Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Consistency of ground-motion predictions from the past four decades: peak ground velocity and displacement, Arias intensity and relative significant duration

  • Original Research Paper
  • Published:
Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Due to the limited observational datasets available for the derivation of ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) there is always epistemic uncertainty in the estimated median ground motion. Since the quality and quantity of strong-motion datasets is constantly increasing it would be expected that the epistemic uncertainty in ground-motion prediction (related to lack of knowledge and data) is decreasing. This article is a continuation of the study of Douglas (Bull Earthq Eng 8(6):1515–1526, 2010) for ground-motion parameters other than peak ground acceleration (PGA) and elastic response spectral acceleration (SA). The epistemic uncertainty in the prediction of peak ground velocity and displacement, Arias intensity and relative significant duration is investigated by plotting predictions from dozens of GMPEs for these parameters against date of publication for three scenarios. In agreement with the previous study, all ground-motion parameters considered show high epistemic uncertainty (often even higher than previously reported for PGA and SA), suggesting that research efforts for the development of GMPEs for these parameters should continue and that it is vital that this uncertainty is accounted for in seismic hazard assessments. The epistemic uncertainty in the prediction of relative significant duration, however, appears to be much lower than any other strong-motion parameter, which suggests that currently available GMPEs for this intensity measure are sufficiently mature.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Abrahamson N, Silva W (2008) Summary of the Abrahamson & Silva NGA ground-motion relations. Earthq Spectra 24(1): 67–97. doi:10.1193/1.2924360

    Google Scholar 

  • Abrahamson N, Silva W (2009) Errata for “Summary of the Abrahamson and Silva NGA ground-motion relations” by Abrahamson, N. A. and W. J. Silva. Published on PEER NGA website

  • Abrahamson NA, Shedlock KM (1997) Overview. Seismol Res Lett 68(1): 9–23

    Google Scholar 

  • Abrahamson NA, Silva WJ (1996) Empirical ground motion models. Technical report, report to Brookhaven National Laboratory. Cited in Stewart et al. (2001)

  • Abrahamson NA, Youngs RR (1992) A stable algorithm for regression analyses using the random effects model. Bull Seismol Soc Am 82(1): 505–510

    Google Scholar 

  • Akkar S, Bommer JJ (2007) Prediction of elastic displacement response spectra in Europe and the Middle East. Earthq Eng Struct Dyn 36(10): 1275–1301. doi:10.1002/eqe.679

    Google Scholar 

  • Akkar S, Bommer JJ (2010) Empirical equations for the prediction of PGA, PGV and spectral accelerations in Europe, the Mediterranean region and the Middle East. Seismol Res Lett 81(2): 195–206

    Google Scholar 

  • Akkar S, Çağnan Z (2010) A local ground-motion predictive model for Turkey and its comparison with other regional and global ground-motion models. Bull Seismol Soc Am 100(6): 2978–2995

    Google Scholar 

  • Al-Qaryouti MY (2008) Attenuation relations of peak ground acceleration and velocity in the Southern Dead Sea Transform region. Arabian J Geosci 1(2): 111–117

    Google Scholar 

  • Alavi AH, Gandomi AH, Modaresnezhad M, Mousavi M (2011) New ground-motion prediction equations using multi expression programing. J Earthq Eng 15: 511–536. doi:10.1080/13632469.2010.526752

    Google Scholar 

  • Alavi B, Krawinkler H (2000) Consideration of near-fault ground motion effects in seismic design. In: Proceedings of twelfth world conference on earthquake engineering

  • Ambraseys NN, Free MW (1997) Surface-wave magnitude calibration for European region earthquakes. J Earthq Eng 1(1): 1–22

    Google Scholar 

  • Ambraseys NN, Smit P, Douglas J, Margaris B, Sigbjörnsson R, Ólafsson S, Suhadolc P, Costa G (2004) Internet site for European strong-motion data. Bollettino di Geofisica Teorica ed Applicata 45(3): 113–129

    Google Scholar 

  • Arias A (1970) A measure of earthquake intensity. In: Hansen R (ed) Seismic design for nuclear power plants. The M.I.T. Press, Cambridge, pp 438–483

    Google Scholar 

  • Atkinson GM (2008) Ground-motion prediction equations for eastern North America from a referenced empirical approach: implications for epistemic uncertainty. Bull Seismol Soc Am 98(3): 1304–1318. doi:10.1785/0120070199

    Google Scholar 

  • Atkinson GM, Boore DM (1997) Some comparisons between recent ground-motion relations. Seismol Res Lett 68(1): 24–40

    Google Scholar 

  • Atkinson GM, Boore DM (1997) Stochastic point-source modeling of ground motions in the Cascadia region. Seismol Res Lett 68(1): 74–85

