Introduction

The spatial and temporal distribution of fish communities are determined by their functional requirements in relation to a range of abiotic factors in their environment. Distributions are thus often determined by niche requirements that result in the development of fish functional guilds (Noble et al., 2007). The guilds in turn are intricately governed by trophic dynamics and life-history requirements. Studies suggest fish spatial distribution and habitat preferences are a function of habitat stability and migration patterns (e.g. by Lowe-McConnel, 1999; Silvano et al., 2000). For example, it has been recorded that migration in fishes accounts for their seasonal variability either in pursuit of food or for reproduction (Hugueny & Paugy, 1995; Belliard et al., 1997; Lowe-McConnel, 1999; Silvano et al., 2000). It also facilitates access to refugia, especially from predation, and can assist the avoidance of niche competition (Silvano et al., 2000). The net result is fish species generally developing well-defined spatial and trophic niches, and community assemblages and guilds (Hugueny & Paugy, 1995).

Moreover, understanding the diversity, density and distribution of fish populations, and the factors that drive their processes, is important in facilitating suitable fish stock management interventions. For example, policy decisions on closed seasons, and restricted areas—usually spawning areas—are only reached with sound knowledge on spatial and temporal distribution and utilisation of fish habitats (Hugueny & Paugy, 1995). Habitat characteristics, especially water depths and substrate structure, particularly play a significant role in explaining lacustrine fish spatial distributions, for example, Carlander (1955) reporting a negative relationship between fish community standing crop and maximum lake depth. The determination of such relationships is important in lakes, where environmental conditions tend to be in a state of flux due to variability in climate and the result of on-going human activities. An example of such a lake is Lake Naivasha, Kenya, where despite RAMSAR status, the lake remains subject to high abstraction rates in support of industry and agriculture that impacts lake level as it results in the lake increasingly being disconnected from its tributary rivers (Britton et al., 2010a). Consequently, knowledge on the spatial distribution of fish and their relationship with physical habitat structure is important in the development of relevant fishery management strategies.

All the fish species present in Lake Naivasha are non-indigenous with introductions commencing in the 1920s. Aplocheilichthys antinorii (Vinc.), the only indigenous fish of the lake, was last reported in 1962, and is presumed to have been extirpated through predation pressure from introduced largemouth bass Micropterus salmoides (Lacépède) (Muchiri & Hickley, 1991). The other species present in the lake are common carp Cyprinus carpio L., the tilapiine species Oreochromis leucostictus (Trewavas) and Tilapia zillii (Gervais), and Barbus paludinosus (Boulenger). Although Oreochromis niloticus L. has recently also been introduced into the lake, they were not present in the samples of this study. Even though the fish community of the lake has received a great deal of research attention (e.g. Siddiqui, 1979; Dadzie & Aloo, 1990; Muchiri & Hickley, 1991; Muchiri et al., 1995; Hickley et al., 2002; Britton et al., 2007; Ojuok et al., 2007), there have been few studies focusing on the spatial distribution of the fish species and how these relate to the habitat variables of the lake. Comparatively, more comprehensive assemblage studies have focused on benthic macro-invertebrates (Clark & Beeby, 1989; Raburu et al., 2002), zooplankton (Harper, 1987; Mavuti, 1990), phytoplankton (Hubble, 2000; Hubble & Harper, 2002), and decapods (Oluoch, 1990; Hickley & Harper, 2002; Smart et al., 2002). Consequently, the aim of this paper was to assess the spatial differences in fish species distributions of Lake Naivasha in relation to their habitat suitability and niche partitioning with a view to providing relevant information to assist the formulation of fisheries management decisions and the development of policy frameworks.

Materials and methods

Study area

Lake Naivasha is situated 190 km south of equator (i.e. at 0°45′S; 36°21′E), within the eastern arm of the Great Rift Valley. It is approximately 1,890 m.a.s.l. (Fig. 1), and has a mean surface area of 145 km2 with a highly fluctuating mean depth of between 3 and 6 m depending on a lake level (Becht & Harper, 2002). The lake level is, in turn, driven by hydrological patterns in the larger Aberdare catchment and the intertropical convergence zone (Becht & Harper, 2002). Despite its declaration as a RAMSAR Site in 1995 (Wetlands International, 2003), the lake and its catchment is still faced with considerable anthropogenic pressures that have resulted in eutrophication, habitat degradation, invasive species, lake level fluctuation and excessive fishing pressure (Kitaka et al., 2002; Harper & Mavuti, 2004; Britton et al., 2007; Oyugi, 2012).

