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The role of technological innovation and population aging in environmental degradation in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development countries

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Abstract

This article gives fresh insights into how technological progress and population aging affect environmental quality. Because of the recent findings of new green patents and the dramatic increase in the population over 65 years old across OECD nations, it is important to investigate the influence of these two occurrences on the present environmental degradation. In that context, a variety of econometric methods are applied for a panel data set of 30 OECD countries from 1995 to 2015. We find evidence for the beneficial effect of technological progresses in preserving the ecosystem. Interestingly, the effect of population aging is not linearly correlated with ecological footprint but follows an inverted U-shaped pattern. The empirical results of panel quantile regression also show that the impacts of these two factors are not uniform across nations, but rather rely heavily on the level of environmental quality. While trade openness and renewable energy help to enhance environmental quality, higher energy intensity significantly degrades the ecosystem. The environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis holds from the low to middle quantiles of ecological footprint distribution. Our results are robust to a variety of sensitivity tests. The study indicates that it is important to design the right environmental policy mix that considers both technological and demographic changes.

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Availability of data and materials

All data analyzed during this study are available and freely collected from public sources. All the data that support the findings of the study has been collected from the open sources and are available from corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Notes

  1. We thank an anonymous reviewer for suggesting this issue.

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LKC contributed to conceptualization, introduction, literature review, methodology, result, discussion, conclusion, data curation, software, review and editing.

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Correspondence to Lan Khanh Chu.

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Appendix

Appendix

1.1 Appendix 1

See Table

Table 10 Country list

10.

1.2 Appendix 2

See Fig. 

Fig. 1
figure 1

Normality graph

1.

1.3 Appendix 3

See Fig. 

Fig. 2
figure 2

The distribution plot of ecological footprint

2.

1.4 Appendix 4

See Fig. 

Fig. 3
figure 3

Relationship between ecological footprint and share of population over 65 years old

3.

1.5 Appendix 5

See Table

Table 11 Robustness tests

11.

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Chu, L.K. The role of technological innovation and population aging in environmental degradation in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development countries. Environ Dev Sustain 26, 735–773 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-022-02730-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-022-02730-8

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