    Google Scholar 

  • Atkinson GM, Boore DM (2006) Earthquake ground-motion prediction equations for eastern North America. Bull Seismol Soc Am 96(6): 2181–2205. doi:10.1785/0120050245

    Google Scholar 

  • Atkinson GM, Boore DM (2011) Modifications to existing ground-motion prediction equations in light of new data. Bull Seismol Soc Am 101(3): 1121–1135. doi:10.1785/0120100270

    Google Scholar 

  • Baker JW (2007) Correlation of ground motion intensity parameters used for predicting structural and geotechnical response. In: Kanda, Takada, Furuta (eds) Applications of statistics and probability in civil engineering. Taylor & Francis Group, London

  • Bazzurro P, Cornell CA (2002) Vector-valued probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (VPSHA). In: Proceedings of 7th U.S. national conference on earthquake engineering, paper No. 61

  • Beyer K, Bommer JJ (2006) Relationships between median values and between aleatory variabilities for different definitions of the horizontal component of motion. Bull Seismol Soc Am 96(4A): 1512–1522. doi:10.1785/0120050210

    Google Scholar 

  • Bindi D, Luzi L, Pacor F, Franceshina G, Castro RR (2006) Ground-motion predictions from empirical attenuation relationships versus recorded data: the case of the 1997–1998 Umbria-Marche, central Italy, strong-motion data set. Bull Seismol Soci Am 96(3): 984–1002. doi:10.1785/0120050102

    Google Scholar 

  • Bindi D, Parolai S, Grosser H, Milkereit C, Durukal E (2007) Empirical ground-motion prediction equations for northwestern Turkey using the aftershocks of the 1999 Kocaeli earthquake. Geophys Res Lett 34(L08305), doi:10.1029/2007GL029222

  • Bindi D, Luzi L, Pacor F (2009) Interevent and interstation variability computed for the Italian Accelerometric Archive (ITACA). Bull Seismol Soc Am 99(4): 2471–2488. doi:10.1785/0120080209

    Google Scholar 

  • Bindi D, Luzi L, Pacor F, Sabetta F, Massa M (2009) Towards a new reference ground motion prediction equation for Italy: update of the Sabetta-Pugliese (1996). Bull Earthq Eng 7(3): 591–608. doi:10.1007/s10518-009-9107-8

    Google Scholar 

  • Bindi D, Luzi L, Massa M, Pacor F (2010) Horizontal and vertical ground motion prediction equations derived from the Italian Accelerometric Archive (ITACA). Bull Earthq Eng 8(5): 1209–1230. doi:10.1007/s10518-009-9130-9

    Google Scholar 

  • Boatwright J, Bundock H, Luetgert J, Seekins L, Gee L, Lombard P (2003) The dependence of PGA and PGV on distance and magnitude inferred from northern California ShakeMap data. Bull Seismol Soc Am 93(5): 2043–2055

    Google Scholar 

  • Bommer JJ, Alarcón JE (2006) The prediction and use of peak ground velocity. J Earthq Eng 10(1): 1–31

    Google Scholar 

  • Bommer JJ, Martínez-Pereira A (1999) The effective duration of earthquake strong motion. J Earthq Eng 3(2): 127–172

    Google Scholar 

  • Bommer JJ, Elnashai AS, Weir AG (2000) Compatible acceleration and displacement spectra for seismic design codes. In: Proceedings of twelfth world conference on earthquake engineering, paper no. 207

  • Bommer JJ, Scherbaum F, Bungum H, Cotton F, Sabetta F, Abrahamson NA (2005) On the use of logic trees for ground-motion prediction equations in seismic-hazard analysis. Bull Seismol Soc Am 95(2): 377–389. doi:10.1785/0120040073

    Google Scholar 

  • Bommer JJ, Stafford PJ, Alarcón JE (2009) Empirical equations for the prediction of the significant, bracketed, and uniform duration of earthquake ground motion. Bull Seismol Soc Am 99(6): 3217–3233. doi:10.1785/0120080298

    Google Scholar 

  • Boore DM, Atkinson GM (2007) Boore-Atkinson NGA ground motion relations for the geometric mean horizontal component of peak and spectral ground motion parameters. PEER Report 2007/01, Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center, College of Engineering, University of California, Berkeley

  • Boore DM, Atkinson GM (2008) Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5 %-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s. Earthq Spectra 24(1): 99–138. doi:10.1193/1.2830434

    Google Scholar 

  • Boore DM, Watson-Lamprey J, Abrahamson NA (2006) Orientation-independent measures of ground motion. Bull Seismol Soc Am 96(4A): 1502–1511. doi:10.1785/0120050209

    Google Scholar 

  • Bragato PL, Slejko D (2005) Empirical ground-motion attenuation relations for the eastern Alps in the magnitude range 2.5–6.3. Bull Seismol Soc Am 95(1): 252–276

