Abstract
We introduce several new variants of the dice experiment by Fischbacher and Föllmi-Heusi (Journal of the European Economic Association 11(3):525–547, 2013) to investigate measures to reduce lying. Hypotheses on the relative performance of these treatments are derived from a straightforward theoretical model. In line with previous research, we find that groups of two subjects lied at least to the same extent as individuals—even in a novel treatment where we assigned to one subject the role of being the other’s monitor. However, we find that our participants hardly lied if they do not benefit and only others do, even if they were in a reciprocal relationship. Thus, we conclude that collaboration on lying mostly happens for personal gain. To mitigate selfish lying, an honesty oath which aims to increase moral awareness turned out to be effective.
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Notes
http://www8.gsb.columbia.edu/honor/. See also the popular catchword “Hippocratic oath for business”, with Cabrera (2003) being only one of many authors using it.
This is not to say that the threat of punishment is the only mechanism through which religion works. For example, Lang et al. (2016) show that religious music is a sufficiently effective reminder for religious subjects not to cheat.
Blok sees ethical oaths as involving “the intention of a person not only to do something, but also to be the one who is committed to some future course of action.” (Blok 2013, p. 193, italics in original).
To check the expected impact of the Banker’s Oath Loonen and Rutgers (2017) conducted a survey among bank employees and their clients. They find that the trust in the Banker’s Oaths “does not seem to be very high”, and that bank employees even appear opposed to it.
For more extensive reviews of the related literature see, for example, de Bruin (2016), including a comparative evaluation of the MBA Oath, the Economist’s Oath (George DeMartino), the Dutch Banker’s Oath, and various other similar initiatives, or—with a focus on the private sector, especially banking—Boatright (2013).
With subjects agreeing “to swear upon my honor that, during the whole experiment, I will tell the truth and always provide honest answers”, Jacquemet et al. (2018).
Nevertheless, Cleek and Leonard (1998) found that the reference to the existence of corporate code of ethics had an effect no smaller than that of giving details on the code, at least on students imagining to work for a fictitious firm.
There is a good reason for reserving certain ceremonial elements to very special oaths like in court: Rutgers (2010, 2013) warns against the use of honesty oaths in the private sector, as common misuse of those in the private sector might spread into the public sector and harm the meaning that oaths currently hold in the public sector, Different kind of oaths might reduce the likelihood of such a spillover.
Twelve observations were not included in the sample because of a deviation from the experimental protocol. In these cases, the role of rolling the die was not assigned to one group member by the group but by the experimenters.
Amongst other dice experiments, those of Fischbacher and Föllmi-Heusi (2013) have also been conducted that way.
Wu et al. (2011) provide neuro-economic evidence that engagement in dishonesty purely for the benefit of others can be perceives as morally acceptable. This study supports our assumption that δj does not just consist of moral costs of cheating (equal to δi), but is indeed diluted by the norm of helping others.
When comparing αδi with δi + δj in the denominator, we can conclude that for the two to be equal α = 1 + δi/δj, which at most can be 2.
Note that neither a Kolmogorov–Smirnov nor a two-sided Mann–Whitney U test finds significant differences between Direct Reciprocity and Indirect Reciprocity.
In the monitoring treatments, the two highest payoffs were overrepresented.
In our post-experimental questionnaire, we asked participants, inter alia, for their age. For Baseline, we find a significant negative correlation between the player’s payoff and age (Spearman rank correlation coefficient value of − 0.512: p < 0.01). Hence, players’ payoffs decrease with increasing age.
Moreover, groups’ dishonesty appears to be connected to the degree of acquaintance between their group members: In a pre-test for this treatment, we asked subjects to rate the acquaintance with their co-player on a 7-point-scale between “unknown” and “very close.” We found that the degree of acquaintance is highly correlated with the groups’ payoff (Spearman rank correlation coefficient value of 0.644: p < 0.01). Additionally, “very close” groups earned significantly more than the other groups (two-sided Mann–Whitney U test: p < 0.01). Hence, groups seem to behave less honestly, the more familiar their group members are.
We define religious groups as groups in which both subjects state that they are religious.
Ordered probit regressions that explain the payoff amount and control for treatments, gender, age, siblings, moral, competitiveness, and risk aversion confirm that ceteris paribus religious subjects earn less.
