Study selection and characteristics of included studies
In total, 1097 unique records were selected for full text screening based on their title and abstract. Following eligibility assessments, data from 100 publications were extracted. A total of 32 studies (reported in 32 publications) included annual incidence and/or prevalence data only; 46 studies (reported in 65 publications) included EGPA-associated morbidity and/or HCRU data only; 3 studies (reported in 3 publications) contained both annual incidence and/or prevalence data and EGPA-associated morbidity and/or HCRU data (Fig. 1). Most (n = 22) of the 35 included studies that reported incidence and prevalence data were retrospective observational studies; 9 were prospective cohort studies, and 4 were cross-sectional studies (Supplementary Table 4). The majority of incidence/prevalence studies were from Europe (n = 23), with 3 conducted in the USA; 4 conducted in multiple countries; and the remaining 5 studies conducted in Israel, Turkey, Australia, and Japan (Supplementary Table 4).
Of the 35 studies reporting incidence and prevalence data, 16 were included in the incidence analysis, providing 19 datapoints for different countries and time periods. Of the 19 excluded studies, 10 reported only prevalence data, and 9 studies reported incidence estimates from a data source used by one of the 16 included studies, but at earlier time points. A total of 13 studies were included in the prevalence analysis, 9 of which were included in the meta-analyses of period prevalence and four of which were included in the meta-analyses of point prevalence. Of the 22 excluded studies, 17 reported incidence data only, one was a prescription event monitoring study not considered representative of the general population, and four reported either a range in prevalence or prevalence estimates without details of the catchment population size.
We also observed significant evidence of between-study heterogeneity for reported incidence and prevalence estimates. The I2 values for incidence estimates were 66.05% (p = 0.0016) globally and 71.23% (p = 0.0013) in Europe. Global and European prevalence estimates were associated with I2 values of 90.56% (p = 0.0006) and 81.76% (p = 0.0001), respectively. We observed substantial heterogeneity in the criteria/nomenclature used to diagnose EGPA. In total, 13 out of 35 studies used single diagnostic criteria (ACR 1990: n = 7; CHCC 1994/2012: n = 5; ICD-10: n = 1). Ten studies used more than one criteria/nomenclature, most of which consisted of a combination of the ACR 1990 criteria and CHCC 1994 or 2012 nomenclature. Five studies reported using the EMEA 2007 algorithm. Finally, 7 studies did not report specifics regarding diagnostic criteria (Supplementary Table 4).
Among the 49 studies that presented data on EGPA-related morbidity and HCRU, 39 were retrospective studies. In addition, 4 were a hybrid of retrospective and prospective design, 2 were cross-sectional or cross-sectional/prospective studies, and 4 were prospective studies. The sample sizes of the included studies were generally small (consistent with the rare nature of the disease), with 41 studies having a patient sample size ≤ 50 (Supplementary Table 5). According to the risk-of-bias assessment, most (n = 36) studies reported appropriate recruitment methodologies (as per the Joanna Briggs Institute Prevalence Critical Appraisal Tool guidance [12]). However, only 14 studies described the patients and study settings in an appropriate level of detail, 18 studies reported appropriate statistical analysis methodology, and only 2 studies identified and accounted for confounding factors (Supplementary Table 6).
Incidence of EGPA
In Europe, EGPA incidence was lowest in Barcelona, Spain (0.18 cases per million person-years), and highest in Norway (2.50 cases per million person-years) (Fig. 2). Among other (non-European) studies, incidence was lowest in Turkey (0.80 cases per million person-years) and highest in the USA (4.00 cases per million person-years). There were no strong trends in incidence by sex; the annual incidence reported for male populations ranged from 0.6 cases per million person-years to 7.0 cases per million person-years, whilst the incidence in female subgroups ranged from 0.9 to 3.1 cases per million person-years. No strong trends in incidence over time, by country/region, or by diagnostic criteria were observed.
The global pooled estimate of EGPA incidence was 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.93, 1.60) cases per million person-years (Fig. 2), similar to the pooled estimate for Europe (1.07 cases per million person-years; 95% CI: 0.94, 1.35; Fig. 2). Incidence of EGPA in non-European countries ranged from 0.18 to 4.00 cases per million person-years.
Prevalence of EGPA
The global prevalence of EGPA ranged from 2.0 cases per million individuals in Germany to 30.4 cases per million individuals in Norway (Fig. 3). There were no strong trends in prevalence by sex; estimates ranged from 1.6 to 14 cases per million individuals for men and 6 to 14 cases per million individuals for women. No strong trends in prevalence over time, by country/region, or by diagnostic criteria were observed. The pooled estimate for EGPA prevalence (95% CI) was 15.27 (11.89, 19.61) cases per million individuals globally and 12.13 (6.98, 21.06) cases per million individuals in Europe (Fig. 3).
Period prevalence estimates (based on the entire time period of a given study) were reported in 9 out of the 13 studies with prevalence data. Point prevalence estimates (based on a single time point within a study) were reported in 4 studies; only 2 of these reported European data. Period prevalence estimates (95% CI) were 14.09 (10.47, 18.97) cases per million individuals globally and 9.54 (5.12, 17.78) cases per million individuals in Europe. Global and European point prevalence estimates (95% CI) were 21.18 (12.89, 34.79) and 27.76 (17.34, 44.44) cases per million individuals, respectively.
EGPA-associated morbidity
A total of 45 studies reported morbidity data. From these, the percentage of patients with relapsed disease (typically defined as the new onset of clinical signs and symptoms attributable to active vasculitis) ranged from 6.1% (median 20 months of follow-up) to 81.1% (median 6 years of follow-up), with 18 of the 45 studies reporting relapse in ≥ 40% of patients. Among the 3 studies reporting the proportion of patients with refractory EGPA, estimates ranged from 2.3 to 20%.
Among the 20 studies reporting the occurrence of NP, 23–100% of patients with EGPA had NP, with 13 studies reporting NP in 40–60% of patients. The proportion of patients with severe asthma was reported in 18 studies, 5 of which defined asthma using GINA guidelines. According to these studies, 10–100% of patients with EGPA had severe asthma, with 11 studies reporting severe asthma in > 65% of patients.
EGPA-associated HCRU
Three large claims database studies and three medical records studies reported EGPA-related HCRU. Among these, one study including data from two claims databases (reporting from 1 October 2015 to 31 December 2016 and 1 October 2015 to 31 March 2017) found that 25.1–33% of patients had an ED visit and 16.9–20.1% of patients had an inpatient admission. This same database study reported that 95% of patients had physician visits, 68% had hospital-based outpatient visits, and 99% had outpatient pharmacy prescriptions from 1 October 2015 to 31 March 2017. Another database study found that at 12 months post-index, 73% of patients had ambulatory visits, 42% had ED visits, and 29% had inpatient stays. Only 2 studies reported hospitalisations; one found that 42% of patients had an unscheduled hospital admission (from July 2010 to March 2013), and 1 study reported a median (range) of 1 (0–6) hospitalisation and 1 (0–12) ED visit per patient/year.