    Google Scholar 

  • Bray JD, Rodriguez-Marek A (2004) Characterization of forward-directivity ground motions in the near-fault region. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 24(11): 815–828. doi:10.1016/j.soildyn.2004.05.001

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell KW (1990) Empirical prediction of near-source soil and soft-rock ground motion for the Diablo Canyon power plant site, San Luis Obispo county, California. Technical report, Dames & Moore, Evergreen, Colorado, prepared for Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Not seen. Reported in Idriss (1993)

  • Campbell KW (1997) Empirical near-source attenuation relationships for horizontal and vertical components of peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity, and pseudo-absolute acceleration response spectra. Seismol Res Lett 68(1): 154–179

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell KW (2000) Erratum: empirical near-source attenuation relationships for horizontal and vertical components of peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity, and pseudo-absolute acceleration response spectra. Seismol Res Lett 71(3): 352–354

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell KW (2001) Erratum: empirical near-source attenuation relationships for horizontal and vertical components of peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity, and pseudo-absolute acceleration response spectra. Seismol Res Lett 72(4): 474

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell KW, Bozorgnia Y (1994) Near-source attenuation of peak horizontal acceleration from worldwide accelerograms recorded from 1957 to 1993. In: Proceedings of the fifth U.S. national conference on earthquake engineering, vol III, pp 283–292

  • Campbell KW, Bozorgnia Y (2007) Campbell-Bozorgnia NGA ground motion relations for the geometric mean horizontal component of peak and spectral ground motion parameters. PEER Report 2007/02, Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center, College of Engineering, University of California, Berkeley

  • Campbell KW, Bozorgnia Y (2008) Empirical ground motion model for shallow crustal earthquakes in active tectonic environments developed for the NGA project. In: Proceedings of fourteenth world conference on earthquake engineering, paper no. 03-02-0004

  • Campbell KW, Bozorgnia Y (2008) NGA ground motion model for the geometric mean horizontal component of PGA, PGV, PGD and 5 % damped linear elastic response spectra for periods ranging from 0.01 to 10 s. Earthq Spectra 24(1): 139–171. doi:10.1193/1.2857546

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell KW, Duke CM (1974) Bedrock intensity attenuation and site factors from San Fernando earthquake records. Bull Seismol Soc Am 64(1): 173–185

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell KW, Duke CM (1974) A reply. Bull Seismol Soc Am 64(6): 2009–2010

    Google Scholar 

  • Chapman MC (1999) On the use of elastic input energy for seismic hazard analysis. Earthq Spectra 15(4): 607–635

    Google Scholar 

  • Chiou B, Youngs R, Abrahamson N, Addo K (2010) Ground-motion attenuation model for small-to-moderate shallow crustal earthquakes in California and its implications on regionalization of ground-motion prediction models. Earthq Spectra 26(4): 907–926. doi:10.1193/1.3479930

    Google Scholar 

  • Chiou BSJ, Youngs RR (2008) An NGA model for the average horizontal component of peak ground motion and response spectra. Earthq Spectra 24(1): 173–215. doi:10.1193/1.2894832

    Google Scholar 

  • Convertito V, De Matteis R, Romeo A, Zollo A, Iannaccone G (2007) A strong motion attenuation relation for early-warning application in the Campania region (southern Apennines). In: Gasparini P, Manfredi G, Zschau J (eds) Earthquake early warning systems. Springer, Berlin

    Google Scholar 

  • Cornell CA, Banon H, Shakal AF (1979) Seismic motion and response prediction alternatives. Earthq Eng Struct Dyn 7(4): 295–315

    Google Scholar 

  • Cotton F, Scherbaum F, Bommer JJ, Bungum H (2006) Criteria for selecting and adjusting ground-motion models for specific target regions: application to central Europe and rock sites. J Seismol 10(2): 137–156. doi:10.1007/s10950-005-9006-7

    Google Scholar 

  • Danciu L, Tselentis GA (2007) Engineering ground-motion parameters attenuation relationships for Greece. Bull Seismol Soc Am 97(1B): 162–183. doi:10.1785/0120040087

    Google Scholar 

  • Danciu L, Tselentis GA (2007) Engineering ground-motion parameters attenuation relationships for Greece. In: Proceedings of the International Symposium on Seismic Risk Reduction: The JICA Technical Cooperation Project in Romania, pp 327–334, paper ID 26

  • Dobry R, Idriss IM, Ng E (1978) Duration characteristics of horizontal components of strong-motion earthquake records. Bull Seismol Soc Am 68(5): 1487–1520

    Google Scholar 

  • Douglas J (2010) Consistency of ground-motion predictions from the past four decades. Bull Earthq Eng 8(6): 1515–1526. doi:10.1007/s10518-010-9195-5