Fig. 1
figure 1

A map of Lake Naivasha and its watershed (inset) showing the six survey sites: RM River Mouth, ML Middle Lake, CL Crescent Lake, SB Sher Bay, OB Oserian Bay, HP Hippo Point

Field sampling techniques

Fish sampling was completed monthly between 2008 and 2010 covering six different locations (Fig. 1), and spanned both wet and dry seasons. The survey locations represented six major habitat types of the lake namely: River Mouth (RM), representing a shallow (~135 cm) habitat, characterised by a muddy substrate, often with rotting allochthonous debris from the River Malewa; Middle Lake (ML) representing open waters (~360 cm deep), characterised by a muddy substrate, with strong wind action also evident; Crescent Lake (CL), which was deep (~1,800 cm) and characterised by a sandy substrate with rocky shore with minimal wind action; Sher Bay (SB), an extensive shallow bay (~220 cm) fringed with Cyperus papyrus; Oserian Bay (OB), a semi-isolated shallow bay (~160 cm) with a muddy substrate and fringed with C. papyrus; and Hippo Point (HP), representing the deepest part of the open lake (~800 cm), was characterised by rocky-sandy substrate (Fig. 1). Note the Crescent Island site was isolated from the main lake during the study as a result of prolonged drought.

Sampling the fish communities of large tropical lakes is inherently difficult and Lake Naivasha is no exception. Obtaining quantitative population estimates is not feasible due to factors including restricted access to the lake shore making seine netting impossible and the inefficiency of electric fishing in large water bodies. The considerable presence of hippopotami Hippopotamus amphibius in the lake also compromises the safety of sampling teams if they are required to spend extended periods in the lake. Consequently, previous studies on lake Naivasha have employed multi-mesh gillnets to provide relative measures of fish abundance using catch per unit effort (number of fish sampled per hour per gill net; cf.; Hickley & Harper, 2002; Hickley et al., 2002; Britton et al., 2007, 2010b). Although not providing quantitative abundance estimates, through use of standardised gill net mesh sizes in each survey and sampling the same locations, these studies were able to infer temporal relationships in the relative abundance of the species in the fish community. This facilitated the measurement of changes in the fish community of the lake when collecting other forms of abundance estimates was impossible. Consequently, in this study, fish samples were also collected through deployment of a standard set of gill nets using mesh sizes of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 7 inches (knot-to-knot). These were set on a monthly basis at 08.00 and always lifted after 4 h fishing.

Once the nets were lifted, the fish were removed, sorted and identified to species level and counted. At each sampling site, turbidity was determined by Secchi disc, and surface water temperature, pH and electrical conductivity were determined at each sampling site using a hand-held waterproof Hanna Combo pH & EC meter. Corresponding substrate samples to determine substrate characteristics were taken by a 15 × 15 cm2 Eckman grab. Lake level data were obtained from Water Resource Management Authority (WRMA) of the Ministry of Water Development.

Analysis of relative abundance, lake level and substrate type

The number of fish captured per species per month and sampling location was used to calculate catch per unit effort (CPUE) as per Hickley et al. (2002) and Britton et al. (2007). The abundance data were subsequently tested against lake level as a surrogate of changing environmental conditions by use of least square techniques. As monthly lake level was only expected to register a possible impact on fish abundance in the subsequent months; therefore, fish monthly CPUE data at time t were correlated with lake level data at time (t1). In the laboratory, an Octagon 200 test sieve shaker was used to analyse sediment grain size which were separated as sand (>125 μm), silt (125–63 μm) and clay (<63 μm), as described by Buchanan (1971).

Analysis of fish habitat suitability

Initially, univariate least square models were performed on CPUE to determine the most important habitat variables of fish relative abundance for the species C. carpio, M. salmoides, O. leucostictus and T. zillii (due to their importance in the commercial fishery). Given the lentic conditions and the model outputs then lake depth, water transparency and substrate type were selected as the most important habitat variables (based on regression r 2 and significance levels) for habitat suitability index (HSI) analysis. This followed the procedure modified from Bovee (1986) as:

  1. (i)

    values of the three habitat variables: depth, water transparency and substrate structure, were divided into size classes, upon which, class midpoints were determined and frequency of utilisation (U) computed as the total sum of CPUE within each class interval (CI). Habitat variable availability (A) within each size class was computed as percentage occurrence of that variable class across the six sampling sites;

