Abstract
This paper studies the interplay between two groups of countries, large and small, which compete sequentially on corporate taxes and environmental regulations to attract imperfectly mobile firms. We show that in general, the small countries undercut the large countries in terms of corporate taxes. The small countries choose to be both tax and pollution havens when they are less concerned about the environment than the large countries are and capital integration is low. The large countries never act as both tax havens and pollution havens. Finally, we find that higher firm mobility narrows the tax gap between the large and the small countries but does not affect the optimal environmental policy: tax competition immunizes countries against the detrimental effect of globalization on emission caps.
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The data that illustrate the findings of this study and that are presented in the conclusion are available from the corresponding author upon request.
Notes
There is ample evidence of cross-border pollution between US states (see Millimet (2013) for a comprehensive survey). Transboundary pollution is also well documented in Asia: Japan and South Korea regularly complain that the acid rain they suffer is caused by emissions of sulfur and nitrogen oxides from coal-burning plants in northern China (Abu Sayed, “Cross-border pollution: A growing international problem. The Daily Star, February 19, 2011.). Transboundary air pollution also occurs between European Union member states despite the emission reduction measures adopted under the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution (CLRTAP) and EU legislation (European Environment Agency, 2020).
Countries are often involved in cooperative agreements on environmental issues since pollution is a global phenomenon (e.g., the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution and the Kyoto Protocol). However, signatories have a certain level of discretion and strategic room for maneuver in defining their environmental policies with respect to other groups of countries (see the empirical evidence mentioned above).
One way to interpret this asymmetric initial endowment of firms is to consider that the large countries are initially more industrialized than the small countries are.
An example of this type of environmental regulation is the EU ETS. This is a "cap and trade" scheme in the European Union where the right to emit specified pollutants in a geographic area is capped. Firms are then allowed to trade emission rights within that area to comply with the cap.
See Stavins et al. (2014) for more details about environmental agreements.
Incineration plants for waste disposal are a representative example of end-of-pipe technologies. In contrast, cleaner approaches such as using environmentally friendly materials (Frondel et al. 2007; Mantovani et al. 2017) reduce the environmental impact of production by fully or partially replacing polluting technologies.
Firms are perfectly mobile when they stay within the same group of countries but relocating from an i-type country to a j-type country costs them k.
This is the standard arbitrage condition in tax competition models that ensures the net return of capital is equal in all jurisdictions: \(\rho _{i}=f(k_{i})-t_{i}=\rho \;\forall i\)
Note that x, which represents a neutral attitude to staying put and relocating, also corresponds to the proportion of firms willing to relocate abroad.
This payoff function is similar to Conrad (2005). In contrast with Conrad, we assume absentee non-resident ownership of firms.
Policy-makers’ concerns about pollution may be driven by pure or impure altruism. The environment can be considered a public good to be protected (Andreoni 1990). Alternatively, emissions reduction can be seen as a reputational driver (Benabou and Tirole 2006) or be motivated by moral concerns (Frey 1999).
Most papers in the theoretical and the empirical literature show that taxes are strategic complements. For a recent survey on whether taxes are strategic complements or strategic substitutes, see, for instance, Vrijburg and de Mooij (2016).
Since within each group, the countries are symmetric and emission caps are harmonized, \(G_{i}\) represents the payoff of a representative country in group i.
This happens when mobility costs are neither too low nor too high: \(\tilde{ k }<k<{\check{k}}\).
In the standard model of tax competition in contrast, any increase in the number of competing jurisdictions reduces the stock of capital per jurisdiction as the aggregated stock of capital is fixed.
Note that increasing the number of countries unsurprisingly makes tax competition fiercer, just as in the standard model of tax competition, but the mechanism at work is different.
Note that \(\frac{\partial (t_{L}^{*}-t_{S}^{*})}{\partial \gamma _{i}}=\frac{6}{5}\frac{\partial (\alpha _{L}^{*}-\alpha _{S}^{*})}{\partial \gamma _{i}}\), \(\frac{\partial (t_{L}^{*}-t_{S}^{*})}{\partial \phi _{i}}=-\frac{1}{6}\frac{\partial (\alpha _{L}^{*}-\alpha _{S}^{*})}{\partial \phi _{i}}\)
Calculations available from authors on request.
The fact that the timing of the final game does not matter much in our model is in line with Yamagishi (2019)’s findings in a different standard model of tax competition than ours. Yamagishi (2019) investigates the optimality of the tax competition equilibrium with respect to a centralized solution. He shows that the capital taxes and environmental regulation chosen at the equilibrium are comparable in terms of efficiency (compared to a centralized solution) whatever the timing of the game.