In a very recent experimental study, Bodenschatz and Irlenbusch (2018) find that group decision-making reduced the bribes that were offered at least in a repeated setting. However, their design separates the anonymous interaction from detection, which is a chance move in a separate stage that is independent from peer interaction.
We owe this point to an anonymous referee.
On that subject, Dan Ariely (interviewed by Haas 2016) states that players hardly cheat when you remind them of their moral values, but that they do not remember them even the very next day.
Quoted from Boatright (2013), p. 151, who also provides a careful discussion of the less straightforward problems in real bankers’ oaths.
Ashforth and Anand (2003) correctly point out that corrupt systems and individuals are mutually reinforcing and that individuals joining a corrupt firm could be quickly indoctrinated by the “business as usual” mentality into the corrupt system. The firm dynamics aspects of institutionalization and socialization, discussed by Ashforth and Anand cannot be directly accounted for in any simple laboratory experiment.
To check whether we are the only ones to find our results partly surprising, we asked a different subject pool (100 students from the University of Kassel) in an online questionnaire to estimate our treatment results. We incentivized their guesses: The answers that were closest to our actual result in each treatment received € 10. Subjects of our online survey systematically overrated the effect of monitoring: Whereas people believe that monitoring is able to mitigate lying (they expected an average payoff of € 3.21 in the monitoring treatments vs. € 3.46 in Baseline, Wilcoxon signed rank test: p = 0.077), we do not find this effect in our experimental data (on average, we paid € 3.78 in the pooled monitoring treatments; two-sided Mann–Whitney U test expected vs. actual payoff: p < 0.001). Furthermore, people underestimated lying in the group treatment (they expected € 3.32, actually it was € 4.14, p < 0.001) and in the baseline scenario (€ 3.46 vs. € 3.66, p = 0.040) whereas they slightly, but not significantly, overrated lying in the reciprocity treatments (expected € 3.13 vs. € 2.98, p = 0.881).
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Appendix
Appendix
Factor Approximation in Our Theoretical Model of the Utility of Lying
In our “Results” section we found evidence to confirm some of the major predictions we made for behavioral differences between treatments based on our theoretical model of the utility of lying. Ex post, we can use the model for a more detailed interpretation of our findings. Thus, we estimate the most essential key factors of the model by using the observed mean values of payoffs per treatment.
In each treatment, the mean value of payoffs under complete honesty (\(\bar {r}\)) is expected to approximate €2.50. We assume: \(\bar {r}={\sf C}\!\!\!\!\raise.8pt\hbox{=}\,2.50\) for each treatment.
Baseline
The observed mean value of payoffs in the baseline treatment is \({\bar {p}_{{\text{baseline}}}}={\sf C}\!\!\!\!\raise.8pt\hbox{=}\,3.66\). Assuming that on average all players engaged in the optimal amount of lying, we get:
with \({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{baseline}}}}\) being the average dislike of lying for oneself in the baseline treatment.
Solving this equation for \({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{baseline}}}}\), we get:
Moral Awareness
The observed mean value of payoffs in our moral awareness treatment is \({\bar {p}_{{\text{moral}}}}={\sf C}\!\!\!\!\raise.8pt\hbox{=}\,2.66\). Again, assuming that on average all players engaged in the optimal amount of lying, we get:
with \({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{moral}}}}\) being the average dislike of lying for oneself, and \({\bar {\alpha }_{{\text{moral}}}}\) being the factor to which the honesty oath increased moral awareness on average compared to the baseline treatment.
Solving this equation for \({\bar {\alpha }_{{\text{moral}}}}\), we get:
Since we already capture the difference in moral awareness between Baseline and Moral Awareness by using the factor \({\bar {\alpha }_{{\text{moral}}}}\), we assume that the average dislike of lying for oneself between those two treatments does not change (\({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{moral}}}}={\bar {\delta }_{{\text{baseline}}}}\)).
Now we can calculate \({\bar {\alpha }_{{\text{moral}}}}\):
The interpretation of this factor is that the honesty oath increased the average of moral awareness by about 17%.
