Abstract
Context
The spread of invasive bryophytes in Central Europe started in the 2nd half of the twentieth century. However, still it is not known which climatic and land-use factors shape their potential niche.
Objectives
We aimed to develop regional-scale species distribution models based on climate, land-use, and distance to the earliest records (propagule pressure proxy) for Campylopus introflexus and Orthodontium lineare in Poland to test whether country-scale models will reveal differences in habitat suitability among regions.
Methods
We assessed the importance of bioclimatic variables, CORINE Land Cover types, and distance from previous introduction sites in country-scale species distribution models for two invasive bryophytes: C. introflexus and O. lineare. We collected species distribution data in Poland and we developed MaxEnt models in 2.5’ resolution (~ 5 km).
Results
Climatic variables had total importance of < 10%, land-use-related variables of 33.5% and 17.1%, and propagule pressure of 56.8% and 75.6%, for C. introflexus and O. lineare, respectively. The most important land-use types were coniferous forests and urban areas. Western and southern Poland provides more sites suitable for colonization, covering 11.2% and 19.0% of the country. Actual range saturation is 11.8% and 5.9%, respectively, indicating the early stage of studied species invasions.
Conclusions
We provided species distribution models for invasive bryophytes, accounting for climatic, land-use, and introduction history variables. The impact of anthropogenic land-use types indicated the importance of disturbance as the driver of studied species invasion. This is important for early detection, spread prevention, and management of studied species.
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Funding
The study was partially supported by the Institute of Dendrology of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Institute of Nature Protection and Engineering of University of Bielsko-Biala, and Medical University of Silesia in Katowice (Grant No. PCN-1-098/K/O/F).
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Dyderski, M., Żarnowiec, J., Stebel, A. et al. Propagule pressure and land-use are more important than climate for invasive bryophytes regional distributions. Landsc Ecol 37, 1871–1884 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-022-01446-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-022-01446-4