny concluded that the geographical features situated in the South China Sea are all “rocks,” as they can sustain neither human habitation nor economic life in their naturally formed state. These features, therefore, are not entitled to the 200 nautical miles of EEZ and continental shelf in accordance with article 121(3) of UNCLOS.

The Tribunal arrived at this conclusion after a thoughtful analysis of the content of the above-mentioned article of UNCLOS, in accordance with the criteria set out in articles 31 and 32 of the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties (VCLT).Footnote 11

The following sections will dwell on the part of the SCSA Award devoted to the textual, contextual, and teleological interpretation of article 121(3), and discuss its application to the features at stake in the case. The criterion of the “subsequent practice in the application of the treaty” provided for in article 31(3)(b) of the VCLT will be discussed in the "Subsequent Practice" sub-section and in the “Relevant State Practice and implications of The South China Sea Arbitration Award” section.

Text

First of all, the Tribunal established that the term “rocks” does not imply any geological or geomorphological criteria under the treaty. It follows that features composed of rock do not necessarily qualify as “rocks” for the purpose of article 121(3) of UNCLOS, provided that they are able to sustain human habitation or economic life of their own. Conversely, features made of material other than rocks (such as coral, sand, etc.), which have no capacity to sustain human habitation or economic life shall be qualified as “rocks.”

The term “cannot” identifies the capacity of a feature, which shall derive from its natural conditions, prior to the onset of “significant” human modification.Footnote 12 In this regard, the Tribunal established that, although historical evidence of absence of any human habitation or economic life in the past “may be relevant for establishing a feature’s capacity”, this does not provide per se sufficient evidence of the feature’s incapacity to sustain any human habitation or economic life. It shall be ascertained case-by-case whether human habitation in the past has been prevented or ended by forces beyond the physical characteristics of the feature alone.Footnote 13

The feature shall have the capacity to “sustain.” The Tribunal considered that, in its ordinary meaning, “sustain” implies that the feature shall be able to support and provide the essentials entailing a minimal “proper standard” of living to some humans, over a period of time.Footnote 14 Thus, a feature has the capacity to “sustain human habitation” when it has resources to support, maintain and provide food, drink and shelter to a community of persons to enable them to reside there permanently or habitually over an extended period of time.Footnote 15

As to the term “or”, the Tribunal has admitted that “human habitation” and “economic life” are linked in practical terms, however

a rock would be disentitled from an exclusive economic zone and continental shelf only if it were to lack both the capacity to sustain human habitation and the capacity to sustain an economic life of its own.Footnote 16

Finally, the concept of “economic life of their own” implies the presence of resources capable to grant a minimal proper standard of living to some humans, as well as some level of human activity to exploit, develop and distribute them.Footnote 17 In this regard, the role of the local population is pivotal as there will be no independent economic life, if the feature relies “predominantly on the infusion of outside resources,” or if it serves “purely as an object for extractive activities, without the involvement of a local population.”Footnote 18 According to the Tribunal, activities in the territorial sea could form part of the economic life of a feature provided that it “[has] some tangible link to the high-tide feature itself,” through local population or otherwise.Footnote 19 By contrast, any economic activity derived from a possible EEZ or continental shelf shall be excluded.Footnote 20

Context, Object and Purpose

The contextual interpretation of article 121(3) confirms that the capacity and “the status of a feature must be assessed on the basis of its natural condition (emphasis added).”Footnote 21 According to the Tribunal, this reading is consistent with the “naturally formed area” wording also included in article 13 of the UNCLOS, which refers to low-tide elevations.Footnote 22

With reference to the object and purpose of article 121(3), the Tribunal observed that this provision has been designed to serve as “counterpoint to the expanded jurisdiction of the exclusive economic zone.”Footnote 23 Indeed, the EEZ has the aim of extending the jurisdiction of States over the waters adjacent to their coasts to preserve the resources of those waters for the benefit of the population of the coastal State; but, such extension is justified only if the relevant feature is naturally capable of sustaining human habitation or economic life. Therefore, States cannot be “allowed to convert any rock incapable of sustaining human habitation or an economic life into a fully entitled island simply by the introduction of technology and extraneous materials.” Otherwise, “the purpose of Article 121(3) as a provision of limitation would be frustrated” to the detriment of the common heritage of mankind.Footnote 24

Subsequent Practice

The subsequent practice of States forms part of the general rule on interpretation set forth in article 31(3)(b) of the VCLT.Footnote 25

