Abstract
We present a monetary endogenous growth model and analyse the effects of fiscal and monetary policy with real money as an argument in the utility function. We show that a balanced government budget gives a higher balanced growth rate and lower inflation than a situation with permanent public deficits. It also leads to higher welfare compared to a situation with permanent deficits when the government does not put a high weight on stabilizing debt. However, when governments run deficits with a high weight on stabilizing debt, comparative welfare effects depend on the initial conditions with respect to public debt. Further, for a given monetary policy a stricter debt policy yields higher growth, lower inflation and higher welfare. A rise in the nominal money supply can compensate the negative growth effects of a loose debt policy up to a certain point but only at the cost of higher inflation and lower welfare.
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Notes
See the paper by Piergallini and Rodano (2012) for further studies along this line.
For an extensive survey of both empirical and theoretical studies dealing with the effects of public debt on growth, see e.g. Panizza and Presbitero (2013).
Capital letters give nominal variables and lowercase letters stand for real variables. Further, we delete the time argument \(t\) as long as no unambiguity arises.
The \(^{\star }\) denotes BGP values.
Qualitatively, the outcome does not change for \(\gamma =0.15\). But to get plausible quantitative results we have to set \(A\) and the fiscal parameters \(\tau \) and \(t_p\) to different values then.
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I thank two referees for valuable comments that helped to improve the paper.
Appendix
Appendix
1.1 Stability of the Balanced Budget Scenario
With a balanced government budget that implies \(\phi =-\theta z(k/y)\), the Jacobian of the dynamic system (23)–(25) is given by,
where we also used \(\dot{v}=-v (\partial \dot{k}/{\partial k})\), \(x^{\star }/z^{\star }=\theta +\rho \) and \(v^{\star }=0\) on the BGP and the variables \(x\) and \(z\) are evaluated at the BGP. Since \({\partial \dot{x}}/{\partial x}=xC_2\) and \({\partial \dot{z}}/{\partial x}=zC_2-1\), with \(C_2=\partial (\dot{x}/x)/\partial x>0\), we get \(({\partial \dot{x}}/{\partial x})(\theta +\rho +\theta z) -\theta x({\partial \dot{z}}/{\partial x}) =xC_2(\theta +\rho )\) \(+\theta x>0\) as well as \(({\partial \dot{x}}/{\partial x})+(\theta +\rho +\theta z)>0\), so that there exists one negative eigenvalue of \(J\) given by \(-g\).\(\Box \)
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Greiner, A. Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a Basic Endogenous Growth Model. Comput Econ 45, 285–301 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-014-9421-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-014-9421-3