Over the past 20 years, the surgical approach to the axilla in breast cancer has become less radical; axillary node clearance (ANC) is used selectively, having previously been favoured in all patients for reduction of local disease recurrence [1].

Results from the ACOSOG Z11 trial [2] demonstrated that in T1-2 invasive breast cancer with axillary node metastasis and no palpable lymphadenopathy, there was no survival benefit in ANC following sentinel node biopsy (SNB) if 2 or fewer nodes were involved, prior to breast surgery and radiotherapy. Z11 thus introduced the clinical need to quantify axillary nodal disease; those with low burden being spared ANC and the risks with which it is associated (functional arm impairment, lymphedema) [3].

The clinical value of a pre-operative negative axillary ultrasound

Many studies have focussed on the use of axillary ultrasound (AUS) to identify high nodal burden in the preoperative axilla. By reconsidering this data to observe the ultrasound negative patients, a trend emerges of low nodal burden in the radiologically negative axilla. AUS may, therefore, have an important role to play in axillary assessment within the context of Z11.

In a retrospective cohort of 1538 breast cancer patients (Barco et al. 2016 [4]), 1151 were AUS-negative and, at SNB, 95.7% had low nodal burden. Boone et al. (2015) [5] and Moorman et al. (2014) [6] reported 96.0% (n = 434) and 95.8% (n = 879) of AUS-negative patients respectively with low nodal burden at SNB. Further, Veheuvel et al. (2016) [7] reported 93.45% of low burden in 2749 AUS-negative patients (see Table 1).

Table 1 Studies reporting proportion of patients with primary breast cancer and a negative axillary ultrasound, with subsequent low nodal burden at sentinel node biopsy

A pooled data analysis with random-effects fitted to a beta-binomial model demonstrates ultrasound’s negative predictive value as 0.951 (95% confidence interval 0.941 to 0.951) (see Fig. 1).

Fig. 1
figure 1

Forest plot illustrating the data presented in Table 1

Further improving the negative predictive value of preoperative axillary ultrasound

If radiological information could be combined with salient clinical and histopathological factors to create a risk index, this may enable targeting of the high nodal burden group in those with a radiologically negative axilla (the approximately 4% of patients, as demonstrated above). Subgroup analysis from ongoing and future trials may elucidate this possibility. One such consideration will be the effect of body mass index (BMI) on axillary assessment—are these patients underdiagnosed at clinical assessment or by AUS? This is an important contemporary point given that rates of obesity have more than doubled worldwide since 1980 [8]. Recent retrospective cohort data shows that nodal burden does not differ amongst obese and non-obese patients clinically diagnosed as node negative [9], however, the ability of ultrasound to stratify burden in the obese cN0 patient subgroup is less clear, and clarification from randomised control trial data will be welcome.

The problem with the ultrasound positive axilla

These data support a move towards omitting SNB in patients with a clinically and radiologically normal axilla, in the context of early disease with surgery and adjuvant therapy. The adoption of a screening tool demands that all its outcomes be prepared for however, and the clinical simplicity of the ultrasound negative patients is not mirrored in the ultrasound-positive cohort. Here, it has been established that the sensitivity of AUS is not sufficient to be used as a clinical decision-making tool because, when used to bypass SNB following positive AUS, 43.2% of this group undergo unnecessary ANC procedures owing to false positive results [10]. This picture is further muddied with the use of core needle biopsy (CNB), reportedly having a sensitivity of 88% (84 to 91) in a recent pooled analysis [11]. Importantly, CNB cannot quantify the nodal burden and is, therefore, not clinically useful in the context of Z11, where mere identification of nodal disease in the axilla is not sufficient; it is necessary to stratify low and high nodal burden because the overall survival is only increased with axillary surgical intervention in the latter patient group. Thus, even if one or more suitable lymph node biopsy targets are visualised for CNB, this procedure is not beneficial to the patient as—even if positive—it will not provide the clinician with enough information to decide if further axillary surgery is needed or not. Furthermore, a policy of proceeding to ANC following a positive CNB will inevitably be marred with similarly unacceptably high rates of false positives as seen with AUS in the context of Z11—a sure fate for any axillary assessment technique that is unable to clearly quantify the number of nodes with metastatic disease. For this reason, we recommend the non-palpable, ultrasound-positive axilla be assessed with SNB in the first instance which will allow quantification of the nodal burden before definitive axillary management is decided (Fig. 2).

Fig. 2
figure 2

Flowchart summarising proposed axillary workup for breast cancer patients, with current clinical trials assessing relevant aspects highlighted in red

Anticipated clinical trial results relevant to staging the preoperative axilla in breast cancer

Various relevant international randomised clinical trials are currently underway (Fig. 2). The SOUND [12] and INSEMA [13] trials randomize patients with a negative AUS to no further axillary intervention or SNB, providing much needed RCT evidence on this issue. The SENOMAC [14] trial expands upon the Z11 population, including patients undergoing mastectomy. In clinically node-positive patients, the TAXIS [15] trial will look at survival after selective node clearance as a less extensive surgical option to complete ANC.

Conclusions

Axillary ultrasound provides the clinician with extra information that is not concrete or pathologically conclusive. However, as a cost-effective and non-invasive tool that is widely available, it can preclude the need for axillary surgery in a subgroup of patients with early disease and non-palpable axillary lymph nodes. Although a positive axillary ultrasound still needs to be followed up with SNB, crucially the overall number of axillary interventions is reduced by the screening and identification of the AUS-negative group, and they are targeted to patients with justified clinical suspicion. This underlines the value of AUS as the first line assessment of the axilla preoperatively. The combined efficacy of AUS with timely and appropriate SNB as outlined in Fig. 2 provides optimal screening of the axilla, and is not improved by addition of less reliable techniques such as CNB that do not provide crucial quantification of the nodal burden, even when positive.

The stark regression in aggressive surgical management of the axilla follows demonstration that no survival benefit is afforded by this approach in select patient groups. Key clinical questions around the point at which intervention should be considered remain, and further trials will aim to clarify these. Our meta-analysis data support the omission of surgical intervention in the clinically and radiologically negative axillae.