    Google Scholar 

  • Douglas J (2011) Ground-motion prediction equations 1964–2010. Final report RP-59356-FR, BRGM, Orléans, France, http://www.brgm.fr/publication/rechRapportSP.jsp

  • Ellsworth WL, Celebi M, Evans JR, Jensen EG, Kayen R, Metz MC, Nyman DJ, Roddick JW, Spudich P, Stephens CD (2004) Near-field ground motion of the 2002 Denali Fault, Alaska, earthquake recorded at Pump Station 10. Earthq Spectra 20(3): 597–615. doi:10.1193/1.1778172

    Google Scholar 

  • Emolo A, Convertito V, Cantore L (2011) Ground-motion predictive equations for low-magnitude earthquakes in the Campania-Lucania area, southern Italy. J Geophys Eng 8: 46–60. doi:10.1088/1742-2132/8/1/007

    Google Scholar 

  • Esteva L, Rosenblueth E (1964) Espectros de temblores a distancias moderadas y grandes (in Spanish). Boletin Sociedad Mexicana de Ingenieria Sesmica 2:1–18

  • Faccioli E (1983) Measures of strong ground motion derived from a stochastic source model. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 2(3): 135–149

    Google Scholar 

  • Faccioli F, Paolucci R, Rey J (2004) Displacement spectra for long periods. Earthq Spectra 20(2): 347–376

    Google Scholar 

  • Foulser-Piggott R, Stafford PJ (2012) A predictive model for Arias intensity at multiple sites and consideration of spatial correlations. Earthq Eng Struct Dyn 41(3): 431–451. doi:10.1002/eqe.1137

    Google Scholar 

  • Frisenda M, Massa M, Spallarossa D, Ferretti G, Eva C (2005) Attenuation relationships for low magnitude earthquakes using standard seismometric records. J Earthq Eng 9(1): 23–40

    Google Scholar 

  • Frohlich C, Apperson KD (1992) Earthquake focal mechanisms, moment tensors, and the consistency of seismic activity near plate boundaries. Tectonics 11(2): 279–296

    Google Scholar 

  • Fukushima S, Hayashi T, Yashiro H (2007) Seismic hazard analysis based on the joint probability density function of PGA and PGV. In: Transactions, SMiRT 19, paper # M03/1

  • García D, Singh SK, Herráiz M, Ordaz M, Pacheco JF (2005) Inslab earthquakes of central Mexico: peak ground-motion parameters and response spectra. Bull Seismol Soc Am 95(6): 2272–2282. doi:10.1785/0120050072

    Google Scholar 

  • Gaull BA (1988) Attenuation of strong ground motion in space and time in southwest Western Australia. In: Proceedings of ninth world conference on earthquake engineering, vol II, pp 361–366

  • Gaull BA, Michael-Leiba MO, Rynn JMW (1990) Probabilistic earthquake risk maps of Australia. Aust J Earth Sci 37:169–187, not seen. Cited in Musson and Cecić (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  • Gehl P, Seyedi DM, Douglas J (2011) Vector-valued fragility functions for seismic risk evaluation. Bull Earthq Eng (submitted)

  • Ghanat S (2011) Duration characteristics of the mean horizontal component of shallow crustal earthquake records in active tectonic regions. PhD thesis, Arizona State University, USA

  • Ghodrati Amiri G, Mahdavian A, Dana FM (2007) Attenuation relationships for Iran. J Earthq Eng 11(4): 469–492. doi:10.1080/13632460601034049

    Google Scholar 

  • Ghodrati Amiri G, Mahdavian A, Dana FM (2007) Response on the discussion of ‘Attenuation relationships for Iran’. J Earthq Eng 11(6): 1036–1037. doi:10.1080/13632460701647476

    Google Scholar 

  • Ghodrati Amiri G, Khorasani M, Mirza Hessabi M, Razavian Amrei SA (2010) Ground-motion prediction equations of spectral ordinates and Arias intensity for Iran. J Earthq Eng 14(1): 1–29. doi:10.1080/13632460902988984

    Google Scholar 

  • Gregor N, Bolt B (1997) Peak strong motion attenuation relations for horizontal and vertical ground displacements. J Earthq Eng 1(2): 275–292

    Google Scholar 

  • Gregor N, Silva W, Darragh B (2002) Development of attenuation relations for peak particle velocity and displacement. A pearl report to pg&e/cec/caltrans., Pacific Engineering and Analysis, El Cerrito, USA, http://www.pacificengineering.org/rpts_page1.shtml

  • Hasegawa HS, Basham PW, Berry MJ (1981) Attenuation relations for strong seismic ground motion in Canada. Bull Seismol Soc Am 71(6): 1943–1962

    Google Scholar 

  • Hernandez B, Cotton F (2000) Empirical determination of the ground shaking duration due to an earthquake using strong motion accelerograms for engineering applications. In: Proceedings of twelfth world conference on earthquake engineering, paper no. 2254/4/A