The threshold mobility cost for tax equality is zero: \({\tilde{k}}=0\) (see Appendix 8.4).
Remember that we have set \(\mu =1\).
The same can be done for OECD and non-OECD countries.
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Appendix
Appendix
1.1 Number of firms in each country
The number of firms in country m of group i can be described as follows, in terms of the flow of firms between the two groups of countries and the taxes within each group:
Note that if \(x_{m_{i}}>0\) then \(x_{m_{j}}=0\) and conversely.
1.2 Tax competition subgame
Maximizing \(G_{L}(\alpha _{L},t_{L},\alpha _{S},t_{S})\) and \(G_{S}(\alpha _{L},t_{L},\alpha _{S},t_{S})\) w.r.t \(t_{L}\) and \(t_{S}\) in the tax competition subgame yields:
with
and
for \(i=L\) when \(x>0\), and \(i=S\) when \(x<0\).
The tax reaction functions are given by:
For \(i=L\) when \(x>0\) and \(i=S\) for \(x<0\):
then the slope of the two tax reaction functions is \(\frac{1}{2}\).
1.3 Emission caps
Substituting \(t_{1}^{*}(\alpha _{1},\alpha _{2})\) and \(t_{2}^{*}(\alpha _{1},\alpha _{2})\) into the payoff functions \(G_{1}\) and \(G_{2}\) gives
Let us set \(\Gamma _i=(\phi _i+N_j\gamma _j+(N_i-1)\phi _i)\). The previous equation reduces to:
with three solutions:
with
The second-order condition (i.e maximum) leads to:
with
which has two solutions for \(\frac{d^2G_{i}}{d\alpha _{i}^2}=0\)
with \(\Delta ^{\prime }=b^2-4a^{\prime }c^{\prime }\).
We can verify that \(\Delta ^{\prime }>0\;\iff \;c^{\prime }<\frac{b^{\prime }{}^2}{4a^{\prime }}=qN_Ls_L\) which reduces to:
\(k>\frac{q N_Ls_L}{2(2N_is_i+N_js_j)}\frac{\alpha _j(2-\alpha _j\Gamma _j) \Gamma _i-1}{\Gamma _i}\).
We can immediately deduce from () that \(\frac{-b^{\prime }}{ 2a^{\prime }}=\frac{-b}{2a}\) while \(\Delta ^{\prime }<9\Gamma _i \Delta\). Then \(\frac{\sqrt{\Delta ^{\prime }}}{2a^{\prime }}<\frac{\sqrt{\Delta }}{2a}\) and \(\alpha _{i2}>{\overline{\alpha }}_i\) and \(\alpha _{i3}<{\underline{\alpha }}_i\). Since \(a^{\prime }>0\), we know that \(\frac{d^2G_{i}}{d\alpha _{i}^2}<0\) for any \(\alpha _i \in [ {\underline{\alpha }}_i,{\overline{\alpha }}_i]\), which is not the case of \(\alpha _{i2}\) and \(\alpha _{i3}\).
Then the concavity condition excludes solutions 2 and 3, which are minima, and solution \(\alpha _{i1}\) is the only maximum: \(\alpha _i=\frac{1}{ \Gamma _i}\) for \(k>\dfrac{qN_Ls_L(\Gamma _i-\Gamma _j)}{ 2\Gamma _i \Gamma _j(2N_is_i+N_js_j) }\) which is the concavity condition at the equilibrium.
1.4 Equilibrium configurations
Let us recall the values of \(k_{Max}\) and \(k_{Min}\), with: \(k_{Max}\equiv \frac{qN_{S}s_{S}(\Delta _{S}-\Delta _{L})}{2\Gamma _{S}\Gamma _{L}(2N_{L}s_{L}+4N_{S}s_{S})}\)
\(k_{Min}\equiv \frac{qN_{L}s_{L}(\Delta _{L}-\Delta _{S})}{2\Gamma _{S}\Gamma _{L}(2N_{S}s_{S}+4N_{L}s_{L})}\).
The values of the threshold mobility costs are:
For \(i=L\) when \(x>0\) and \(i=S\) when \(x<0\):
\({\tilde{k}}\equiv \frac{5qN_is_i(\Delta _L-\Delta _S)}{2 \Gamma _L \Gamma _S \left( N_Ls_L-N_Ss_S\right) }\), and \(t_{1}^{*}-t_{2}^{*}>0 \iff k> {\tilde{k}}\).
