Abstract
This paper analyzes the impact of incompetence and corruption in procurements. The government conducts a procurement auction where a firm that quotes the lowest bid wins the contract to construct a public good (subject to the fulfillment of the minimum quality requirement). Incompetence leads to measurement errors. There is also corruption in the system: if the measured quality falls short of the minimum stipulated level, the firm can pay a bribe to inflate the reported quality. We show that higher levels of corruption parameters unambiguously reduce the actual quality produced and the expected welfare. The effects of greater incompetence are more complicated. We show greater incompetence may lead to an increase in both equilibrium quality and welfare. This is counter-intuitive and goes against conventional wisdom. We also demonstrate that the winning firm chooses a quality that is strictly lower than the welfare-maximizing quality.
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Notes
See \({<}{<}\)https://www.oecd.org/gov/public-procurement/\({>}{>}\).
While we realise that in real life incompetence has several dimensions, in this paper we restrict attention to one specific aspect of incompetence: inability to judge quality properly (measurement errors).
On August 14, 2018, a bridge collapsed in Italy where there is a suspicion on the quality of the structure, which resulted in fatalities. See \({<}{<}\)https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/14/world/europe/italy-genoa-bridge-collapse.html\({>}{>}\)
To assess a health project in Orissa (a state in India), civil engineers visited 55 project hospitals and found that 93 percent of them had major problems: severely leaking roofs; crumbling ceilings; molding walls; and nonfunctional water, sewage, or electrical systems financed under the project. Yet, the construction management consultants who supervised the work, certified that 38 of these hospitals were complete and in line with project specifications. See \({<}{<}\)https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/chapter-one_-results-not-receipts-9781933286990.pdf\({>}{>}\)
The ‘National Employability Report for Engineers 2019’ put out by a job assessment platform Aspiring Minds, has shown that over 80% of engineers in India are unfit to take up any job in the knowledge economy. See \({<}{<}\)https://www.businessinsider.in/engineers-in-india-lack-the-right-job-skills-including-artificial-intelligence-and-machine-learning-report/articleshow/68516807.cms\({>}{>}\)
Amidst the tens of thousands of management graduates churned out by the 5,500 Business schools in India, only 7 per cent turn out to be employable, says a study conducted by ASSOCHAM. See \({<}{<}\)https://www.indiatoday.in/education-today/featurephilia/story/mba-education-problems-328626-2016-07-11\({>}{>}\)
In fact, Alali (2019) argues that incompetence and corruption mean the same thing to our tax dollars. To taxpayer finances, a $1 million loss due to corruption is equivalent to $1 million loss due to incompetence.
See the following: https://www.usnews.com/news/best-countries/slideshows/top-10-countries-with-a-skilled-labor-force-ranked-by-perceptionhttps://www.weforum.org/agenda/2019/02/least-corrupt-countries-transparency-international-2018/https://www.usnews.com/news/best-countries/slideshows/top-10-countries-for-technological-expertise-ranked-by-perception?slide=9.
See \({<}{<}\)https://freepolicybriefs.org/2019/12/02/buyer-competence-and-procurement-renegotiations/\({>}{>}\)
Section 3.4 provides the details of expected welfare.
See Krishna (2010).
Burati et al. (1992) showed that deviation in quality checks accounts for an average of 12.4% of the total project costs.
The validity of any biomedical study is potentially affected by measurement error or misclassification. It can affect different variables included in a statistical analysis, such as the exposure, the outcome, and can result in an overestimation as well as in an underestimation of the relation under investigation (see Groenwold and Dekkers 2020). In an interesting exercise, De Los Reyes (2011) showed that discrepancies in the reports of child and adolescent psychopathology and related constructs can help better understand the causes and treatments for child and adolescent psychopathology.
Marjit et al. (2000) analyse a scenario where a supervisor is in charge of enforcing a law. If a criminal is apprehended, the law-enforcing agent may not report and accept a bribe, or may report and receive a reward. But, in either case, the enforcing agent has an incentive to pamper crime. In a complete information case, such equilibrium is likely to be the outcome and crime cannot be controlled. The paper shows that the law enforcer, having incomplete information about the type of a criminal, may take certain actions that will prevent crime to some extent. That is, a relatively ‘less-informed’ law-enforcing official may be better better at preventing a crime.
