Skip to main content
Log in

Modeling heavy-tailed, skewed and peaked uncertainty phenomena with bounded support

  • Published:
Statistical Methods & Applications Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A prevalence of heavy-tailed, peaked and skewed uncertainty phenomena have been cited in literature dealing with economic, physics, and engineering data. This fact has invigorated the search for continuous distributions of this nature. In this paper we shall generalize the two-sided framework presented in Kotz and van Dorp (Beyond beta: other continuous families of distributions with bounded support and applications. World Scientific Press, Singapore, 2004) for the construction of families of distributions with bounded support via a mixture technique utilizing two generating densities instead of one. The family of Elevated Two-Sided Power (ETSP) distributions is studied as an instance of this generalized framework. Through a moment ratio diagram comparison, we demonstrate that the ETSP family allows for a remarkable flexibility when modeling heavy-tailed and peaked, but skewed, uncertainty phenomena. We shall demonstrate its applicability via an illustrative example utilizing 2008 US income data.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aban IB, Meerschaert MM, Panorska AK (2006) Parameter estimation for the truncated Pareto distribution. J Am Stat Assoc 101(473): 270–277

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Adler R, Feldman R, Taqqu M (1998) A practical guide to heavy tails. Birkhäuser, Boston

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Arnold BC (1983) Pareto distributions. International Cooperative Publishing House, Fairland

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Barkai E, Metzler R, Klafter J (2000) From continuous time random walks to the fractional Fokker-Planck equation. Phys Rev E61: 132–138

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Barsky R, Bound J, Kerwin KC, Lupton JP (2002) Accounting for the black-white wealth gap: a nonparametric approach. J Am Stat Assoc 97(459): 663–673

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Clementi F, Gallegatib M (2005) Power law tails in the Italian personal income distribution. Phys A Stat Mech Appl 350(2–4): 427–438

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Coelho R, Richmond P, Barrya J, Hutzlera S (2008) Double power laws in income and wealth distributions. Phys A Stat Mech Appl 387(15): 3847–3851

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Douglas EM, Barros AP (2003) Probable maximum precipitation estimation using multifractals: application in the Eastern United States. J Hydrometeorol 4(6): 1012–1024

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Elderton WP, Johnson NL (1969) Systems of frequency curves. Cambridge University Press, London

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Embrechts P, Klüppelberg C, Mikosch T (1997) Modelling extremal events for insurance and finance. Springer, Berlin

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Fernandez C, Steel MFJ (1998) On Bayesian modeling of fat tails and skewness. J Am Stat Assoc 93: 359–371

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Gomez HW, Torres FJ, Bolfarine H (2007) Large-sample inference for the epsilon-skew-distribution. Commun Stat Theory Methods 36: 73–81

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Hahn ED (2008) Mixture densities for project management activity times: a robust approach to PERT. Eur J Oper Res 188: 450–459

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Herrerías-Velasco JM, Herrerías-Pleguezuelo R, van Dorp JR (2008) The generalized two-sided power distribution. J Appl Stat 36(5): 573–587

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kleiber C, Kotz S (2003) Statistical size distributions in economics and actuarial sciences. Wiley, Hoboken

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kotz S, Johnson NL (1985) Moment ratio diagrams, In: Encyclopedia of statistical sciences, vol 5. Wiley, New York

  • Kotz S, Kozubowski TJ, Podgórski K (2001) The Laplace distribution and generalizations. Birkhäuser, Boston

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kotz S, van Dorp JR (2004) Beyond beta: other continuous families of distributions with bounded support and applications. World Scientific Press, Singapore

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Kotz S, van Dorp JR (2005) A link between two-sided power and asymmetric laplace distributions: with applications to mean and variance approximations. Stat Probabil Lett 71: 382–394

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Lévy P (1925) Calcul des probabilitiés, 2nd part, Chap. VI. Gauthier-Villars, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Levy H, Duchin R (2004) Asset return distribution and the investment horizon, explaining contradictions. J Portfolio Manage 30(3): 47–62

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lu SL, Molz FJ (2001) How well are hydraulic conductivity variations approximated by additive stable processes?. Adv Environ Res 5(1): 39–45

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McFall Lamm Jr R (2003) Asymmetric returns and optimal hedge fund portfolios. J Alternat Invest, pp 9–21

  • McCulloch J (1996) Financial applications of stable distributions. In: Madfala G, Rao CR (eds) Statistical methods in finance. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp 393–425

    Google Scholar 

  • Miyazima S, Yamamoto K (2006) Power-law behaviors in high income distribution. Pract Fruits Econophys 5: 344–348

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nagahara Y (1999) The PDF and CDF of Pearson Type IV distributions and the ML estimation of the parameters. Stat Probabil Lett 43: 251–264

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Pareto V (1964) Cours d’Économie Politique: Nouvelle édition par G.-H. Bousquet et G. Busino. Librairie Droz, Geneva 299–345

  • Press WH, Flannery BP, Teukolsky SA, Vettering WT (1989) Numerical recipes in pascal. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Resnick S (1997) Heavy tail modeling and teletraffic data. Ann Stat 25: 1805–1869

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Samorodnitsky G, Taqqu M (2004) Stable non-Gaussian random processes. Chapman & Hall, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Sarabia JM (2008) Parametric Lorenz curves: models and applications, Modeling Income Distributions and Lorenz Curves. Economic studies in inequality. In: Chotikapanich D (eds) Social exclusion and well-being vol 4. Springer, Berlin, pp 167–190

    Google Scholar 

  • Singh A, van Dorp JR, Mazzuchi TA (2007) A novel assymetric distribution with power tails. Commun Stat Theory Methods 36(2): 235–252

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Solomon S, Levy M (2000) Market ecology, Pareto wealth distribution and leptokurtic returns in microscopic simulation of the LLS stock market model. In: Proceedings of complex behavior in economics, Aix en Provence (Marseille), France, May 4–6

  • Stuart A, Ord JK (1994) Kendall’s advanced theory of statistics. Wiley, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Van Dorp JR, Kotz S (2002) The standard two sided power distribution and its properties: with applications in financial engineering. Am Stat 56(2): 90–99

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Van Dorp JR, Kotz S (2003) Generalizations of two-sided power distributions and their convolution. Commun Stat Theory Methods 32(9): 1703–1723

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Zabell SL (2008) On Student’s 1908 Article “The Probable Error of a Mean”. J Am Stat Assoc 103(481): 1–7

    Article  MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to J. R. van Dorp.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

García, C.B., García Pérez, J. & van Dorp, J.R. Modeling heavy-tailed, skewed and peaked uncertainty phenomena with bounded support. Stat Methods Appl 20, 463–486 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-011-0173-0

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10260-011-0173-0

Keywords

Navigation