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Review of climate change impacts on predicted river streamflow in tropical rivers

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Abstract

Tropical regions are characterized by hydrological extreme events, which are likely to be exacerbated by climate change. Therefore, quantifying the extent to which climate change may damage a hydrological system becomes crucial. This paper aims to evaluate the findings from previous research on projected impacts of climate change on hydrological systems located in regions bounded by the Tropic of Cancer and the Tropic of Capricorn. It intends to provide an in-depth understanding of the climatic conditions, applied approaches, climate change impacts on future streamflow, and measures to reduce prediction uncertainty in the tropics. The review revealed that there is a significant variation in the magnitude of climate change impacts on streamflow in the tropics. The reason for the inconsistent trend prediction is that projections are heavily dependent on the trajectory of greenhouse gas emissions, climate model structural differences, and uncertainty of downscaling methods and hydrological models. Therefore, to minimize the uncertainty and maximize confidence in streamflow projections, it is essential to apply multi-member model ensembles and to clarify the adaptation strategy (coping, adjusting, or transforming).

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  1. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers

  2. American Society of Civil Engineers

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Funding

Funding for this project has been provided by Griffith University Postgraduate Research School through the GUPRS scholarship, and Griffith University International Postgraduate Research School through the GUIPRS scholarship.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Engineering, Griffith University, Gold Coast, QLD, 4222, Australia

    Mahsa Jahandideh-Tehrani, Hong Zhang & Fernanda Helfer

  2. CSIRO Land and Water, Canberra, Australia

    Yingying Yu

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  1. Mahsa Jahandideh-Tehrani
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  2. Hong Zhang
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  3. Fernanda Helfer
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  4. Yingying Yu
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Correspondence to Mahsa Jahandideh-Tehrani.

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Jahandideh-Tehrani, M., Zhang, H., Helfer, F. et al. Review of climate change impacts on predicted river streamflow in tropical rivers. Environ Monit Assess 191, 752 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-019-7841-1

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