  2. (ii)

    preference for habitat variable class interval was consequently computed from estimated relative frequencies of utilisation and habitat availability as:

    $$ P_{\text{i}} = \frac{{U_{\text{i}} }}{{A_{\text{i}} }}, $$
    (1)

    where P i is the relative preference value of target species for a specific interval of the measured habitat variable, U i is the % of utilisation of a specific class interval of the measured variable, here calculated as: (CPUE at CI/total CPUE) × 100; A i is the % availability of a specific class interval of the habitat variable at the time of sampling. This was determined as % occurrence of that habitat variable CI across the six sampling sites. For example, if a depth of 300–500 cm was achieved in only three sites out of the six sites, then A i was computed as 3/6 × 100 etc.

  1. (iii)

    all habitat preferences were normalised to a possible maximum sealing of 1.0,

  2. (iv)

    to express habitat suitability curves, polynomial regression models were performed, based on relative preference values (P i) and midpoint value of each habitat variable class. For each variable, several polynomial functions—at different orders—were considered for each fish species, and the best model for each function was taken based on the model coefficient r 2 (>0.6) and its significance level (P < 0.05).

To predict the occurrence of the four fish species in the different habitat types of the lake, the probability of their occurrence according to the habitat variables were determined using their presence/absence data. Binary logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the constant ‘a’ and the regression model coefficients ‘b’ and ‘c’ for depth and water transparency, respectively. These were then used in a probability equation to determine the probability (P) of catching a fish of that species according to depths (Z) and water transparency (Secchi depths) (d) (Delaney & Leung (2010):

$$ P = \frac{{e^{(a + bZ + cd)} }}{{1 + e^{(a + bZ + cd)} }} $$
(2)

The final assessment of how habitat variables influenced spatial fish distribution and the interactions of each species in the lake, the habitat overlap index (T) was determined after Schoener (1983):

$$ T = 1 - 0.5\sum {\left| {Px_{{h_{i} }} - Py_{{h_{i} }} } \right|} $$
(3)

where \( Px_{{h_{i} }} \) and \( Py_{{h_{i} }} \) were determined as the proportion of abundance (CPUE) of species X and Y at a given site (h i ) in relation to the total abundance from all the sites per season.

Statistical analysis

Both biotic and abiotic data were tested for normality before any parametric tests were performed. Here, normality and homoscedasticity of data were verified by Kolmogorove–Smirnove distribution test (Pallant, 2007), upon which non-parametric data were either log-transformed, i.e. for counts, or fourth-root transformed for ratios and measurements. All the statistics were completed by SPSS v. 18. Where errors were given around mean values, they represented 95% confidence limits.

Results

Fish relative abundances (i.e. CPUE) differed significantly between species and sites, except for C. carpio, which showed non-significant spatial variability across the entire lake (ANOVA: F 5,65 = 1.21, P > 0.05) (Fig. 2). The CPUE of C. carpio and O. leucostictus was relatively low in the rocky lagoonal habitat at Crescent Lake, while M. salmoides was hardly recorded in the open waters and river mouth habitats. Similarly, there was no significant seasonal variability in all the fish catches in pooled CPUE from all the survey sites (ANOVA: M. salmoides: F 3,20 = 0.94; P > 0.05; O. leucostictus: F 3,20 = 1.51; P > 0.05; T. zillii: F 3,20 = 1.15; P > 0.05), except for C. carpio (ANOVA: F 3,20 = 8.40; P < 0.01). Bonferroni multiple comparisons showed significantly depressed CPUE for C. carpio during the long rains in April, in comparison with short dry spell (in July) (P < 0.05), and short rains (in October) (P < 0.01). Multiple comparisons, however, revealed no significant variation in carp CPUE between long rains and long dry spell (P > 0.05). However, seasonal variation in lake level registered a positive correlation with CPUE of C. carpio (R 2 = 0.63; F 1,17 = 29.45; P < 0.01) and T. zillii (R 2 = 0.76, F 1,12 = 38.69; P < 0.01), but not with the CPUE of O. leucostictus (R 2 = 0.06; F 1,20 = 1.38; P > 0.05) and M. salmoides (R 2 = 0.03; F 1,20 = 0.001, P > 0.05) (Fig. 3).