  • Huo JR (1989) The characteristics of near field strong earthquake ground motion (in Chinese). PhD thesis, Institute of Engineering and Mechanics, China Seismological Bureau, China

  • Hwang H, Lin CK, Yeh YT, Cheng SN, Chen KC (2004) Attenuation relations of Arias intensity based on the Chi-Chi Taiwan earthquake data. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 24: 509–517

    Google Scholar 

  • Idriss IM (1978) Characteristics of earthquake ground motions. In: Proceedings of the ASCE geotechnical engineering division speciality conference: earthquake engineering and soil dynamics, vol III, pp 1151–1265

  • Idriss IM (1993) Procedures for selecting earthquake ground motions at rock sites. Technical Report, NIST GCR 93-625, National Institute of Standards and Technology

  • Iervolino I, Giorgio M, Galasso C, Manfredi G (2010) Conditional hazard maps for secondary intensity measures. Bull Seismol Soc Am 100(6): 3312–3319. doi:10.1785/0120090383

    Google Scholar 

  • Jibson RW (1987) Summary of research on the effects of topographic amplification of earthquakes shaking on slope stability. Open-File Report 87-268, US Geological Survey, Menlo Park, California, USA

  • Jin X, Kang LC, Ou YP (2008) Ground motion attenuation relation for small to moderate earthquakes in Fujian region, China. Acta Seismol Sin 21(3): 283–295. doi:10.1007/s11589-008-0283-4

    Google Scholar 

  • Joyner WB, Boore DM (1981) Peak horizontal acceleration and velocity from strong-motion records including records from the 1979 Imperial Valley, California, earthquake. Bull Seismol Soc Am 71(6): 2011–2038

    Google Scholar 

  • Joyner WB, Boore DM (1988) Measurement, characterization, and prediction of strong ground motion. In: Proceedings of earthquake engineering & soil dynamics II, Geotechnical Division, ASCE, pp 43–102

  • Joyner WB, Boore DM (1993) Methods for regression analysis of strong-motion data. Bull Seismol Soc Am 83(2): 469–487

    Google Scholar 

  • Joyner WB, Fumal TE (1984) Use of measured shear-wave velocity for predicting geologic site effects on strong ground motion. In: Proceedings of eighth world conference on earthquake engineering vol, III, pp 777–783

  • Joyner WB, Fumal TE (1985) Predictive mapping of earthquake ground motion. In: Evaluating Earthquake Hazards in the Los Angeles Region—An Earth Science Perspective, no. 1360 in U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper, United States Government Printing Office, Washington, pp 203–220

  • Kamiyama M (1984) Effects of subsoil conditions and other factors on the duration of earthquake ground shakings. In: Proceedings of eighth world conference on earthquake engineering, vol, II, pp 793–800

  • Kamiyama M (1995) An attenuation model for the peak values of strong ground motions with emphasis on local soil effects. In: Proceedings of the first international conference on earthquake geotechnical engineering, vol, 1, pp 579–585

  • Kamiyama M, O’Rourke M, Flores-Berrones R (1992) A semi-empirical analysis of strong-motion peaks in terms of seismic source, propagation path and local site conditions. Technical Report, NCEER-92-0023, National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research

  • Kanno T, Narita A, Morikawa N, Fujiwara H, Fukushima Y (2006) A new attenuation relation for strong ground motion in Japan based on recorded data. Bull Seismol Soc Am 96(3): 879–897. doi:10.1785/0120050138

    Google Scholar 

  • Kawashima K, Aizawa K, Takahashi K (1984) Attenuation of peak ground motion and absolute acceleration response spectra. In: Proceedings of eighth world conference on earthquake engineering, vol, II, pp 257–264

  • Kawashima K, Aizawa K, Takahashi K (1986) Attenuation of peak ground acceleration, velocity and displacement based on multiple regression analysis of Japanese strong motion records. Earthq E 14(2): 199–215

    Google Scholar 

  • Kayen RE, Mitchell JK (1997) Assessment of liquefaction potential during earthquakes by Arias intensity. J Geotech Geoenviron E ng, ASCE 123(12): 1162–1175

    Google Scholar 

  • Kempton JJ, Stewart JP (2006) Prediction equations for significant duration of earthquake ground motions considering site and near-source effects. Earthq Spectra 22(4): 985–1013. doi:10.1193/1.2358175

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee CT, Hsieh BS, Sung CH, Lin PS (2012) Regional Arias intensity attenuation relationship for Taiwan considering V S30. Bull Seismol Soc Am 102(1): 129–142. doi:10.1785/0120100268

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee J (2009) Engineering charaterization of earthquake ground motions. PhD thesis, University of Michigan, USA

