Abstract
Agricultural decision-making to control nonpoint source (NPS) water pollution may not be efficiently implemented, if there is no appropriate cost-benefit analysis on agricultural management practices. This paper presents an interval-fuzzy linear programming (IFLP) model to deal with the trade-off between agricultural revenue, NPS pollution control, and alternative practices through land adjustment for Wuchuan catchment, a typical agricultural area in Jiulong River watershed, Fujian Province of China. From the results, the lower combination of practice 1, practice 2, practice 3, and practice 7 with the land area of 12.6, 5.2, 145.2, and 85.3 hm2, respectively, could reduce NPS pollution load by 10 %. The combination yields an income of 98,580 Chinese Yuan/a. If the pollution reduction is 15 %, the higher combination need practice 1, practice 2, practice 3, practice 5, and practice 7 with the land area of 54.4, 23.6, 18.0, 6.3, and 85.3 hm2, respectively. The income of this combination is 915,170 Chinese Yuan/a. The sensitivity analysis of IFLP indicates that the cost-effective practices are ranked as follows: practice 7 > practice 2 > practice 1 > practice 5 > practice 3 > practice 6 > practice 4. In addition, the uncertainties in the agriculture NPS pollution control system could be effectively quantified by the IFLP model. Furthermore, to accomplish a reasonable and applicable project of land-use adjustment, decision-makers could also integrate above solutions with their own experience and other information.
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Acknowledgments
Most of the work in this paper was funded by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (2011BAG07B05-3), the Key Scientific Project of the Ten-Year Plan of Fujian Province of China (No. 2002H009), and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 70325002). Special thanks go to Prof. Zhao Jing-zhu for his comments on the further revision of this paper.
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Jianchang, L., Luoping, Z., Yuzhen, Z. et al. Trade-off between water pollution prevention, agriculture profit, and farmer practice—an optimization methodology for discussion on land-use adjustment in China. Environ Monit Assess 187, 4104 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-014-4104-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-014-4104-z