The subsequent practice concerning the application of article 121(3) of the UNCLOS is significant and involves a number of State-parties to this Convention, including France, Japan and the New Zealand that claim 200 nautical miles EEZ for Clipperton Island, Okinotorishima,Footnote 26 and the Kermadec Islands group, respectively.Footnote 27 These examples concern features, which are comparably in size to the features subject to the SCSA and which are almost likely to be captured by the interpretation of article 121(3) of UNCLOS.Footnote 28

Nonetheless, the Tribunal in SCSA only devoted two paragraphs (552–553) to the discussion of the State practice, concluding that in the present case “there is no evidence for an agreement based upon State practice on the interpretation of Article 121(3) which differs from [the interpretation it provided for in the Arbitration].”Footnote 29 As it will be discussed in the subsequent section, the lack of analysis of the State practice gave rise to significant criticism and could have the effect of weakening the authority of the Award with reference to the interpretation of article 121(3) of UNCLOS in the future.

Application to the South China Sea Features

The Tribunal established that evidence of physical conditions, such as vegetation, drinkable water and foodstuffs necessary for basic survival, will ordinarily suffice to confirm that the feature can sustain human habitation or economic life, except in the case of features that “fall close to the line,” i.e. that are neither obviously habitable, nor inhabitable. For this type of features, the historical background (before the establishment of the EEZ) shall be considered.Footnote 30

Thus, in the case of the smallest features located in the South China Sea, i.e. Scarborough Shoal, Johnson Reef, Cuarteron Reef, Fiery Cross Reef, Gaven Reef (North), and McKennan Reef, the Tribunal limited itself to assess the physical conditions of each feature and concluded that they are all rocks for the purpose of article 121(3) of UNCLOS, as they are minuscule and barren and they cannot sustain human habitation or economic life in their naturally formed state.

As to the largest features, i.e. Itu Aba (measuring approximately 1.4 km in length and 400 mt at its widest point, with a surface area of approximately 0.43 sq km),Footnote 31 the Tribunal proceeded to consider relevant historical records:

In addition to the presence of fishermen …, Itu Aba and South-West Cay were the site of Japanese mining and fishing activities in the 1920s and 1930s. The Spratlys were also the site of the somewhat more adventurous activities of Thomas Cloma and his associates in the 1950s. More recently, many of the features have been transformed by substantial construction efforts and are now the site of installations hosting significant numbers of personnel, generally of a governmental nature.Footnote 32

The Tribunal concluded that the existing evidence of historical activity in the features does not suffice to meet the requirements of “human habitation or economic life of their own” for the purposes of article 121(3). According to the Tribunal, the past inhabitation of these features has only been “temporary” and the economic activities “transient in nature,” as their objective was to extract the economic resources of the features for the benefit of population located elsewhere to which the persons involved in the activities would return. The military and other governmental personnel presently stationed on the features “is heavily dependent on outside supply,” and “[t]here is no evidence that they choose to inhabit there of their own volition, nor can it be expected that any would remain if the official need for their presence were to dissipate.”Footnote 33 According to the Tribunal, even the largest features of the Spratly Islands are thus to be qualified as rocks.

Relevant State Practice and implications of The South China Sea Arbitration Award

The interpretation of article 121(3) of UNCLOS provided by the SCSA Award gave rise to significant scholarly commentary and criticism.Footnote 34 This may be due to the following circumstances: that the Award represents the very “first international ruling on the specific question of the scope and application of Article 121(3);”Footnote 35 and that the formulation of article 121(3) is “a perfect recipe for confusion and conflict;”Footnote 36 which is therefore able to generate heated debate even after the attempt of the Merits Award in the SCSA to clarify its content.

