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Optimal design of multi-echelon supply chain networks under normally distributed demand

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Abstract

This paper addresses the optimal design of a multiproduct, multi-echelon supply network under uncertainty of demand. The network consists of multiproduct production sites, warehouses and distribution centers and decisions about the selection of facilities and their capacity are taken. Furthermore, information about the flows of products transferred and the safety stock at each distribution center is derived. The lead time of an order to a customer is computed, using the probabilities of overstocking and understocking. All these decisions are incorporated into a single period mixed integer non-linear programming problem (MINLP) which minimizes cost. Linearization techniques for selected highly non-linear terms of the models are explored in order to reduce the computational effort for the solution of the model. Finally, a sensitivity analysis is performed by changing product demand parameters and assessing their effect on the supply chain structure.

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Abbreviations

i :

Product

i′:

Product out of stock

i″:

Product overstocked

j :

Plant

m :

Warehouse

k :

Distribution center

l :

Customer

l′:

Customer facing stockout

l″:

Customer with satisfied demand

s :

Scenario for stochastic demand

I :

Set for products

L :

Set for customers

SO :

Stockout set

OVS :

Overstocking set

V :

Set for all pairs (i,l)

NDPS :

Number of Normal Distribution parameter scenarios

α im :

Coefficient relating capacity of product i at warehouse m

β ik :

Coefficient relating capacity of product i at warehouse k

μ il :

Mean demand of product i from customer l

σ il :

Standard deviation of product i from customer l

\(W_{m}^{U}\) :

Upper bound of capacity of warehouse m

\(\mathit{DC}_{k}^{U}\) :

Upper bound of capacity of distribution center k

\(P_{ij}^{U}\) :

Upper bound for production capacity of plant j for product i

\(P_{ij}^{L}\) :

Lower bound for production capacity of plant j for product i

\(Q_{ijm}^{U}\) :

Upper bound of flow of product transferred from plant j to warehouse m

\(Q_{ijm}^{L}\) :

Lower bound of flow of product i transferred from plant j to warehouse m

\(Q_{mk}^{U}\) :

Upper bound of total flow of products transferred from warehouse m to distribution center k

\(Q_{mk}^{L}\) :

Lower bound of total flow of products transferred from warehouse m to distribution center k

\(Q_{kl}^{U}\) :

Upper bound of total flow of products transferred from distribution center k to customer l

\(Q_{kl}^{L}\) :

Lower bound of total flow of products transferred from distribution center k to customer l

T U :

Time of delivery of a product in case of a stockout

\(\mathit{ELT}_{il}^{U}\) :

Upper bound of expected lead time of delivering product i to customer l

T L :

Time of delivery of a product in case of service level a

\(\bar{K}_{ikl}\) :

Auxiliary parameter

\(\bar{Z}_{ikl}\) :

Auxiliary parameter

\(\bar{H}_{ikl}\) :

Auxiliary parameter

n :

Number of replenishments

C(n):

Cost function in respect to replenishments (n)

\(C_{m}^{W}\) :

Fixed installation cost of warehouse m

\(C_{k}^{\mathit{DC}}\) :

Fixed installation cost of distribution center k

\(C_{ij}^{PR}\) :

Production cost of product i at production site j

\(C_{im}^{WH}\) :

Handling cost of product i at warehouse m

\(C_{ik}^{\mathit{DCH}}\) :

Handling cost of product i at distribution center k

F k :

Fixed ordering cost of an order made from the supplier to distribution center k

g k :

Fixed transportation cost of an order arriving at distribution center k

h :

Working inventory cost

χ :

Days per year for converting daily costs to annual

alp ik :

Unit transportation cost of product i from the supplier to distribution center k

\(\hat{d}_{ikl}\) :

Unit transportation cost of product i shipped from distribution center k to customer l

P ij :

Production capacity of plant j for product i

Q ijm :

Flow of product i transferred from plant j to warehouse m

Q imk :

Flow of product i transferred from warehouse m to distribution center k

Q ikl :

Flow of product i transferred from distribution center k to customer l

QT il :

Total flow of product i delivered to customer l

\(Q_{il}^{ -}\) :

Quantity of product i that is less or equal than the mean demand from customer l

\(Q_{il}^{ +}\) :

Quantity of product i that is greater than the mean demand from customer l

I ikl :

Safety stock of product i at distribution center k for customer l

\(P_{il}^{1}\) :