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The authors are deeply indebted to Sangeeta Bansal, Sugato Dasgupta, Arunava Sen and Uday Bhanu Sinha for their comments. The authors would also like to express their profound gratitude to Amihai Glazer for a set of excellent and thoughtful comments. Some of the results of this paper are based on chapter 2 in the unpublished Ph.D dissertation of Jain (2021).
Appendix
Appendix
Proof of Proposition 1
Note that from the first order condition (5) we get
Write the above equation as \(J\left( q;\theta ,k,\varepsilon \right) =0\). That is,
Note that
(i) Note that we get the optimal quality, \(q^{*}\), by solving \(J\left( q;\theta ,k,\varepsilon \right) =0\) (see 13). Using implicit function theorem, we get
Since \(J_{q}<0\), \(\frac{\partial q^{*}}{\partial \theta }\) has the same sign as \(J_{\theta }\). Now, since \(c_{q\theta }\left( .\right) \ge 0\) (assumption 1), we have the following.
Hence, \(\frac{\partial q^{*}}{\partial \theta }\le 0\). Note the following.
Consequently, using a similar logic as above we get that \(\frac{\partial q^{*}}{\partial \alpha },\ \frac{\partial q^{*}}{\partial \beta }<0\).
(ii) Note that
Now,
Hence, \(\frac{\partial q^{*}}{\partial k}>0\).
(iii) Note that since \(J_{q}<0\), \(\frac{\partial q^{*}}{\partial \varepsilon }\) has the same sign as \(J_{\varepsilon }\). Now,
Using \(J\left( q;\theta ,k,\varepsilon \right) =0\) (from (13)) we get \(\left( q-\varepsilon \right) =\frac{k}{\left[ 1+2\varepsilon \left( \alpha +\beta \varepsilon \right) c_{q}(q,\theta )\right] }\). Hence,
Note that since \(\alpha >0\), when k is small enough, the term, \(2kc_{q}(q,\theta )\left[ \alpha +2\varepsilon \beta \right]\), will be small enough. This implies \(\left[ 1+2\varepsilon \left( \alpha +\beta \varepsilon \right) c_{q}(q,\theta )\right] ^{2}-2kc_{q}(q,\theta )\left[ \alpha +2\varepsilon \beta \right] >0\). Consequently, using (14) we get that for small enough k, \(J_{\varepsilon }\left( .\right) >0\). Hence, \(\frac{ \partial q^{*}}{\partial \varepsilon }>0\).
(iv) Since \(\beta \ge 0\), from (14) we get
Note that \(\alpha >0\), \(q_{k}^{*}>0\) and \(c_{qq}\left( .\right) \ge 0\). Hence, if \(\varepsilon\) is small enough and k is large enough, \(\left[ 1+2\varepsilon \left( \alpha +\beta \varepsilon \right) c_{q}(q,\theta ) \right] ^{2}-2kc_{q}(q,\theta )\alpha <0\). Consequently, using (15) we get that if \(\varepsilon\) small enough and k is large enough then \(J_{\varepsilon }\left( .\right) <0\). Hence, \(\frac{\partial q^{*}}{ \partial \varepsilon }<0\).\(\square\)
Proof of Proposition 2
Note that
Note that
Differentiating \(p(\theta )\) w.r.t. \(\theta\) we get
From (7) we know that at \(q^{*}\left( \theta \right)\) we have
And, from (16) we have
Using the above two in (17) we get
Thus, \(p^{\prime }(\theta )>0\). Let firms 2, 3, ...n adopt the strategy p(.) given as above. Note that \(p(\theta _{j})\in [p(\underline{ \theta }),p({\overline{\theta }})]\), \(\forall j\ne 1\). Firm 1’s type is \(\theta _{1}=\theta\) and let it choose \(p_{1}=p\left( z\right)\). Firm 1 will win if and only if \(p(z)<min\left\{ p(\theta _{2}),p(\theta _{3}).....,p(\theta _{n})\right\}\). Since \(p^{\prime }(.)>0\), firm 1 wins iff \(z<min\left\{ \theta _{2},\theta _{3.}....,\theta _{n}\right\}\). Probability that 1 wins is therefore \((1-F(z))^{n-1}\). Firm 1’s expected payoff when other firms are following the above mentioned strategy is as follows.
Note that \(\left( c(q^{*}\left( \theta \right) ,\theta )+\int _{q^{*}\left( \theta \right) -\varepsilon }^{k}\frac{1}{\left( \alpha +\beta \varepsilon \right) }\left( \frac{k}{T}-1\right) \frac{1}{2\varepsilon } dT\right)\) is the actual expected cost of type \(\theta\) (incurred in stages 2 and 3). p(z) is the price quoted by type \(\theta\) when it is mimicking type z.