In particular, scholars have emphasised that the interpretation given by the Tribunal clashes against relevant international practice and that “if the relevant maritime claims and state practice had been thoroughly examined, the tribunal might have come to a different conclusion on the interpretation and application of Article 121 and in particular 121(3).”Footnote 37

For instance, Papanicolopulu has highlighted “the marginalisation of the role that successive State practice could play in the interpretation and the evolution of the content of the UNCLOS, including Article 121.”Footnote 38 The author has compared “the lengthy discussion of the travaux preparatoires,” with “the quick disposal of State practice” and emphasised that “[t]he different treatment becomes even more significant if one considers that, while successive State practice forms part of the general rule on interpretation (art 31(3)(b) VCLT), the travaux preparatoires are relevant only as supplementary means of interpretation (art 32 VCLT).”Footnote 39

According to Yann-huei Song, “the Tribunal did not make sufficient efforts to consider the relevant numerous maritime boundary agreements and overall practice of states as regards rocks/islands.”Footnote 40 The practice of coastal States having maritime claims to a 200-nm EEZ and continental shelf for remote features, such as Australia, France, Japan, New Zealand, and the United States, contradicts the interpretation established by the Award.Footnote 41 Similarly, Elferink has observed that “there is an abyss between the tribunal’s approach and the practice of many States.”Footnote 42

In this regard, Gullett has further pointed out that “no State is known to have altered its practice” in light of the outcome of the SCSA Award and that “[t]he hitherto lack of alteration of State practice may be significant in future litigation. For example, if years pass and State practice has not altered since the Award, then a future international court or tribunal might be emboldened to interpret the provision differently from the 2016 Award and in a manner more consistent with State practice.”Footnote 43

This is especially true with respect to the role of technology and the relationship between external resources and the human habitation or economic life that a feature can sustain of its own.Footnote 44 As opposed to the Award, the practice shows that a certain degree of technology can be employed to make features habitable and that the requirement of “economic life of their own” may be satisfied even in cases where there is some infusion from the outside.Footnote 45

In this regard, the report elaborated by the French Commission on Constitutional Laws (Commission des Lois Constitutionnelles) concerning the status of Clipperton island represents an interesting example. The report states:

We must ask ourselves the question of status, keeping in mind the difference existing between an islet and an island: unlike an islet, the island can generate an EEZ as long as it is habitable or inhabited. We run the risk of seeing this island [Clipperton] downgraded as an islet, within the meaning of the Montego Bay Convention, which would make us lose the advantages linked to the EEZ.

This risk would be avoided if we create there, as I suggest, a scientific station with an international vocation, the installation and operating costs of which could be financed by the sale of fishing rights in this EEZ which is one of the richest in the world in tuna…. It is therefore important to have this prospect of creating a scientific base on an island with an appropriate legal status, in order to ensure our presence.Footnote 46

From the report it emerges that the use of technology and artificial additions are admitted (the report states that it will suffice to create an international scientific station in order to avoid the risk that the feature is de-classified into a rock), but also that the resources deriving from the exploitation of the EEZ could be used to sustain the economic activity in the feature itself (i.e. financing the station).Footnote 47

In addition, cases of re-classification or de-classification of features in light of their reduced size and natural characteristics are quite unusual.Footnote 48 On the contrary, the practice of many States is consistent in the use of technology and artificial addition to “secure the status of island” and the related right to the EEZ of their inhabited features scattered around the world.Footnote 49 According to Kagami, this practice includes “posting small military forces or meteorological observation station staff, etc.”Footnote 50

Technology is also employed to preserve outermost features from erosion. Indeed, the rising of global sea level has the potential of changing the baselines of coastal States and even threatening the insular status of certain tiny features.Footnote 51 To avoid this type of risks some States engaged in land reclamation. A case in point is the Indonesian Pulau Nipa, a feature sized roughly as Itu Aba (i.e. 60 ht, corresponding to 0.6 sq km) located south of Singapore. At the beginning of the new century, this feature was facing severe erosion and risked losing base point coordinates for the measurement of the territorial sea and the EEZ. Thus, starting from 2004 the government of Indonesia started with land reclamation: it constructed a retaining wall and embankment and the Indonesia navy set up a post.Footnote 52

However, how far can the use of technology go? In this regard, the practice shows that some States have engaged in veritable processes of “islandization” and transformed the natural status of their small features into artificial islands, with the aim of stopping erosion, as well as, obtaining large maritime entitlements and access to natural resources. For example, in the case of Okinotorishima, the Japanese government employed massive resource to turn the 5 atolls of roughly 5 sq km (and currently mostly submerged) into an artificial island made of steel breakwaters and concrete walls hosting a lighthouse, an heliport, and fishing expeditions.Footnote 53 Similarly, China embarked on island building activities in the South China Sea, converting all or part of several submerged coral reefs into artificial islands.Footnote 54 A case in point is Mischief Reef, a reef platform that submerged at high tide that has been transformed into an island that is permanently exposed.Footnote 55 Mischief Reef currently hosts a military base and a harbour, and its surrounding waters are said to be rich in oil and gas.