  • Lee VW, Trifunac MD, Todorovska MI, Novikova EI (1995) Empirical equations describing attenuation of peak of strong ground motion, in terms of magnitude, distance, path effects and site conditions. Technical Report, CE 95-02, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA

  • Liang J, Hao H, Gaull BA, Sinadinovski C (2008) Estimation of strong ground motions in southwest Western Australia with a combined Green’s function and stochastic approach. J Earthq Eng 12(3): 382–405

    Google Scholar 

  • Lin, Lee (2004) Unknown. Original reference not seen. Cited in ‘Attenuation Relationship of Arias Intensity for Taiwan’ by Hsieh, P.-S. (2007)

  • Liu KS, Tsai YB (2005) Attenuation relationships of peak ground acceleration and velocity for crustal earthquakes in Taiwan. Bull Seismol Soc Am 95(3): 1045–1058. doi:10.1785/0120040162

    Google Scholar 

  • Margaris B, Papazachos C, Papaioannou C, Theodulidis N, Kalogeras I, Skarlatoudis A (2002) Ground motion attenuation relations for shallow earthquakes in Greece. In: Proceedings of the XXVIII general assembly of the European seismological commission (ESC)

  • Margaris B, Papazachos C, Papaioannou C, Theodulidis N, Kalogeras I, Skarlatoudis A (2002b) Ground motion attenuation relations for shallow earthquakes in Greece. In: Proceedings of twelfth European conference on earthquake engineering, paper reference 385

  • Massa M, Morasca P, Moratto L, Marzorati S, Costa G, Spallarossa D (2008) Empirical ground-motion prediction equations for northern Italy using weak- and strong-motion amplitudes, frequency content, and duration parameters. Bull Seismol Soc Am 98(3): 1319–1342. doi:10.1785/0120070164

    Google Scholar 

  • McGarr A, Fletcher JB (2005) Development of ground-motion prediction equations relevant to shallow mining-induced seismicity in the Trail Mountain area, Emery County, Utah. Bull Seismol Soc Am 95(1): 31–47. doi:10.1785/0120040046

    Google Scholar 

  • McGuire RK (1977) Seismic design spectra and mapping procedures using hazard analysis based directly on oscillator response. Earthq E 5: 211–234

    Google Scholar 

  • McGuire RK (1978) Seismic ground motion parameter relations. J Geotech E 104(GT4): 481–490

    Google Scholar 

  • McGuire RK, Barnhard TP (1979) The usefulness of ground motion duration in prediction of severity of seismic shaking. In: Proceedings of the second U.S. national conference on earthquake engineering, pp 713–722

  • Megawati K (2007) Hybrid simulations of ground motions from local earthquakes affecting Hong Kong. Bull Seismol Soc Am 97(4): 1293–1307. doi:10.1785/0120060129

    Google Scholar 

  • Megawati K, Pan TC (2010) Ground-motion attenuation relationship for the Sumatran megathrust earthquakes. Earthq E 39: 827–845. doi:10.1002/eqe.967

    Google Scholar 

  • Megawati K, Pan TC, Koketsu K (2003) Response spectral attenuation relationships for Singapore and the Malay peninsula due to distant Sumatran-fault earthquakes. Earthq E 32(14): 2241–2265

    Google Scholar 

  • Megawati K, Pan TC, Koketsu K (2005) Response spectral attenuation relationships for Sumatran-subduction earthquakes and the seismic hazard implications to Singapore and Kuala Lumpur. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 25(1): 11–25

    Google Scholar 

  • Mezcua J, García Blanco RM, Rueda J (2008) On the strong ground motion attenuation in Spain. Bull Seismol Soc Am 98(3): 1343–1353. doi:10.1785/0120070169

    Google Scholar 

  • Midorikawa S (1993) Preliminary analysis for attenuation of ground velocity on stiff site. In: Proceedings of the international workshop on strong motion data, 2:39–48

  • Midorikawa S, Ohtake Y (2004) Variance of peak ground acceleration and velocity in attenuation relationships. In: Proceedings of thirteenth world conference on earthquake engineering, paper no. 0325

  • Molas GL, Yamazaki F (1995) Attenuation of earthquake ground motion in Japan including deep focus events. Bull Seismol Soc Am 85(5): 1343–1358

    Google Scholar 

  • Musson RMW, Cecić I (2002) Macroseismology. In: Lee WHK, Kanamori H, Jennings PC, Kisslinger C (eds) International handbook of earthquake and engineering seismology, vol 81A, Chap. 49. Academic Press, San Diego, pp 807–822

  • Nguyen LM, Lin TL, Wu YM, Huang BS, Chang CH, Huang WG, Le TS, Nguyen QC, Dinh VT (2012) The first peak ground motion attenuation relationships for north of Vietnam. J Asian Earth Sci 43(1): 241–253. doi:10.1016/j.jseaes.2011.09.012