Probability of having a stockout of product i for customer l

\(P_{il}^{2}\) :

Probability of overstocking of product i for customer l

za il :

Standard normal deviate such that the overstocking of product i for customer l is guaranteed with probability P(z<z a )=a

ELT il :

Expected lead time of delivering product i to customer l

TC :

Total cost

ELT1 ikl :

Auxiliary variable

ELT2 ikl :

Auxiliary variable

Y m :

1 if warehouse m is selected, 0 otherwise

Y k :

1 if distribution center k is selected, 0 otherwise

X mk :

1 if the connection between warehouse m and distribution center k exists, 0 otherwise

X kl :

1 if the connection between distribution center k and customer l exists, 0 otherwise

ζ il :

1 if product i demanded by customer l is out of stock, 0 otherwise

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Correspondence to Konstantinos Petridis.

Appendix

Appendix

Proposition

The total, ordering, transportation, working inventory and replenishment cost is presented with the following term:

$$\sum_{i} \sum_{k} \biggl( \mathit{alp}_{ik} \cdot \sum_{l} \chi \cdot \mu_{il} \cdot X_{kl} \biggr) + \sum _{k} \sum_{l} \sqrt{2h \cdot ( F_{k} + g_{k} ) \cdot X_{kl} \cdot \sum _{i} ( \chi \cdot \mu_{il} )} $$

Proof

Due to the normally distributed demand, the handling cost of the inventory kept at a distribution center is represented by a (Q, r) policy, while orders can be expressed with the EOQ model. Transportation, inventory and working costs are given by the following mathematical type (Shen et al. 2003):

$$ F \cdot n + \biggl( g + \mathit{alp} \cdot \frac{D}{n} \biggr) \cdot n + h \cdot \frac{D}{2 \cdot n} $$
(A.1)

The first term refers to the standard total ordering cost per year (Fn), the second term refers to the annual transportation cost \(( g + \mathit{alp} \cdot \frac{D}{n} ) \cdot n\) and the third term refers to the annual inventory cost (\(h \cdot \frac{D}{2 \cdot n}\)). If a cost function is considered with respect to n (number of replenishments), the following function:

$$ C(n) = F \cdot n + \biggl( g + \mathit{alp} \cdot \frac{D}{n} \biggr) \cdot n + h \cdot \frac{D}{2 \cdot n} $$
(A.2)

Setting the first derivative of the cost function equal to zero (C′(n)=0) in order to obtain a minimum for this function, the following equation occurs:

$$ F + g - \frac{D \cdot h}{2 \cdot n^{2}} = 0 $$
(A.3)

In order to obtain the critical point, the above equation is solved with respect to n. This yields the following:

$$ n^* = \sqrt{\frac{D \cdot h}{2 \cdot (F + g)}} $$
(A.4)

The second derivative of cost function is:

$$ C'' ( n ) = \frac{D \cdot h}{2 \cdot n^{3}} $$
(A.5)

In order to test whether n is the minimum of cost function, it is substituted in the second derivative. The following derives from the substitution:

$$ C'' \bigl( n^* \bigr) = \frac{D \cdot h}{2 \cdot ( \sqrt{\frac{D \cdot h}{2 \cdot (F + g)}} )^{3}} > 0 $$
(A.6)

Based on second order derivative theorem for univariate functions, n is the minimum of cost function C(n) whereas substituting n , the minimum cost is obtained by the following:

$$ \mathit{alp} \cdot D + \sqrt{2 \cdot h \cdot (F + g) \cdot D} $$
(A.7)

In term (A.7), corresponding to the minimum cost of C(n), demand is further analyzed by the product of annual mean demand of product i from customer l with the binary variable X kl which refers to the connection of distribution center k with customer l. Thus, the total ordering, transportation, working inventory and replenishment cost after applying indices, the following desired term is formulated:

$$\sum_{i} \sum_{k} \biggl( \mathit{alp}_{ik} \cdot \sum_{l} \chi \cdot \mu_{il} \cdot X_{kl} \biggr) + \sum _{k} \sum_{l} \sqrt{2h \cdot ( F_{k} + g_{k} ) \cdot X_{kl} \cdot \sum _{i} ( \chi \cdot \mu_{il} )} $$

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Petridis, K. Optimal design of multi-echelon supply chain networks under normally distributed demand. Ann Oper Res 227, 63–91 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-013-1420-6

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