Fig. 2
figure 2

Spatial variability of relative abundance (CPUE) of C. caprio, O. leucostictus, T. zillii and M. salmoides in six survey sites: RM River Mouth, ML Middle Lake, CL Crescent Lake, SB Sher Bay, OB Oserian Bay, HP Hippo Point in Lake Naivasha

Fig. 3
figure 3

Relationship between lake level and relative abundance (CPUE) of C. carpio (a); O. leucostictus (b); T. zillii (c) and M. salmoides (d) in Lake Naivasha

Very low habitat suitability indices and consequent undefined suitability curves typified unrestricted occurrence of C. carpio in the entire lake (Fig. 4). By contrast, the other fish species showed strong preferences in combinations of habitat variables. O. leucostictus exhibited a strong preference for shallow waters (Fig. 4), especially with a silt and clay substrate, whereas M. salmoides preferred deeper waters with sandy-rocky substrates (Fig. 5). Whilst the low number of data points prevented further testing on substrate structure, M. salmoides and O. leucostictus showed, albeit only by magnitude, higher preference for sandy and clay substrates, respectively. For T. zillii and C. carpio, there was no apparent substrate preference.

Fig. 4
figure 4

Habitat suitability curves of four commercial fish species in Lake Naivasha based on polynomial regression models of depth (left column), and water transparency (right column) for: a M. salmoides, b O. leucostictus, c T. zillii and d C. carpio

Fig. 5
figure 5

Effects of substrate structure (clay, silt and sand) on habitat suitability for four fish species: a M. salmoides; b O. leucostictus; c T. zillii and d C. carpio, of Lake Naivasha

The probability of catching M. salmoides in a gill net sample was high (i.e. >80%) in deeper (i.e. >500 cm) and clearer (i.e. >80 cm Secchi depth) waters (Fig. 6). The probability of catching T. zillii at water depths of more than 200 cm was, however, less than 80% and this declined further as water depth increased (Fig. 6). Similarly, the chances of catching O. leucostictus at water depths >300 cm also diminished with advancing depths. Unlike M. salmoides, water transparency was a poor predictor of T. zillii and O. leucostictus distribution.

Fig. 6
figure 6

Contour plots of probability of occurrence of fish species: M. salmoides (a), C. carpio (b), O. leucostictus (c) and T. zillii (d), at various depths and water transparency levels in Lake Naivasha

The Fish habitat overlap index (T) showed significant spatial interaction between all the species (i.e. T > 0.6) (Fig. 7). There was, however, no significant seasonal overlap variability between species (ANOVA: F 3,20 = 0.10, P > 0.05). O. leucostictus had significantly weaker spatial overlap with all the other three sympatric species low (ANOVA: F 5,18 = 4,718.74; P < 0.01 (Fig. 7).

Fig. 7
figure 7

Mean (±SE) niche overlap between four fish species: C. carpio (CC), O. leucostictus (OL), M. salmoides (MS) and T. zillii (TZ) in the major habitats of Lake Naivasha

Discussion

The outputs of the study revealed distinct habitat preferences in the fish species of Lake Naivasha, other than in the invasive C. carpio. Shallower waters, particularly over silt and clay, were preferred by O. leucostictus, whereas M. salmoides preferred the lake habitats with deeper and clearer water. This suggests strong structuring of aspects of the fish community according to their habitat preferences. Nevertheless, these outputs might be being compromised by the methodology used to collate the data. In particular, the fish abundance data was based on sampling with gill nets that have inherent bias in their capture of certain fish species and sizes according to the mesh size (e.g. Hamley, 1975). However, in previous fish-based studies of Lake Naivasha, a number of authors have overcome this problem in two ways: (i) through use of a standard set of gill net meshes and net sizes over time to account for the differential abilities of different mesh sizes to catch different components of the fish community (Hickley & Harper, 2002; Hickley et al., 2002); and (ii) by the use of catches of fish in each survey to produce a relative measure of fish abundance, i.e. catch per unit effort as the number of fish per hour per gillnet, where ‘gillnet’ represents all of the mesh sizes fished (Hickley & Harper, 2002; Hickley et al., 2002; Britton et al., 2007). Although the data are unlikely to be suitable for comparison with catches from other lakes, the standardised methodology and output provides data that can arguably be compared reliably between sampling sites and across time. Differences in the catches of fish are thus not due to differences in the ability of the nets to catch the fish but rather the abundance of the fish at that site. Consequently, there is confidence that the habitat associations and patterns in niche partitioning were representative of the true patterns in the lake.