    Google Scholar 

  • Niazi M, Bozorgnia Y (1991) Behaviour of near-source peak horizontal and vertical ground motions over SMART-1 array, Taiwan. Bull Seismol Soc Am 81(3): 715–732

    Google Scholar 

  • Nuttli OW, Herrmann RB (1987) Ground motion relations for eastern North American earthquakes. In: Proceedings of the third international conference on soil dynamics & earthquake engineering, vol II, pp 231–241

  • Ohno S, Ohta T, Ikeura T, Takemura M (1993) Revision of attenuation formula considering the effect of fault size to evaluate strong motion spectra in near field. Tectonophysics 218: 69–81

    Google Scholar 

  • Ólafsson S, Sigbjörnsson R (1999) A theoretical attenuation model for earthquake-induced ground motion. J Earthq Eng 3(3): 287–315

    Google Scholar 

  • Paciello A, Rinaldis D, Romeo R (2000) Incorporating ground motion parameters related to earthquake damage into seismic hazard analysis. In: Proceedings of the sixth international conference on seismic zonation, pp 321–326

  • Pankow KL, Pechmann JC (2004) The SEA99 ground-motion predictive relations for extensional tectonic regimes: revisions and a new peak ground velocity relation. Bull Seismol Soc Am 94(1): 341–348

    Google Scholar 

  • Pankow KL, Pechmann JC (2006) Erratum: the SEA99 ground-motion predictive relations for extensional tectonic regimes: revisions and a new peak ground velocity relation. Bull Seismol Soc Am 96(1): 364. doi:10.1785/0120050184

    Google Scholar 

  • Paolucci R, Rovelli A, Faccioli E, Cauzzi C, Finazzi D, Vanini M, Di Alessandro C, Calderoni G (2008) On the reliability of long period spectral ordinates from digital accelerograms. Earthq E 37(5): 697–710

    Google Scholar 

  • Pousse G, Bonilla LF, Cotton F, Margerin L (2006) Non stationary stochastic simulation of strong ground motion time histories including natural variability: application to the K-net Japanese database. Bull Seismol Soc Am 96(6): 2103–2117. doi:10.1785/0120050134

    Google Scholar 

  • Power M, Chiou B, Abrahamson N, Bozorgnia Y, Shantz T, Roblee C (2008) An overview of the NGA project. Earthq Spectra 24(1): 3–21. doi:10.1193/1.2894833

    Google Scholar 

  • Rajabi AM, Khamehchiyan M, Mahdavifar MR, Del Gaudio V (2010) Attenuation relation of Arias intensity for Zagros Mountains region (Iran). Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 30: 110–118. doi:10.1016/j.soildyn.2009.09.008

    Google Scholar 

  • Rinaldis D, Berardi R, Theodulidis N, Margaris B (1998) Empirical predictive models based on a joint Italian & Greek strong-motion database: I, peak ground acceleration and velocity. In: Proceedings of eleventh European conference on earthquake engineering

  • Rupakhety R, Sigurdsson SU, Papageorgiou AS, Sigbjörnsson R (2011) Quantification of ground-motion parameters and response spectra in the near-fault region. Bull Earthq Eng 9: 893–930. doi:10.1007/s10518-011-9255-5

    Google Scholar 

  • Sabetta F, Pugliese A (1996) Estimation of response spectra and simulation of nonstationary earthquake ground motions. Bull Seismol Soc Am 86(2): 337–352

    Google Scholar 

  • Sadigh RK, Egan JA (1998) Updated relationships for horizontal peak ground velocity and peak ground displacement for shallow crustal earthquakes. In: Proceedings of the sixth U.S. national conference on earthquake engineering

  • Sarma SK, Srbulov M (1998) A uniform estimation of some basic ground motion parameters. J Earthq Eng 2(2): 267–287

    Google Scholar 

  • Si H, Midorikawa S (1999) New attenuation relationships for peak ground acceleration and velocity considering effects of fault type and site condition. J Struct Construct Eng, AIJ 523:63–70, in Japanese with English abstract

    Google Scholar 

  • Si H, Midorikawa S (2000) New attenuation relations for peak ground acceleration and velocity considering effects of fault type and site condition. In: Proceedings of twelfth world conference on earthquake engineering, paper No. 0532

  • Silva W, Gregor N, Darragh R (2002) Development of regional hard rock attenuation relations for central and eastern North America. Technical report, Pacific Engineering and Analysis

  • Singh RP, Aman A, Prasad YJJ (1996) Attenuation relations for strong seismic ground motion in the Himalayan region. Pure Appl Geophys 147(1): 161–180

    Google Scholar 

  • Snæbjörnsson JT, Sigbjörnsson R (2008) The duration characteristics of earthquake ground motions. In: Proceedings of fourteenth world conference on earthquake engineering

