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Minimal Adherence Threshold to Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation to Reduce the Risk of Thromboembolism and Death: A Nationwide Cohort Study

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Abstract

Purpose

Poor adherence to non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) may raise thromboembolic risks in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the minimal adherence to maintain the protective effect of NOACs is currently unknown. Therefore, we investigated thresholds of NOAC adherence in association with thromboembolic and mortality risks.

Methods

Patients with AF initiating NOACs between 2013 and 2019 were identified in Belgian nationwide data. Adherence was measured using the proportion of days covered (PDC) after one year of treatment. Inverse probability of treatment weighted Cox regression was used to investigate outcomes.

Results

92,111 persons were included (250,750 person-years). Compared to NOAC users with a one-year PDC of 100%, significantly higher risks of stroke or systemic embolism were observed among NOAC users with PDCs of 85–89% (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.35, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.19–1.54)), 80–84% (aHR 1.31, 95%CI (1.08–1.58)) and < 80% (aHR 1.64, 95%CI (1.34–2.01)), while no significant differences were observed among NOAC users with one-year PDCs of 95–99% (aHR 1.02, 95%CI (0.94–1.12)) or 90–94% (aHR 1.06, 95%CI (0.95–1.18)). Significantly higher risks of all-cause mortality were observed with decreasing levels of NOAC adherence, which were already higher among NOAC users with a one-year PDC of 90–94% versus 100% (aHR 1.09, 95%CI (1.01–1.17)). Findings were similar with once-daily and twice-daily dosed NOACs.

Conclusion

Poor adherence to NOACs is associated with increased risks of thromboembolism and all-cause mortality. The minimal adherence threshold should be ≥ 90%, preferably even ≥ 95%.

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Data Availability

Requests for the data underlying this article should be directed to the administrators of the InterMutualistic Agency (IMA) database or Minimal Hospital Dataset and is subject to approval.

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Acknowledgements

We would like to thank the administrators, data managers, statisticians and other staff of the InterMutualistic Agency (IMA) and Minimal Hospital Dataset (MHD) for providing the data, especially Birgit Gielen (IMA), David Jaminé (IMA), Iris Grant (IMA), Dirk De Kesel (IMA), Sarah Bel (IMA), Jérôme Paque (IMA), Remi Vandereyd (IMA), Xavier Rygaert (IMA), Delfien Verhelst (MHD), Karin Smets (MHD) and Francis Windey (MHD). Moreover, we would like to thank eHealth for the deterministic linkage of both databases. Lastly, we would like to thank Stephan Devriese (Belgian Health Care Knowledge Centre, KCE) for performing the small cell risk analysis.

Funding

This work was supported by the Research Foundation Flanders (FWO) [Grant number 11C0820N to Maxim Grymonprez].

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Authors

Contributions

MG and LL contributed to the concept and design of the study. M.G. performed the statistical analysis, interpretation and writing under the supervision of LL. SS, AC, DV, FVV, EM, KB, TDB and LL revised the manuscript critically. All authors contributed to the article and approved the final version of the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Lies Lahousse.

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Competing Interests

Outside this manuscript, TDB has served as a chairperson during a lecture for Bayer and Daiichi Sankyo and participated in an expert meeting for Pfizer. Outside this manuscript, LL has been consulted as expert for AstraZeneca. Outside this manuscript, SS has given a lecture sponsored by BMS, LL a lecture sponsored by Chiesi, and SS, LL and MG lectures sponsored by IPSA vzw, a non-profit organization facilitating lifelong learning for health care providers. Neither author has received any fees personally.

Ethics Approval

This study was approved by the IMA and MHD database administrators and by the ‘Sectoral Committee of Social Security and Health, Section Health’, a subcommittee of the Belgian Commission for the Protection of Privacy (approval code IVC/KSZG/20/344), waiving the need for individual informed consents [21].

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Grymonprez, M., Steurbaut, S., Capiau, A. et al. Minimal Adherence Threshold to Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation to Reduce the Risk of Thromboembolism and Death: A Nationwide Cohort Study. Cardiovasc Drugs Ther (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10557-023-07507-3

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