The ubiquitous occurrence of C. carpio in all sampling sites contrasted the spatially restricted assemblage of the other fishes. That C. carpio was able to be present across a wide range of habitat variables might be considered advantageous in its ability to maintain a large, invasive population. The carp is principally a benthic detritivore (Khan et al., 2003; Britton et al., 2007; Oyugi, 2012), and its ubiquity in the lake may not only facilitate its autoecological processes (e.g. access to habitat-restricted food resources), but it may also facilitate their survival schemes in case of specific localised environmental disruptions. For example, when C. carpio was reported to have quickly rejuvenated its population following site-specific mass kills in some parts of Lake Naivasha in 2010 (Oyugi, 2012), which was attributed to localised depletion of dissolved oxygen in the lake, unaffected stocks of C. carpio in areas that did not experience the hypoxia enabled their rapid population re-establishment (Oyugi, 2012). The high abundance of C. carpio across all types of habitats in the lake also negates the initial presumption by Muchiri et al. (1995) that any new fish entries into Lake Naivasha would not survive the considerable environmental variability which characterises the lake at present.

Contrary to Weber et al. (2010), who reported from upper Midwest United States that C. carpio population densities increased with depth, the fish transcended all depths and substrate types in Lake Naivasha, with relatively similar values in relative density. Conversely, M. salmoides’ population in the lake displayed a niche-restricted spatial distribution, where its stocks were only pronounced in areas with sandy/rocky substrates, a pattern similar to that exhibited by T. zillii. O. leucostictus, on the other hand, preferred muddy substrates, presumably due to its favoured detritivorous feeding strategy (Oyugi, 2012). In Lake Victoria Basin, the origin of the Naivasha T. zillii population (Siddiqui, 1977), the species also showed a strong affinity for rocky outcrops and rocky shores. As reported by Muchiri et al. (1995), this habitat preference by T. zillii may be explained by its nest spawning territoriality and omnivorous feeding habit.

The probability of occurrence analysis was able to predict the presence/absence of M. salmoides in the different habitats of Lake Naivasha. The probability was fundamentally driven by water depths and water transparency. M. salmoides is a highly predatory fish and principally relies on water clarity as it forages by sight (Britton et al., 2010b). Their diet composition, which has recently shifted in Lake Naivasha from a crayfish-based diet to predominantly fish-based diet (Britton et al., 2010b; Oyugi, 2012), lends support to the ecological sustenance of discrete bass populations in rocky and deeper habitats characterised by clearer waters that assists their sight feeding (Britton et al., 2010b). Such environmental conditions were only available at Crescent Lake (CL) and Hippo Point (HP), resulting in their two disjunctive populations in the lake. Iguchi et al. (2004) also revealed that in its native range in eastern North America, the bass preferred quiet and clear waters with abundant vegetation cover.

Even though earlier works (e.g. Hickley et al., 2004) depicted T. zillii as capable of venturing into deeper waters, this may only span up to c. 300 cm deep, beyond which the depths become unsuitable, probably constrained by light extinction due to high amount of suspended solids. Studies by Muchiri et al. (1995), Hickley et al. (2002), Britton et al. (2007), Ojuok et al. (2007), Britton et al. (2010b) and Oyugi et al. (2011a, b), portrayed a rapid decline in the populations of the two tilapiines (O. leucostictus and T. zillii). As was evident from this study, this would partly be due to their habitat-restricted distribution mainly to shallow silt–clay substrate that is usually available only in the littoral zone. Currently, the two tilapiines seldom contribute to the commercial landings from Lake Naivasha where C. carpio has taken c. 100% dominance (AFB, 2009). Moreover, the relatively low spatial niche-overlap between O. leucostictus and its sympatric species in the lake was likely to be due to its territoriality nature. Being a cichlid, O. leucostictus strongly and aggressively guards its territory (Oyugi et al., 2011a, b), and their restriction to shallow–muddy habitats may expose such territories to the disruptions caused by the rapidly increasing populations of C. carpio which traversed the entire lake. The inshore preference by the two cichlids would also subject them to illegal fishers who had been observed to specifically target the tilapiines in the shallow inshore habitats using gillnets with illegal mesh sizes (Oyugi, 2012). Thus, the outputs of the study should be important in assisting the development of fishery management schemes designed to protect vulnerable fish populations from both being over-exploited by licensed fishers and poached by unlicensed fishers.