  • Somerville PG (1998) Development of an improved representation of near fault ground motions. In: Proceedings of the SMIP98 seminar on utilization of strong motion data, pp 1–20

  • Stafford PJ, Berrill JB, Pettinga JR (2009) New predictive equations for Arias intensity from crustal earthquakes in New Zealand. J Seismol 13(1): 31–52. doi:10.1007/s10950-008-9114-2

    Google Scholar 

  • Stewart JP, Chiou SJ, Bray JD, Graves RW, Somerville PG, Abrahamson NA (2001) Ground motion evaluation procedures for performance-based design. PEER Report 2001/09, Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center, College of Engineering, University of California, Berkeley, USA

  • Theodulidis N, Lekidis V, Margaris B, Papazachos C, Papaioannou C, Dimitriu P (1998) Seismic hazard assessment and design spectra for the Kozani-Grevena region (Greece) after the earthquake of May 13, 1995. J Geodyn 26(2–4): 375–391

    Google Scholar 

  • Theodulidis NP, Papazachos BC (1992) Dependence of strong ground motion on magnitude-distance, site geology and macroseismic intensity for shallow earthquakes in Greece: I, peak horizontal acceleration, velocity and displacement. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 11: 387–402

    Google Scholar 

  • Toro GR, Silva WJ (2001) Scenario earthquakes for Saint Louis, MO, and Memphis, TN, and seismic hazard maps for the central United States region including the effect of site conditions. Technical report, research supported by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), under award number 1434-HQ-97-GR-02981

  • Travasarou T, Bray JD, Abrahamson NA (2003) Empirical attenuation relationship for Arias intensity. Earthq E 32: 1133–1155. doi:10.1002/eqe.270

    Google Scholar 

  • Trifunac MD (1976) Preliminary analysis of the peaks of strong earthquake ground motion – dependence of peaks on earthquake magnitude, epicentral distance, and recording site conditions. Bull Seismol Soc Am 66(1): 189–219

    Google Scholar 

  • Trifunac MD, Brady AG (1975) On the correlation of peak acceleration of strong motion with earthquake magnitude, epicentral distance and site conditions. In: Proceedings of the U.S. national conference on earthquake engineering, pp 43–52

  • Trifunac MD, Brady AG (1975) A study on the duration of strong earthquake ground motion. Bull Seismol Soc Am 65(3): 581–626

    Google Scholar 

  • Trifunac MD, Brady AG (1976) Correlations of peak acceleration, velocity and displacement with earthquake magnitude, distance and site conditions. Earthq E 4(5): 455–471

    Google Scholar 

  • Tromans I (2004) Behaviour of buried water supply pipelines in earthquake zones. PhD thesis, University of London

  • Tromans IJ, Bommer JJ (2002) The attenuation of strong-motion peaks in Europe. In: Proceedings of twelfth European conference on earthquake engineering, paper no. 394

  • Wald DJ, Worden BC, Quitoriano V, Pankow KL (2005) ShakeMap manual. Technical Manual, users guide, and software guide Version 1.0, USGS Techniques and Methods 12-A1, http://pubs.usgs.gov/tm/2005/12A01/

  • Wilson RC (1993) Relation of Arias intensity to magnitude and distance in California. Open-File Report 93-556, US Geological Survey, Menlo Park, California, USA

  • Wilson RC, Keefer DK (1985) Predicting areal limits of earthquake-induced landsliding. In: Professional Paper, 1360, US Geological Survey, pp 317–345

  • Wu YM, Shin TC, Chang CH (2001) Near real-time mapping of peak ground acceleration and peak ground velocity following a strong earthquake. Bull Seismol Soc Am 91(5): 1218–1228

    Google Scholar 

  • Yaghmaei-Sabegh S, Shoghian Z, Sheikh MN (2012) A new model for the prediction of earthquake ground-motion duration in Iran. Natural Hazards, doi:10.1007/s11069-011-9990-6 (in press)

  • Zonno G, Montaldo V (2002) Analysis of strong ground motions to evaluate regional attenuation relationships. Ann Geophys 45(3–4): 439–454

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. RIS/RSI, BRGM, 3 avenue Claude-Guillemin, BP 36009, 45060, Orléans Cedex 2, France

    John Douglas

  2. Earthquake Engineering Research Centre, University of Iceland, Austurvegur 2A, 800, Selfoss, Iceland

    John Douglas

Authors
  1. John Douglas
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to John Douglas.

Electronic Supplementary Material

The Below is the Electronic Supplementary Material.

ESM 1 (pdf 74 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Douglas, J. Consistency of ground-motion predictions from the past four decades: peak ground velocity and displacement, Arias intensity and relative significant duration. Bull Earthquake Eng 10, 1339–1356 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-012-9359-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-012-9359-6

Keywords

Search

Navigation