Also note the following.
Hence,
Now,
Now, using (18) we get
Using the above in (20) we have
From (21) we know that since \((n-1)(1-F(z))^{n-2}f(z)>0\), \(\frac{\partial }{ \partial z}\left[ \Pi _{1}(\theta ,z)\right]\) has the same sign as \(\left[ \left\{ p\left( \theta \right) -I\left( \theta \right) \right\} -\left\{ p\left( z\right) -I\left( z\right) \right\} \right]\). Let
For any given \(\theta\), we have
Using (24) in (23) we get that
That is, for any given \(\theta\), \(X\left( .\right)\) is strictly decreasing in z. From (22) we get that
(25) and (26) together mean that
Hence, since \(\frac{\partial }{\partial z}\left[ \Pi _{1}(\theta ,z)\right]\) has the same sign as X we have
Thus, \(\Pi _{1}(\theta ,z)\) achieves its maximum value at \(z=\theta\). That is, \(\Pi _{1}(\theta ,\theta )>\Pi _{1}(\theta ,z)\) for all \(z\ne \theta\). This means that when all other firms choose \(p\left( .\right)\), for firm 1 whose type is \(\theta\), is better off by quoting a price \(p(\theta )\) than quoting any other price p(z) where \(z\ne \theta\). Consequently, the given strategy profile is a Bayesian Nash equilibrium.\(\square\)
Proof of Proposition 3
From (7) we get that for the winner with type \(\theta\), the optimal quality, \(q^{*}\left( \theta ,\alpha ,\beta ,k\right)\) chosen is s.t
Now note that
Note that \(q^{*}\in \left( {\underline{q}},k+\varepsilon \right]\) (see remark 6 in section 3). Also note that \(\left( \frac{q^{*}-\varepsilon -k }{q^{*}-\varepsilon }\right)\) is strictly increasing in \(q^{*}\). So we get that
Since \(v_{qq}\le 0\) (assumption 2)and \(q^{*}\in \left( {\underline{q}},k+\varepsilon \right)\) (see remark 6 in section 3) we have the following.
Using (27), (28) and (29) we get the following.
Thus,
From (11) we know that
Since \(EW_{q}\left( q^{*}\right) >0\) (see 32), \(EW_{q}\left( q_{w}^{*}\right) =0\) (see (33)) and \(EW_{qq}<0\) (see 10)), we have \(\forall \theta \in \left[ {\underline{\theta }},{\bar{\theta }}\right]\), \(q^{*}<q_{w}^{*}\). \(\square\)
Proof of Proposition 4
Note that the expected equilibrium welfare is given as follows (from (12)):
(i) Now
Note that we have
Using (30) we have \(\forall \theta \in \left[ {\underline{\theta }},\bar{\theta }\right] ,\ v_{q}\left( q^{*}\right) -c_{q}\left( q^{*},\theta \right) >0\). From proposition 1(ii) we know that \(q_{k}^{*}>0\). Hence, using (34) we get \(\frac{\partial EW\left( q^{*}\right) }{\partial k}>0\).
(ii) Note that from Proposition 1(i) we also know that \(q_{\alpha }^{*}<0\) and \(q_{\beta }^{*}<0\). Using a similar logic as above we get that \(\frac{\partial EW\left( q^{*}\right) }{\partial \alpha }<0\) and \(\frac{ \partial EW\left( q^{*}\right) }{\partial \beta }<0.\)
(iii) Now
From Proposition 1 (iii) we know that if k is small enough, then \(q_{\varepsilon }^{*}>0\). Using a logic similar as above, and using (30) and (35) we get that if k is small enough, \(\frac{\partial EW\left( q^{*}\right) }{\partial \varepsilon }>0\).
(iv) From Proposition 1(iv) we know that if \(\varepsilon\) is small enough and k is large enough, then \(q_{\varepsilon }^{*}<0\). Again, using a similar logic as above, we get that if \(\varepsilon\) small enough and k is large enough, then \(\frac{\partial EW\left( q^{*}\right) }{\partial \varepsilon }<0\). \(\square\)
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Dastidar, K.G., Jain, S. Incompetence and corruption in procurement auctions. Econ Gov 24, 421–451 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10101-023-00296-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10101-023-00296-3