Abstract
Vandenbussche et al. (J Econ Growth 11(2):97–127, 2006) and Aghion et al. (in: Romer, Wolfers (eds) Brookings papers on economic activity: conference draft, Brookings, Washington, 2009) show that when economies operate close to the technological frontier, their ability to generate efficiency gains rests on the contribution of workers with advanced forms of education (i.e. tertiary). The contribution of this empirical paper is to revisit and improve the analysis of that assumption, in the context of firms located in advanced economics, assuming that what holds for OECD countries or US states should also be observed also at a more disaggregated level. To that end, we analyse a rich panel of Belgian firm-level data, covering the 2008–14 period. In the first step, we estimate each firm’s proximity to frontier using stochastic frontier methods. Step 2 consists in regressing each firm’s efficiency growth rate on (1) the share of workers by education attainment (2) its (initial) distance/proximity to the frontier and (3) (the main variable of interest) the interaction between (1) and (2), whose sign provides a direct test of the Vandenbussche/Aghion assumption. The main result of the paper supports the idea that the closer the firms are to what amounts to a local frontier; the more educated workers—in particular those with a master’s degree—matter for efficiency gains. The paper also shows that many of them are currently employed in firms that are distant from the efficiency frontier. Reallocating them would have a positive impact on overall efficiency.
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Notes
A natural (inverse) proxy for distance to frontier is “proximity to frontier”.
In the Bartelsman et al. (2015) study, the th quantile return to educated labour corresponds to the marginal change in productivity due to a marginal change in the share of that type of workers conditional on being in a firm belonging to the th quantile of the overall outcome distribution (i.e. the outcome being labour productivity in their case).
The Translog is know for being a flexible functional form for production functions. One of its main advantages is that, unlike the Cobb–Douglas, it does not assume rigid premises such as unitary elasticity of substitution or constant returns to scale. Also Translog functions have been shown to be second-order Taylor approximations of any technology (Fuss et al. 1978; Chambers 1988).
NAICS 2-digit.
That are necessary to implement the Ackerberg et al. (2015) control/proxy econometric estimation aimed at controling for the risk of reverse causality/simultaneity.
NAICS 2 digits.
NAICS 2 digits.
The log of proximity-to-frontier being negative (−∞ ≤ lnPTFit ≤ 0) the positive η's mean that we get smaller contribution to annual efficiency gains when distance to frontier rises (proximity to frontier falls).
The role of education as a net contributor to country-level growth is in fact more disputed than its contribution to individuals' fortune (see Sianesi and van Reenen (2003); de la Fuente and Doménech (2006) for surveys). This is due to the methodological difficulties related to measuring skills and, what is more, modelling and identifying the channels through which skills impact on macroeconomic performance.
The International Standard Classification of Education (ISCED) developped by UNESCO and OECD (for more details see http://uis.unesco.org/sites/default/files/documents/international-standard-classification-of-education-isced-2011-en.pdf.)
And Fig. 4 suggests that larger firms (with more employees) are overrepresented among "frontier" firms (i.e. they form the 6th to 10th decile of the PTF distribution) whereas smaller sizes are predominant among "laggards".
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Appendix: The ACF-GMM Estimator
Appendix: The ACF-GMM Estimator
Considering a stylised version our Stage 2 model Eq. (7),
with
the logic of the ACF-GMM estimator is to consider that the error term comprise εit a time-varying unobserved terms (partially known or anticipated by the management of the firm) ωit that is potentially correlated with the other regressors. It might for instance correspond to a (positive/negative) efficiency development influencing their educational mix.
Key with ACF it to assume that firms’ (observable) demand for intermediate inputs (intit) is a function of ωit as well as labour inputs (here the shares of workers by educational attainement):
ACF further assume that this function ft is monotonic in ωit and its other determinants, meaning that it can be inverted to deliver an expression of ωit as a function of intit, Xit and introduced into the model
The ACF algorithm consists of two steps. In step one, outcome variable (here efficiency growth) is regressed on a composite term Φit that comprises a constant, and 3rd order polynomial expansion in i intit, Xit., approximating \( f_{t}^{ - 1} (int_{it} ,X_{it} ) \)
At that point λ is clearly not identified yet. The first-step regression delivers an unbiased estimate of the composite term Φ hat; it i.e. outcome net of the purely random term σit. This is done at step 2. Key is the idea that one can generate implied values for ωit using first-stage estimates Φ hat it and candidate values for the vector of coefficients λ
ACF assume further that the evolution of ωit follows a first-order Markov process
That assumption simply amounts to saying that the realization of ωit depends on some function g(.) (known by the firm) of t − 1 realisation and an (unknown) innovation term ξit.
By regressing non-parametrically (implied) ωit on (implied) ωit-1, ωit-2, one gets residuals that correspond to the (implied) ξit that can form a sample analogue to the orthogonality (or moment) conditions identifying λ ≡ [α,β,γ1,γ2,γ3,η1,η2,η3,θ].
with the possibility, for some of the variables forming Xit to resort to lagged values, under that assumption that these are less likely to be uncorrelated with the innovation terms ξit. We followed this recommendation for the variables containing education share, meaning that our moment conditions are
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Vandenberghe, V. The Contribution of Educated Workers to Firms’ Efficiency Gains: The Key Role of Proximity to the ‘Local’ Frontier. De Economist 166, 259–283 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10645-018-9322-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10645-018-9322-2