\({\bar{k}}\equiv \frac{qs_{i}N_i (\Delta _S-\Delta _L)}{2 \Gamma _L \Gamma _S \left( N_Ls_L-N_Ss_S\right) }\), and \(x^{*}>0\iff k>{\bar{k}}\) when \(i=L\) and \(x^{*}<0\iff k<{\bar{k}}\) when \(i=S\)
\({\hat{k}}=\frac{qN_is_{i}(\Delta _L-\Delta _{S})}{ \Gamma _L \Gamma _S(N_Ls_L-N_Ss_S)}\) and \(N_L\times n_{L}^{*}>N_S \times n_{S}^{*}\iff k>{\hat{k}}\).
Recall that \(n_L\) is the number of firms in each large country, i.e. \(n_L=s_L(1-x)\) when \(x>0\) and \(n_L=s_L-xs_S\frac{N_S}{N_L}\) when \(x<0\),
and \(n_S\) is the number of firms in each small country, i.e. \(n_S=s_S+s_L x \frac{N_L}{N_S}\) when \(x>0\) and \(n_S=s_S(1+ x)\) when \(x<0\).
Finally, to compare the total payoffs, we determine \(N_{L}^{*}G_{L}^{*}-N_{S}^{*}G_{S}^{*}\):
It holds that:
\({\check{k}}\equiv \frac{qN_is_{i}}{N_Ls_L-N_Ss_S}\left( \frac{ \Delta _L-\Delta _S}{\Gamma _L\Gamma _S}-\frac{3(N_L\phi _L\Gamma _L^2-N_S\phi _S \Gamma _S^2)}{ 2\Gamma _L^2\Gamma _S^2}\right)\) and \(N_LG_{L}^{*}-N_SG_{S}^{*}>0\Longleftrightarrow k>{\check{k}}\).
Note that:
\({\tilde{k}}>0\Leftrightarrow \Delta _L>\Delta _S\).
\({\bar{k}}>0\Leftrightarrow \Delta _L>\Delta _S\)
\({\hat{k}}>0\Leftrightarrow \Delta _L<\Delta _S\)
The sign of \({\check{k}}\) is much more complicated to determine and depends on the ranking of \(\Gamma _L\) \(\Gamma _S\), \(\Delta _L\), \(\Delta _S\) and on the ranking of \(\phi _S\) and \(\phi _S\)
Let us rank the threshold values \({\hat{k}},{\check{k}}\) and \({\tilde{k}}\), when positive:
So whenever
(i) \(\Delta _S>\Delta _L\), it follows \({\bar{k}}>0\), \({\hat{k}}<0\) and \({\tilde{k}} <0\)
(ii) \(\Delta _L>\Delta _S\), it holds that \({\tilde{k}}>{\hat{k}}>0\) and \({\bar{k}} <0.\)
Moreover, we know that \(k_{Max }<0\) for \(\Delta _L>\Delta _S\) and \(k_{Min}<0\) for \(\Delta _S>\Delta _L\). Let us check the ranking of \(k_{Max }\) and \({\bar{k}}\) when \(\Delta _S>\Delta _L\) and the ranking of \(k_{Min}\) and \({\hat{k}}\) when \(\Delta _L>\Delta _S\):
-
Let us compare \({\bar{k}}\) and \(k_{Max}\):
$$\begin{aligned} {\bar{k}}-k_{Max }=\frac{q(N_Ss_S+N_Ls_L)(N_Ss_S+2N_Ls_L)}{ 4(2N_Ss_S+N_Ls_L)(N_Ls_L-N_Ss_S)}\frac{ (\Delta _S-\Delta _L)}{\Gamma _L \Gamma _S} \end{aligned}$$Then \({\bar{k}}>k_{Max}\) when \(\Delta _S>\Delta _L\).
-
Now let us compare \({\hat{k}}\) and \(k_{Min}\) when \(\Delta _L>\Delta _S\), which implies \(x<0\):
$$\begin{aligned} {\hat{k}}-k_{Min}=\frac{q(3N_Ss_S+N_Ls_L)3N_Ls_L}{ 4(2N_Ss_S+N_Ls_L)(N_Ls_L-N_Ss_S)}\frac{ (\Delta _L-\Delta _S)}{\Gamma _L \Gamma _S} \end{aligned}$$Then \({\hat{k}}>k_{Min}\) when \(\Delta _L>\Delta _S\).
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Madiès, T., Tarola, O. & Taugourdeau, E. Tax haven, pollution haven or both?. Int Tax Public Finance 29, 1527–1560 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-022-09745-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10797-022-09745-x