The Award seems exactly to attempt to limit this type of abuses and avoid the situation where, through massive employment of technological means, “tiny features” are transformed into artificial islands able to “[generate] enormous entitlements to maritime space that would serve not to benefit the local population,”Footnote 56 determining the unequal distribution of natural resources, environmental damages and tensions between proximate coastal States.Footnote 57

The Application of Article 121(3) to Limit the Exploitation of Natural Resources that does not Benefit the Local Population

The link existing between natural resources and the delimitation of maritime spaces has been discussed in the literature and it also emerges from relevant case law.Footnote 58 The ICJ in the case Continental Shelf (Libyan Arabl Jarnahiriya/Malta) has stated that natural resources “are the essential objective envisaged by States when they put forward claims to sea-bed areas containing them.”Footnote 59

In this regard, it has been observed that the entry into force of the Montego Bay Convention (16 November 1994) and the introduction of the possibility for the coastal States to extend their sovereignty over the EEZ has further incentivized the appetite of States for natural resources and the race to the physical appropriation of maritime features, with the consequent risk of conflict.Footnote 60

According to Pertile:

If the entry into force of the UNCLOS has introduced an element of stability in the law of the sea, it is also true that in this phase States are defining their claims to maritime entitlements in light of the new juridical framework. The possibility to establish an EEZ also in relation to islands or taking into account them tend to give rise to the proliferation of conflictual claims or to exacerbate existing disputes.

The broadening of maritime spaces and related natural resources over which States can exercise their exclusive jurisdiction increases significantly the disputes concerning delimitations.Footnote 61

This is especially true for the South China Sea, a region of strategic importance, with significant natural resources, and the subject of competing maritime claims.Footnote 62 The Tribunal in the SCSA itself recognised that “[t]he South China Sea is a crucial shipping lane, a rich fishing ground, home to a highly biodiverse coral reef ecosystem, and believed to hold substantial oil and gas resources.”Footnote 63 Furthermore, the exploitation of the living and non-living resources existing in the South China Sea bed remains one of the most crucial matters at the basis of the controversy between the Philippines and China.Footnote 64

It is thus no surprise that the Tribunal considered the question of the exploitation of the natural resources in the interpretation and application of article 121(3), in the attempt to find a balance between the interest of the population of the coastal States involved and mankind as a whole, to which the resources beyond the limits of national jurisdiction should belong.Footnote 65 To this extent, the Tribunal argues that there will be no independent economic life, if the feature serves “purely as an object for extractive activities, without the involvement of a local population.” Indeed, the raison d’être of the EEZ is the benefit of the local population and “[w]ithout benefiters, that is, the local population, the raison d’être of the EEZ disappears.”Footnote 66 The question is: has the Tribunal found the right balance with reference to the features at stake in the SCSA?

In this regard, two remarks can be made: the first relates to the role of technology in supporting “human habitation or economic life” of a feature; the second refers to the relationship between external resources and the economic life that the feature can sustain of its own.

As to the first aspect, the Award states that the phrase “cannot sustain” shall be intended as “cannot, without artificial addition, sustain” and that the status of a feature must be assessed on the basis of its natural conditions, before “intensive modification.Footnote 67 According to the Tribunal, this interpretation is consistent with the object and purpose of article 121(3) as “[i]f States were allowed to convert any rock incapable of sustaining human habitation or an economic life into a fully entitled island simply by the introduction of technology and extraneous materials, then the purpose of Article 121(3) as a provision of limitation would be frustrated.”Footnote 68

However, the capacity of a feature to sustain human habitation or economic life is inextricably linked to human and technological developments that may vary over time. In addition, it shall be asked at what point the human modification becomes intensive so that to cross the line set by the SCSA. This could turn to be a very difficult question, considering that what was intensive some decades ago may be declassed as minor today or in the future when faced with new technological advances.Footnote 69

For example, the creation of energy through solar-powered photovoltaic panels, the employment of desalinization plants, the use of the Internet and of mobile telecommunication, were only unthinkable in the 1970s when the concept of EEZ started to take shape; but they are common use today. The employment of these instruments may certainly contribute to the capacity of a feature to sustain human habitation or economic life and enhance the quality of the human habitation up to the minimal “proper standard” requested by the Award.Footnote 70 This is especially true for features that fall “close to the line”, such as the case of Itu Aba. In these cases, technology may play an important role in elevating the standard of human habitation that the feature can sustain on a certain point in time and may lead to the stationing of new population. In this regard, some of the improvements introduced in Itu Aba are representative:

