Abstract
A substantial body of empirical research examines how the huge expansion in incarceration in the United States since the early 1970s has influenced crime. These studies merge the effects of three conceptually distinct paths by which incarceration might reduce crime: general deterrence, specific deterrence and incapacitation. This issue of the Journal focuses specifically on the incapacitation path. This Introduction reviews the individual papers and offers the editors’ judgment as to the plausibility of progress using different research strategies. It emphasizes the potential for using individual level data to take advantage of natural experiments.
Notes
The Maryland Sentencing Commission made the change because it felt that the difference between Maryland and surrounding states was unfair; in other states the juvenile record did not count after age 22.
Small scale efforts at replication include DiIulio (1990), covering Wisconsin prisoners, and Piehl and DiIulio (1995) on a sample of New Jersey offenders.
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This research was supported by Grant # 0510259274 from the National Institute of Justice.
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Reuter, P., Bushway, S.D. Revisiting Incapacitation: Can We Generate New Estimates?. J Quant Criminol 23, 259–265 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-007-9029-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-007-9029-z