Monitoring
The observed mean value of payoffs in the monitoring treatments is \({\bar {p}_{{\text{monitor}}}}={\sf C}\!\!\!\!\raise.8pt\hbox{=}\,3.78\). Again, assuming that on average all players engaged in the optimal amount of lying, we get:
with \({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{monitor}}}}\) being the average dislike of lying for oneself, and \({\bar {\alpha }_{{\text{monitor}}}}\) being the factor to which monitoring increased moral awareness on average compared to the baseline treatment.
Solving this equation for \({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{monitor}}}}\), we get:
Furthermore, we reason that \(1 \leq {\bar {\alpha }_{{\text{monitor}}}} \leq {\bar {\alpha }_{{\text{moral}}}}\). With this, we can estimate \({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{monitor}}}}\):
Comparing this to the baseline treatment, we get:
This means that the average dislike of lying for oneself increased by at least 69% due to the presence of a monitor (while already considering possible effects of an increased moral awareness due to monitoring). Both effects, however, are narrowly overshadowed by the division of moral costs between both players (n = 2), since:
Reciprocity
Since we find no significant difference between both reciprocity treatments, we define \({\bar {p}_{{\text{reci}}}}={\sf C}\!\!\!\!\raise.8pt\hbox{=}\,2.89\) as the observed mean value of payoffs in the pooled reciprocity treatments.
Again, assuming that on average all players engaged in the optimal amount of lying, we get:
with \({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{reci}}}}\) being the average dislike of lying for another person, and \({\bar {\beta }_{{\text{reci}}}}\) being the factor to which players care about others on average.
Solving this equation for \({\bar {\beta }_{{\text{reci}}}}\), we get:
Group
The observed mean value of payoffs in the group treatment is \({\bar {p}_{{\text{group}}}}={\sf C}\!\!\!\!\raise.8pt\hbox{=}\,4.14\). Again, assuming that on average all players engaged in the optimal amount of lying, we get:
with \({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{group}};i}}\) being the average dislike of lying for oneself, \({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{group}};j}}\) being the average dislike of lying for another person, and \({\bar {\beta }_{{\text{group}}}}\) being the factor to which players care about others on average.
Solving this equation for \({\bar {\beta }_{{\text{group}}}}\), we get:
Furthermore, we can assume that the factor to which players care about others and their dislike of lying for another person do not change between treatments (\(\bar {\beta }:={\bar {\beta }_{{\text{reci}}}}={\bar {\beta }_{{\text{group}}}}\) and \({\bar {\delta }_j}:={\bar {\delta }_{{\text{reci}}}}={\bar {\delta }_{{\text{group}};j}}\)), since we already consider the number of other players affected by lying (m) and the number of players participating in the decision (n) separately.
This implies that we can equate (3) with (4):
Since we argue that the dislike of lying for oneself is higher than the dislike of lying for another person (\({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{group}};i}} \geq {\bar {\delta }_j}\)), we can reason that:
Solving this inequality for \({\bar {\delta }_j}\), we get:
Here we can only guess \({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{group}};i}}\). However, if we approximate the dislike of lying for oneself in the group treatment with the corresponding value from the baseline treatment (\({\bar {\delta }_{{\text{group}};i}}\approx{\bar {\delta }_{{\text{baseline}}}}\)) we get:
If this approximation is somewhat correct, this inequality has a very intuitive interpretation: The dislike of lying for another person was extraordinary low (the dislike of lying for oneself was at least 15 times higher than the dislike of lying for another person).
Furthermore, this indicates that the average factor to which players care about others (\(\bar {\beta }\)) was low as well, since:
Summary
Following our theoretical model of the utility of lying we can interpret our findings in more detail:
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The honesty oath increased the moral awareness of our participants by about 17% (≈ 20%) on average.
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The dislike of lying for oneself was at least 15 times higher than the dislike of lying for another person.
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This was due to the fact that the dislike of lying for another person was extraordinarily low.
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The degree to which players care about others in the experiment was relatively low.
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Monitoring increased the dislike of lying for oneself by at least 69% (≈ 70%) (already considering possible effects of increased moral awareness due to monitoring). However, these two monitoring effects combined were still narrowly overshadowed by the division of moral costs between both players.
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Beck, T., Bühren, C., Frank, B. et al. Can Honesty Oaths, Peer Interaction, or Monitoring Mitigate Lying?. J Bus Ethics 163, 467–484 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-018-4030-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10551-018-4030-z