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Prediction of breast cancer risk with volatile biomarkers in breath

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Abstract

Background

Human breath contains volatile organic compounds (VOCs) that are biomarkers of breast cancer. We investigated the positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV) of breath VOC biomarkers as indicators of breast cancer risk.

Methods

We employed ultra-clean breath collection balloons to collect breath samples from 54 women with biopsy-proven breast cancer and 124 cancer-free controls. Breath VOCs were analyzed with gas chromatography (GC) combined with either mass spectrometry (GC MS) or surface acoustic wave detection (GC SAW). Chromatograms were randomly assigned to a training set or a validation set. Monte Carlo analysis identified significant breath VOC biomarkers of breast cancer in the training set, and these biomarkers were incorporated into a multivariate algorithm to predict disease in the validation set. In the unsplit dataset, the predictive algorithms generated discriminant function (DF) values that varied with sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV.

Results

Using GC MS, test accuracy = 90% (area under curve of receiver operating characteristic in unsplit dataset) and cross-validated accuracy = 77%. Using GC SAW, test accuracy = 86% and cross-validated accuracy = 74%. With both assays, a low DF value was associated with a low risk of breast cancer (NPV > 99.9%). A high DF value was associated with a high risk of breast cancer and PPV rising to 100%.

Conclusion

Analysis of breath VOC samples collected with ultra-clean balloons detected biomarkers that accurately predicted risk of breast cancer.

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Acknowledgements

Michael Phillips is President and CEO of Menssana Research, Inc. Schmitt & Associates, Newark, NJ, maintained a database of chromatograms and Daniel Strano analyzed the data. We thank Jan Huston MD (deceased) for her sustained support and encouragement, and for coordinating the clinical study at Hackensack UMC Mountainside. Omar Ornelas of Grupo Mexlab performed GC SAW analysis of eight samples from Universidad de Guadalajara & Instituto Jalisciense de Cancerologia. Menssana Research Inc has no commercial, scientific, or other relationships with Ornelas or Grupo Mexlab or their affiliates.

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Correspondence to Michael Phillips.

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Phillips, M., Cataneo, R.N., Cruz-Ramos, J.A. et al. Prediction of breast cancer risk with volatile biomarkers in breath. Breast Cancer Res Treat 170, 343–350 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10549-018-4764-4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10549-018-4764-4

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