[t]he hospital on Itu Aba was staffed with two physicians, a dentist and three nurses with videoconferencing connections to hospitals in Kaohsiung. There was also a post office and a guanyin temple on the island. Moreover, mobile telecommunications, postal services, satellite television, air services and ship services (including wharf, lighthouse, navigation facilities and related administrative services) have been established on Itu Aba.Footnote 71

In light of the above, it is submitted that the role of technology cannot be disregarded in the assessment of a feature’s capacity and it shall weight, at least as much as the historical excursus, towards the insular qualification of a feature in a certain point in time.Footnote 72

However, the application of technology shall only contribute to improve or preserve the capacity of the feature to sustain human habitation or economic life; but it shall not lead to the artificial creation of the feature itself and processes of “islandization” shall be rejected.

In this regard, the proportion between the natural formed area of the feature and the artificial addition may help assessing whether the human modification had been intensive. For example, with reference to the features located in the South China Sea, a study carried out by Barnes and Hu gives evidence that “over 15 km2 of submerged coral reef area was converted to artificial islands between June 2013 and December 2015,” by China, Vietnam and Taiwan;Footnote 73 but not all features were affected in the same way and the proportion between natural formed area and artificial addition vary significantly from feature to feature.Footnote 74 As far as Itu Aba is concerned, the scientific report shows that 0.49 sq km were subject of construction activities (against a reef area of 1.56 sq km) and that this addition mostly concerns the expansion of the port. By contrast, in Fiery Cross Reef the artificial addition is 3.06 (against a reef area of 4.41). Where the application of technology has led to the improvement of a feature’s capacity but has not resulted into the intensive modification of the feature, as in the case of Itu Aba, the insular qualification should be granted.Footnote 75

As to the relationship between external resources and the economic life that an island can sustain of its own, it is argued that the role of the local population remains pivotal, and a link shall be established between the outside support and the people located in the feature.Footnote 76

The “type” of local population involved (i.e. farmers, fishermen, businessmen vis à vis military or governmental personnel), however, shall not matter towards the qualification of the feature. Thus, the Tribunal's conclusion that permanent inhabitation by military or governmental personnel in Itu Aba does not “suffice to constitute “human habitation” for the purposes of Article 121(3),” as this people is “heavily dependent on outside supplies” and “[t]here is no evidence that they choose to inhabit there of their own volition, nor can it be expected that any would remain if the official need for their presence were to dissipate”is not persuading.Footnote 77

On the contrary, relevant practice of States’ parties to the UNCLOS confirms that small features, offering limited resources and work opportunities, are often populated by military forces and governmental staff (i.e. meteorological observation station staff, lighthouse staff, et similia). For example, this is the case of the Philippine’s Thitu Island (of approximately 0.37 sq km) that hosts a naval port, dual use civil and military airstrip, a clinic and a school; the local population reported to be stationing in the feature is mostly composed of civil servants and their families.Footnote 78

In light of the above considerations, it does not seem that the Tribunal have set the right balance between the interest of the local population and the mankind as a whole with reference to Itu Aba; on the contrary, the Tribunal concluded that the people located therein are uninfluential for the purpose of the application of article 121(3) of UNCLOS.

Conclusion

As in fiction and mythology, islands are inextricably linked to the adventures of the heroes that in these islands are born or land and decide to make their own place, for a time or forever, by using the means that the nature, their fantasy and talent put at their disposal.Footnote 79 The adventures of heroes make the history of the feature, which in turn influences the State practice and the application of the law in a given point of time.

Any assessment of the nature of features, in accordance with article 121(3) of UNCLOS, cannot disregard these elements and their interaction.

The SCSA Award, however, seems to neglect this matrix and the existence of any relevant State practice with reference to the interpretation of article 121(3). This, as discussed, led many authors to criticize the Award and question what could be its future implications.Footnote 80 Indeed, if a number of States have paid lip service to the Award, none is known to have taken concrete actions to change its practice following the SCSA outcome with reference to their own features (comparable in size/conditions to the features in the Spratly).Footnote 81 This won’t certainly persuade China to comply with the Award and secure “a period of peaceful management of the tangled disputes within the South China Sea.”Footnote 82