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Impact assessment of air pollutants and greenhouse gases on urban heat wave events in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region

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Abstract

The production and quality of human life have been impacted by the extreme heat wave events caused by global warming and urbanization. This study analyzed the prevention of air pollution and the strategies of emission reduction based on decision trees (DT), random forests (RF), and extreme random trees (ERT). Additionally, we quantitatively investigated the contribution rate of atmospheric particulate pollutants and greenhouse gases to urban heat wave occurrences by combining numerical models and big data mining technology. This study focuses on changes in the urban environment and climate. The main findings of this study are as follows. The average concentrations of PM2.5 in the northeast of Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei in 2020 were 7.4%, 0.9%, and 9.6% lower than those in the corresponding years of 2017, 2018, and 2019, respectively. The carbon emissions in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region showed an increasing trend during the previous 4 years, which was consistent with the spatial distribution of PM2.5. In 2020, there were fewer urban heat waves, which was attributable to a reduction of 75.7% in emissions and an improvement of 24.3% in the prevention and management of air pollution. These results suggest that the government and environmental protection agencies need to pay attention to changes in the urban environment and climate to diminish the negative effects of heatwaves on the health and economic growth of the urban population.

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Acknowledgements

This work was financed by the Ningxia Higher Education First-Level Discipline Construction Project (NXYLXK2017B09) and the North University for Nationalities Postgraduate Innovation Project (YCX22086). Maps were created using Generic Mapping Tools (ArcMap). Perceptually, uniform color maps were used to prevent visual distortion of the data.

Funding

This work was supported by the Ningxia Natural Science Funding (2021AAC03223, 2022AAC03269), Ningxia Higher Education First-Level Discipline Construction Project (NXYLXK2017B09) and Innovative Project for Postgraduates of North University for Nationalities (YCX22086).

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  1. School of Mathematics and Informatics, North Minzu University, Yinchuan, 750021, Ningxia, People’s Republic of China

    Weifu Ding & Shuhua Liu

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  1. Weifu Ding
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DW: original draft preparation, writing Conceptualization, funding, Software.

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Correspondence to Shuhua Liu.

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Ding, W., Liu, S. Impact assessment of air pollutants and greenhouse gases on urban heat wave events in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region. Environ Geochem Health 45, 7693–7709 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10653-023-01677-7

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