Abstract
The authors recently proved in Martig and Hüsler (2016) that the likelihood moment estimators are consistent estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution for the case where the underlying data arises from a (stationary) linear process with heavy-tailed innovations. In this paper we derive the bivariate asymptotic normality under some additional assumptions and give an explicit example on how to check these conditions by using asymptotic expansions. Some finite sample comparisons are presented to investigate the bias and variance behavior for some of the estimators.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Barbe, P., McCormick, W.P.: Asymptotic expansions for infinite weighted convolutions of heavy tail distributions and applications. Mem. Am. Math. Soc. 922(4), 197 (2009)
Brockwell, P., Davis, R.: Time Series: Theory and Methods, 2nd edn. Springer, New York (1991)
Cline, D.B.H.: Infinite Series of Random Variables with Regularly Varying Tails. Technical Report, vol. 83–24. The Institute of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver (1990)
Datta, S., McCormick, W.P.: Inference for tail parameters of a linear process with heavy tail innovations. Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. 50, 337–359 (1998)
Dekkers, A.L.M., Einmahl, J.H.J., De Haan, L.: A moment estimator for the index of an extreme-value distribution. Ann. Statist. 17(4), 1833–1855 (1989)
Drees, H.: Extreme quantile estimation for dependent data, with applications to finance. Bernoulli 9(1), 617–657 (2003)
Drees, H., Rootzén, H.: Limit theorems for empirical processes of cluster functionals. Ann. Statist. 38, 2145–2186 (2010)
Haan, L. de., Ferreira, A.: Extreme Value Theory. Springer, New York (2006)
Hosking, J.R.M., Wallis, J.R.: Parameter and quantile estimation for the generalized pareto distribution. Technometrics 29, 339–349 (1987)
Hsing, T.: On tail estimation using dependent data. Ann. Statist. 19(3), 1547–1569 (1991)
Hüsler, J., Li, D., Raschke, M.: Estimation for the generalized Pareto distribution using maximum likelihood and goodness-of-fit. Comm. Statist. Theory Methods. 40, 2500–2510 (2011)
Kulik, R., Soulier, Ph., Wintenberger, O.: The tail empirical process of regularly varying functions of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Preprint: arXiv:1511.04903 (2015)
Lehmann, E.L.: Elements of Large-sample Theory. Springer, New York (1999)
Martig, L.: The likelihood moment estimators for an ARMA time series with regularly varying innovations. PhD Thesis, Institute of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Bern Bern (2015)
Martig, L., Hüsler, J.: On consistency of the likelihood moment estimators for a linear process with regularly varying innovations. To be published in: Extremes. doi:10.1007/s10687-016-0264-2 (2016)
Neves, C.: From extended regular variation to regular variation with application in extreme value statistics. J. Math. Anal. Appl. 355(1), 216–230 (2009)
Pickands, J.: Statistical inference using extreme order statistics. Ann. Statist. 3, 119–131 (1975)
Resnick, S.: Heavy-Tail Phenomena. Probabilistic and Statistical Modeling. Springer, New York (2007)
Resnick, S., Stâricâ, C.: Asymptotic behaviour of Hill’s estimator for autoregressive data. Comm. Statist. Stoch. Models 13(4), 703–721 (1997)
Rootzén, H., Leadbetter, M.R., de Haan, L.: Tail and quantile estimation for strongly mixing stationary sequences. Technical Report 292, Center for Stochastic Processes, Department of Statistics, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC 27599–3260 (1990)
Rootzén, H., Leadbetter, M.R., de Haan, L.: On the distribution of tail array sums for strongly mixing stationary sequences. Ann. Appl. Probab. 8(3), 868–885 (1998)
Smith, R.L.: Threshold methods for sample extremes. In: Tiago de Oliveira, J. (ed.) Statistical Extremes and Applications, pp. 621-638. D. Reidel, Dordrecht (1984)
Zhang, J.: Likelihood moment estimation for the generalized pareto distribution. Aust. N.Z. J. Stat. 49, 69–77 (2007)
Acknowledgments
The authors want to thank William P. McCormick for his contributions and very thorough explanations regarding the asymptotic tail expansions. Another special thanks go to the reviewers, the associate editor and the editor-in-chief for their attentive corrections and their valuable inputs.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Martig, L., Hüsler, J. Asymptotic normality of the likelihood moment estimators for a stationary linear process with heavy-tailed innovations. Extremes 21, 1–26 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10687-017-0301-9
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10687-017-0301-9
Keywords
- Generalized Pareto distribution
- Linear processes
- Heavy-tailed data
- Likelihood moment estimators
- Asymptotic normality